AJ Dillon

AJ Dillon

26-Year-Old Running BackRB
Green Bay Packers
2024 Fantasy Outlook
Drafted in the second round in 2020 in the hopes he could become Green Bay's next Eddie Lacy, the 247-pound Dillon has instead seen his yards per carry decline every year, bottoming out at 3.4 last season. The Packers brought him back on a one-year deal, but his role appears more uncertain than ever. With Josh Jacobs replacing Aaron Jones as Green Bay's lead back, Dillon's bruising style is less necessary off the bench. Dillon will try to fend off rookie third-round pick MarShawn Lloyd for backup duties. Read Past Outlooks
RANKS
#177.36
ADP
$Signed a one-year, $2.74 million contract with the Packers in March of 2024.
Facing added competition
RBGreen Bay Packers
April 30, 2024
Dillon is expected to face competition from third-round rookie MarShawn Lloyd for the Packers' No. 2 running back job behind Josh Jacobs, Matt Schneidman of The Athletic reports.
ANALYSIS
Dillon re-signed with the Packers on a four-year qualifying offer and isn't even considered a lock to make the Packers' 53-man roster, per Schneidman. Dillon averaged a career-worst 3.4 yards per carry in 2023, scoring just two touchdowns. He also was inactive for both of the team's playoff games due to a neck stinger. Green Bay likely hopes Lloyd shows enough to pass Dillon on the depth chart.
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NFL Stats
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Fantasy/Red Zone Stats
See red zone opportunities inside the 20, 10 and 5-yard lines along with the percentage of time they converted the opportunity into a touchdown.
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Advanced NFL Stats
How do AJ Dillon's 2023 advanced stats compare to other running backs?
This section compares his advanced stats with players at the same position. The bar represents the player's percentile rank. For example, if the bar is halfway across, then the player falls into the 50th percentile for that metric and it would be considered average. The longer the bar, the better it is for the player.
  • Broken Tackle %
    The number of broken tackles divided by rush attempts.
  • Positive Run %
    The percentage of run plays where he was able to gain positive yardage.
  • % Yds After Contact
    The percentage of his rushing yards that came after contact.
  • Avg Yds After Contact
    The average rushing yards he gains after contact.
  • Rushing TD %
    Rushing touchdowns divided by rushing attempts. In other words, how often is he scoring when running the ball.
  • Touches Per Game
    The number of touches (rushing attempts + receptions) he is averaging per game
  • % Snaps w/Touch
    The number of touches (rushing attempts + receptions) divided by offensive snaps played.
  • Air Yards Per Game
    The number of air yards he is averaging per game. Air yards measure how far the ball was thrown downfield for both complete and incomplete passes. Air yards are recorded as a negative value when the pass is targeted behind the line of scrimmage. All air yards data is from Sports Info Solutions and does not include throwaways as targeted passes.
  • Air Yards Per Snap
    The number of air yards he is averaging per offensive snap.
  • % Team Air Yards
    The percentage of the team's total air yards he accounts for.
  • % Team Targets
    The percentage of the team's total targets he accounts for.
  • Avg Depth of Target
    Also known as aDOT, this stat measures the average distance down field he is being targeted at.
  • Catch Rate
    The number of catches made divided by the number of times he was targeted by the quarterback.
  • Drop Rate
    The number of passes he dropped divided by the number of times he was targeted by the quarterback.
  • Avg Yds After Catch
    The number of yards he gains after the catch on his receptions.
  • % Targeted On Route
    Targets divided by total routes run. Also known as TPRR.
  • Avg Yds Per Route Run
    Receiving yards divided by total routes run. Also known as YPRR.
Broken Tackle %
6.7%
 
