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Staff Picks: Backing the Falcons

Chris Liss

Chris Liss is RotoWire's Managing Editor and Host of RotoWIre Fantasy Sports Today on Sirius XM radio.

Defending champ Stopa is off to a one-game lead over Pianowski and me. DDD jinxed himself to 7-8, and Erickson has already destroyed any hope for himself this season by going 6-9.

Enjoy the games.

Erickson Pianowski Liss Stopa Del Don
Seahawks +14.5 at Steelers Steelers Steelers Seahawks Steelers Seahawks
Ravens -5.5 at Titans Titans Titans Titans Ravens Titans
Jaguars +9.5 at Jets Jets Jets Jaguars Jets Jets
Cardinals +3.5 at Redskins Redskins Cardinals Redskins Redskins Redskins
Raiders +3.5 at Bills Raiders Bills Raiders Bills Raiders
Buccaneers +3 at Vikings Vikings Buccaneers Vikings Bucs Vikings
Bears +7 at Saints Bears Saints Bears Bears Bears
Packers -10.5 at Panthers Panthers Panthers Panthers Packers Panthers
Browns -1.5 at Colts Colts Browns Browns Colts Colts
Chiefs +9 at Lions Lions Chiefs Chiefs Chiefs Chiefs
Cowboys -3 at 49ers Cowboys Cowboys Cowboys 49ers Cowboys
Bengals +3.5 at Broncos Broncos Bengals Bengals Broncos Broncos
Texans -3 at Dolphins Dolphins Dolphins Dolphins Texans Dolphins
Chargers +7 at Patriots Patriots Chargers Chargers Chargers Chargers
Eagles -2 at Falcons Falcons Falcons Falcons Falcons Falcons
Rams +6 at Giants Giants Rams Rams Giants Giants
Best Bet Redskins Chargers Raiders Chargers Cowboys
2011 Record 6-9-1 8-7-1 8-7-1 9-6-1 7-8-1
Best Bet Record 1-0 0-0-1 0-1 1-0 1-0
Consensus Pick Record 1-3
2010 Record 129-122-5 134-117-5 126-125-5 136-115-5 134-117-5
2009 Record 123-130-3 132-121-3 131-122-3 130-123-3 126-127-3
2008 Record 132-114-10 128-118-10 124-122-10 125-121-10 130-116-10
2007 Record 127-120 118-129 127-120 N/A 130-117
2006 Record 118-129 N/A 139-108 N/A N/A
2005 Record 121-126 N/A 127-120 N/A N/A
2004 Record 124-124 N/A 130-118 N/A N/A
2003 Record 121-126 118-129 124-123 N/A N/A
2002 Record 113-136 123-126 141-108 N/A N/A
2001 Record 124-113 117-120 118-119 N/A N/A
2000 Record 123-117 134-106 141-99 N/A N/A

Consensus Picks

This week we have one consensus pick: the Falcons. We went 1-3 on consensus picks in Week 1. We went 32-21-1 on consensus picks in 2010.


EricksonThe Cardinals got lucky to beat the Panthers at home last week, whereas the Redskins beat a banged-up-but-better Giants team. This line is treating them as near equals - I think that the Redskins are a much better team... The Bengals will start either an injured Andy Dalton or a healthy Bruce Gradkowski - as much as their defense prevented disaster last week, it could be coming this week.
PianowskiThe big number with the Pats and Chargers surprised me. I know it's partly a Belichick-Turner thing, but the Patriots get one less day to assemble their game plan. Remember, Chad Henne gashed the Patriots secondary, and he's nowhere close to Philip Rivers . . . I wanted to go against all the West Coast teams playing at 10 am body time (provided the lines played along), but I just couldn't spot 3.5 points with Rex Grossman. I need to see it in consecutive weeks, Rexy.
LissI don't like this slate at all and found myself picking dogs almost reflexively, except in cases like the Vikings, Browns and Redskins where no one believes in those teams anyway.
StopaWeird slate. I really like the Colts - getting points at home to the Browns? Come on; Bucs - better than the Vikes yet getting the full three; Falcons - home dog, should rebound, Philly over-hyped; Chiefs - buying KC low, selling high on Lions; Redskins - selling Cardinals high; and Bears - roughly equal to Saints yet getting full TD. But as much as I like those games, I really struggled with four games where I know I'm picking like a square - Steelers - convinced they'll bounce back big against lowly Seattle, but paying more than 14 is brutal; Packers - the defense will bounce back, and Cam Newton will return to earth, but giving double-digits on the road is tough to swallow; Ravens - I like home dogs but less than a TD isn't enough to make me take Titans; and Jets - they'll crush a Jags team that won't able to hide Luke McCown like they did last week, but every drunken idiot bets that way. Best bet is Chargers, who are rough equals to the Pats, maybe better, yet getting 7 because of the huge hype after Brady's big game. Chargers 31-27.
Del DonI rarely pick a road favorite for best bet, and maybe I'm being a sucker here, but that line in San Francisco seems awfully low... The Packers are obviously legit, but that's a monstrous number to lay on the road... I get the Colts are doormats without Peyton Manning, but I'm still surprised to see Cleveland laying points in Indy... The Chiefs/Lions game is a perfect buy low, sell high opportunity... I struggled most with CHI/NO. and STL/NYG.

The players:

Jeff Erickson: RotoWire Senior editor, 2001, 2008 Staff Picks Champ. Writes the Value Meter. Covers and roots for the Bengals.

Scott Pianowski: Fantasy expert for Yahoo! Sports, and also contributes to 2009 Staff Picks Champ. Roots for the Patriots.

Chris Liss: RotoWire Managing Editor, 2000, 2002, 2006 Staff Picks Champ, 2003, 2004 co-champ. Writes East Coast Offense, Beating the Book and Surviving the Week in addition to Staff Picks. Covers and roots for the Giants.

Mark Stopa: Staff Writer, 2010 Staff Picks Champ, Writes Working the Wire. Roots for the Bills.

Dalton Del Don: RotoWire Senior Staff Writer. 2007 Staff Picks Champ. Writes the Game Capsules and the Barometer. Covers the Eagles and roots for the 49ers.