Questionable
Injury Collarbone
Est. Return 5/1/2025
2024 Receiving Stats
REC
27
YDS
379
TD
1
AVG
14.0
TAR
47
2025 Projections
2025 Fantasy Outlook
Kirk is moving on up in the AFC South, replacing Stefon Diggs in Houston after both wideouts suffered season-ending injuries last year. In Kirk's case it was just a broken collarbone, which means he should be ready for the offseason program as he enters the final year of a four-year, $72 million contract (the Jaguars traded him to Houston for a seventh-round pick in March). The situation in Houston is favorable for receiving production in general, but with Nico Collins locked in as the No. 1 and Kirk potentially facing tough snap/target competition after the Texans drafted wideouts in Rounds 2 (Jayden Higgins) and 3 (Jaylin Noel). There's also the matter of Kirk struggling in 2024 for the Jaguars before his injury, with a career-high 13.7 aDOT and career-low 57.4 percent catch rate working out to just 47.4 receiving yards per game, down from 65.6 in 2023 and 65.2 in 2022. New Texans offensive coordinator Nick Caley should get Kirk more easy/short receptions, but there is risk of physical decline, with the wideout set to turn 29 during the upcoming season after missing 14 games over the previous two years. Read Past Outlooks
RANKS
Ticketed for slot work
Kirk (collarbone) figures to spend a lot of time in the slot after Houston drafted 6-foot-4 wideout Jayden Higgins at No. 34 overall, The Athletic reports.
ANALYSIS
Kirk might've taken most of his snaps in the slot anyway, so it's hard to spin the NFL Draft as a win for his fantasy value, especially after the Texans doubled down on Iowa State receivers and took Jaylin Noel in the third round. There's suddenly a lot of target competition behind No. 1 receiver Nico Collins, who averaged 83.8 yards and 8.3 targets per game in 2024 despite playing less than half the available snaps in three of his 12 regular-season games. The upside scenario for Kirk's volume entails Collins continuing to struggle with soft-issue injuries while the rookies fail to develop as expected. The downside scenario features Kirk becoming somewhat of an afterthought and perhaps even losing slot snaps to Noel eventually. Kirk has one year left on his contract and should be healthy for training camp, after a broken collarbone ended his final season with the Jaguars (who subsequently traded him to Houston for a seventh-round pick). The Texans already restructured Kirk's contract to convert his non-guaranteed salary into a guaranteed bonus, which rules out any chance of him being released before Week 1.
Kirk might've taken most of his snaps in the slot anyway, so it's hard to spin the NFL Draft as a win for his fantasy value, especially after the Texans doubled down on Iowa State receivers and took Jaylin Noel in the third round. There's suddenly a lot of target competition behind No. 1 receiver Nico Collins, who averaged 83.8 yards and 8.3 targets per game in 2024 despite playing less than half the available snaps in three of his 12 regular-season games. The upside scenario for Kirk's volume entails Collins continuing to struggle with soft-issue injuries while the rookies fail to develop as expected. The downside scenario features Kirk becoming somewhat of an afterthought and perhaps even losing slot snaps to Noel eventually. Kirk has one year left on his contract and should be healthy for training camp, after a broken collarbone ended his final season with the Jaguars (who subsequently traded him to Houston for a seventh-round pick). The Texans already restructured Kirk's contract to convert his non-guaranteed salary into a guaranteed bonus, which rules out any chance of him being released before Week 1.
NFL Stats
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Fantasy/Red Zone Stats
See red zone opportunities inside the 20, 10 and 5-yard lines along with the percentage of time they converted the opportunity into a touchdown.
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Advanced NFL Stats
How do Christian Kirk's 2024 advanced stats compare to other wide receivers?
This section compares his advanced stats with players at the same position. The bar represents the player's percentile rank.
The longer the bar, the better it is for the player.