Positive Run %
82.6%
 
% Yds After Contact
69.3%
 
Avg Yds After Contact
2.4
 
Rushing TD %
1.1%
 
Touches Per Game
13.3
 
% Snaps w/Touch
42.3%
 
Air Yards Per Game
-1.2
 
Air Yards Per Snap
-0.04
 
% Team Air Yards
-0.4%
 
% Team Targets
5.0%
 
Avg Depth of Target
-0.6 Yds
 
Catch Rate
78.6%
 
Drop Rate
3.6%
 
Avg Yds After Catch
10.9
 
% Targeted On Route
13.2%
 
Avg Yds Per Route Run
1.05
 
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2023
2022
2021
2020
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2022 NFL Game Log
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Snap Distribution / Depth Chart
Snap Counts
Snap %
Green Bay PackersPackers 2023 RB Snap Distribution See more data like this | See last season's snap counts
#% of Team Snaps

47340%
42636%
22920%
535%
40%
40%
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Receiving Alignment Breakdown
See where AJ Dillon lined up on the field and how he performed at each spot.
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2023 AJ Dillon Split Stats
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Measurables Review View College Player Page
How do AJ Dillon's measurables compare to other running backs?
This section compares his draft workout metrics with players at the same position. The bar represents the player's percentile rank. For example, if the bar is halfway across, then the player falls into the 50th percentile for that metric and it would be considered average.
Height
6' 0"
 
Weight
247 lbs
 
40-Yard Dash
4.53 sec
 
Cone Drill
7.19 sec
 
Vertical Jump
41.0 in
 
Broad Jump
131 in
 
Bench Press
23 reps
 
Hand Length
9.63 in
 
Arm Length
31.63 in
 
Recent RotoWire Articles Featuring AJ Dillon See More
Dynasty Strategy: Rookie RB Comparisons Pt. 2
12 days ago
Breaking down MarShawn Lloyd and Blake Corum, two third-round backs landing behind established NFL starters.
Job Battles: Running Backs Part 2
21 days ago
This article dissects the backfields in Indianapolis and Green Bay, where AJ Dillon is a good bet to keep MarShawn Lloyd on the bench.
ADP Analysis: Tracking Best Ball ADP Movement from May through June
30 days ago
Wide receivers were the big ADP gainers over the past month, with Jaylen Waddle leading the way after signing a huge extension late in May.
NFL Observations: 10 Bold Predictions for 2024
45 days ago
Josh Allen has less help than any point since 2019, and losing Stefon Diggs will cost the Buffalo offense.
Best Ball Strategy: Five False RB Sleepers
50 days ago
In a list of five overhyped late-round RB targets, Rico Dowdle is the headlining act as both the most expensive and least useful of the group.
Past Fantasy Outlooks
2023
2022
2021
2020
Dillon remains an overqualified backup, but at least one who plays more than most other backup running backs. Indeed, in the last two years the Packers have shifted away from Aaron Jones as the clear starter and implemented a rotation of quasi-equals similar to how the Saints once used Alvin Kamara and Mark Ingram. Dillon is the powerful counterpart to the slashing Jones, and it seems like tasks will continue to split between the two on a situational basis. As much as that might be ideal for the Packers offense, it isn't for the fantasy production of either player. Dillon might be an RB1 if Jones were to miss time, just as Jones was a fantasy RB1 before Dillon's involvement increased the last two years. Aaron Rodgers' departure this offseason brings with it the threat of Green Bay's offense declining for a second straight year, but it might also work out for Dillon if the Packers run the ball more often with Jordan Love under center and remain reasonably efficient overall.
Through three games in 2021, it looked like Dillon was stuck in the same role he had as a rookie, getting just a handful of carries per week behind Aaron Jones. That all changed against the Steelers in Week 4 when the two backs had nearly identical workloads and production. From that point on, Dillon and Jones were in a timeshare, and while both players had solid numbers, neither was able to pull away from the other. Dillon's best fantasy game of the season came in Week 10 when he racked up 128 total yards and two touchdowns with the help of a 50-yard catch. The bruising back out of Boston College is listed at the same weight as Derrick Henry, but at three inches shorter, Dillon looks more like a traditional fullback. He doesn't play like one, though, as he has the speed and agility to do more than just thunder through defenders. Dillon also has shown growth since entering the NFL, even emerging as a receiving asset last year with 34 catches and no drops. Jones is still in town for at least one more season before things get dicey with his contract, and Green Bay promoted from within to replace offensive coordinator Nathaniel Hackett after his departure for Denver, so there's no reason to think the backfield arrangement will see any big changes. Barring a serious injury to one or the other, Dillon and Jones put a ceiling on each other once again in 2022.
A second-round pick in the 2020 draft, Dillon spent most of the season getting scraps in the Packers backfield behind Aaron Jones and Jamaal Williams. When he did get an opportunity at a bigger role in Week 16, the rookie erupted for 124 yards and two touchdowns in a blowout win, giving the Titans defense a taste of what their opposition has to face from Derrick Henry every week. Like Henry, Dillon bulldozes through defenders at nearly 250 pounds while showing enough speed and balance through contact to be more than just a short-yardage option, but he has yet to show he has much to offer as a receiver, likely limiting him to early downs. With Williams now in Detroit, Dillon will move into the No. 2 spot, albeit with usage that's likely to be different from Williams, who often handled third downs and other passing situations. And while Dillon's massive frame might seem to hint at goal-line usage, the Packers have enjoyed an awful lot of success leaning on Jones and Davante Adams in the red zone, even if both are average size for their positions. That's not to say Dillon won't get some goal-line work, but Jones also figures to remain involved in the red zone, and his superior receiving skills give him a clear advantage between the 20s. The upside for Dillon likely entails Jones missing time with an injury.
While Dillon going in the second round of the 2020 draft wasn't necessarily a big surprise, the fact that he went to a Green Bay squad that already has Aaron Jones certainly was. Built in the mold of LeGarrette Blount, Dillon has enough speed (4.53 40) to make his bulk (6-0, 247) even more terrifying for would-be tacklers, and he has the patience and vision to let his blocks develop rather than simply jamming the line and trying to bull his way through traffic. He doesn't have much elusiveness, but he didn't need it during his college career given how difficult he was to bring down, and he has the frame to withstand the punishment his bludgeoning running style brings with it. Dillon could provide the thunder in a very effective backfield tandem, and Jones' league-leading 10 touchdowns from inside the 5-yard line last season could be up for grabs if Dillon takes the short-yardage role. The short-term upside does appear limited, as Jamaal Williams likely would share work with Dillon if Jones were to miss time.
More Fantasy News
Return to Green Bay official
RBGreen Bay Packers
March 15, 2024
Dillon (thumb/neck) officially re-signed with the Packers on Friday.
ANALYSIS
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Returning to Green Bay
RBGreen Bay Packers
Neck
March 14, 2024
Dillon (thumb/neck) is in line to re-sign with the Packers, Tom Pelissero of NFL Network reports.
ANALYSIS
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Finishes season injured
RBGreen Bay Packers
Neck
February 2, 2024
Dillon (thumb/neck) tallied 178 carries for 613 yards and two touchdowns while adding 22 receptions for 223 yards over 15 games in the 2023 season.
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Sitting out again Saturday
RBGreen Bay Packers
Neck
January 20, 2024
Dillon (thumb/neck) is listed as inactive for Saturday's divisional-round game at San Francisco, Mike Spofford of the Packers' official site reports.
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Status in question for Saturday
RBGreen Bay Packers
Neck
January 18, 2024
Coach Matt LaFleur said Thursday that Dillon (thumb/neck) will be questionable for Saturday's divisional-round game at San Francisco, Tom Silverstein of the Milwaukee Journal Sentinel reports.
ANALYSIS
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Latest Fantasy Rumors
On roster bubble
RBGreen Bay Packers
July 15, 2024
Dillon isn't guaranteed a roster spot with the Packers even after re-signing with the team this offseason, Jason Wilde of the Wisconsin State Journal reports.
ANALYSIS
The running back is making barely above the NFL veteran's minimum on a one-year deal, and Dillon will likely head into training camp fighting for the No. 3 spot on the depth chart with Josh Jacobs locked into the starting role and 2024 third-round pick MarShawn Lloyd showing more promise as a three-down option. Dillon's main competition figures to be Emanuel Wilson, an undrafted free agent in 2023. The winner of the camp battle could come down to which of them offers more value on special teams, but Dillon has seen only 34 snaps on special teams over the last two seasons.
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