Air Yards Per Game
77.9Air Yards Per Snap
1.92% Team Air Yards
14.4%% Team Targets
9.0%Avg Depth of Target
13.3 YdsCatch Rate
57.4%Drop Rate
6.4%Avg Yds After Catch
4.5% Targeted On Route
20.6%Avg Yds Per Route Run
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2024
2023
2022
2021
2020
2019
2018
2024 NFL Game Log
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Snap Distribution / Depth Chart
Snap Counts
Snap %
Receiving Alignment Breakdown
See where Christian Kirk lined up on the field and how he performed at each spot.
Detailed
Grouped
Side
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2024 Christian Kirk Split Stats
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Measurables Review
View College Player Page
How do Christian Kirk's measurables compare to other wide receivers?
This section compares his draft workout metrics with players at the same position. The bar represents the player's percentile rank. For example, if the bar is halfway across, then the player falls into the 50th percentile for that metric and it would be considered average.
Height
5' 11"Weight
200 lbs40-Yard Dash
4.47 secShuttle Time
4.45 secCone Drill
7.09 secVertical Jump
35.5 inBroad Jump
115 inBench Press
20 repsHand Length
9.88 inArm Length
30.38 in
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Past Fantasy Outlooks
2024
2023
2022
2021
2020
2019
2018
Kirk's second season in Jacksonville wasn't as successful as his first, even though his catch rate rose by 4.1 percentage points (67.1) and his YPT by a full yard (9.3) between 2022 and 2023. His per-game production was nearly identical (4.8 catches for 65.6) apart from dropping from eight touchdowns in 17 games to three TDs in 12. Kirk was actually on pace to top his 2022 numbers for catches and yards until a hernia/groin injury on the first snap of a Week 13 loss to Cincinnati ended his season prematurely. Apart from the decrease in TDs, he wasn't really impacted by Calvin Ridley's presence, with Kirk's target rise going from 22.0 percent in 2022 to 22.5 percent in 2023 and his YPRR rising even more (1.83 to 2.08). While those numbers aren't quite at the level of a true No. 1 receiver, Kirk should remain productive in his age-27 season ahead, possibly even getting a boost from the Jags swapping out Ridley for Gabe Davis and first-round pick Brian Thomas. The rookie and the former Bill still give defenses something to think about -- especially downfield -- but neither is as much of a threat as Ridley to handle a large target share. In any case, Kirk had 10 more catches and 124 more yards than Ridley at the time of his season-ending injury last year. Kirk might have made it back on the field if Jacksonville had gone on a playoff run, and there's been no indication the groin/hernia surgery will impact his preparation this offseason.
More Fantasy News
Reworks contract
Kirk (collarbone) agreed earlier this month to restructure his contract for the 2025 season, with the Texans opting to convert $14.245 million of his salary into a signing bonus, Aaron Wilson of KPRC 2 Houston reports.
ANALYSIS
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Sent to Houston
The Texans agreed to acquire Kirk (collarbone) from the Jaguars on Thursday in exchange for a 2026 seventh-round draft pick, Tom Pelissero of NFL Network reports.
ANALYSIS
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Slated for release
The Jaguars plan to release Kirk (collarbone) when the new league year begins next Wednesday, Adam Schefter of ESPN reports.
ANALYSIS
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Candidate to be released
Kirk (collarbone) may be released this offseason, according to ESPN's Dan Graziano.
ANALYSIS
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Moves to injured reserve
The Jaguars placed Kirk (collarbone) on injured reserve Saturday.
ANALYSIS
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Latest Fantasy Rumors
Could be done in Jacksonville
The Jaguars could explore cutting Kirk this offseason, Ben Solak of ESPN suggests.
ANALYSIS
Kirk is recovering from a broken collarbone, though the reason for the potential move would be to open up a role for Parker Washington. Washington closed the campaign in impressive form as Jacksonville's No. 2 wide receiver, catching three touchdowns across his last six games while topping 50 yards on three occasions. In addition, cutting Kirk this offseason would save the team roughly $11 million in cap space.
Kirk is recovering from a broken collarbone, though the reason for the potential move would be to open up a role for Parker Washington. Washington closed the campaign in impressive form as Jacksonville's No. 2 wide receiver, catching three touchdowns across his last six games while topping 50 yards on three occasions. In addition, cutting Kirk this offseason would save the team roughly $11 million in cap space.