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Staff Picks: Texans, Jets, Bears and Giants

Chris Liss

Chris Liss is RotoWire's Managing Editor and Host of RotoWIre Fantasy Sports Today on Sirius XM radio.

Stopa won the week at 9-5, but Pianowski's still a comfortable five games in front. I'm still in last place, but narrowed the gap by a game. We have four consensus picks this week: the Texans, Jets, Bears and Giants. And Pianow's best bet is the Giants, while Stopa's is the Bears.

Have a great Thanksgiving and enjoy the games.

Erickson Pianowski Liss Stopa Del Don
Packers -6 at Lions Packers Packers Lions Packers Lions
Dolphins +7 at Cowboys Dolphins Cowboys Dolphins Cowboys Dolphins
49ers +3.5 at Ravens 49ers 49ers 49ers Ravens Ravens
Vikings +9.5 at Falcons Vikings Vikings Falcons Vikings Vikings
Texans -3.5 at Jaguars Texans Texans Texans Texans Texans
Buccaneers +3 at Titans Titans Buccaneers Titans Buccaneers Titans
Cardinals +3 at Rams Cardinals Cardinals Cardinals Cardinals Rams
Browns +8 at Bengals Browns Bengals Browns Browns Bengals
Bills +9 at Jets Jets Jets Jets Jets Jets
Panthers -3.5 at Colts Colts Panthers Colts Colts Panthers
Redskins +3.5 at Seahawks Seahawks Redskins Seahawks Seahawks Redskins
Bears +4 at Raiders Bears Bears Bears Bears Bears
Patriots -3 at Eagles Patriots Patriots Eagles Patriots Eagles
Broncos +7 at Chargers Broncos Broncos Broncos Chargers Broncos
Steelers -10.5 at Chiefs Chiefs Chiefs Chiefs Steelers Steelers
Giants +7 at Saints Giants Giants Giants Giants Giants
Best Bet Seahawks Giants Broncos Bears Titans
Last Week's Record 7-7 6-8 8-6 9-5 7-7
2011 Record 77-78-5 84-71-5 75-80-5 79-76-5 77-78-5
Best Bet Record 6-5 5-5-1 6-5 8-3 3-7-1
Consensus Pick Record 19-13-1
2010 Record 129-122-5 134-117-5 126-125-5 136-115-5 134-117-5
2009 Record 123-130-3 132-121-3 131-122-3 130-123-3 126-127-3
2008 Record 132-114-10 128-118-10 124-122-10 125-121-10 130-116-10
2007 Record 127-120 118-129 127-120 N/A 130-117
2006 Record 118-129 N/A 139-108 N/A N/A
2005 Record 121-126 N/A 127-120 N/A N/A
2004 Record 124-124 N/A 130-118 N/A N/A
2003 Record 121-126 118-129 124-123 N/A N/A
2002 Record 113-136 123-126 141-108 N/A N/A
2001 Record 124-113 117-120 118-119 N/A N/A
2000 Record 123-117 134-106 141-99 N/A N/A

Consensus Picks

This week we have four consensus picks: Texans, Jets, Bears and Giants. We went 1-1 on consensus picks in Week 11 to go 19-13-1 on the year. We went 32-21-1 on consensus picks in 2010.


EricksonSo much uncertainty this week regarding injuries, I hate having to pick so early... Giants seem to do better when nobody expects them to do well... The Bears have to scramble without Cutler, but they still have a great defense, and the Raiders might have to turn to Willie Gault at wideout given how many injuries they have there... Tim Tebow has gotten all the attention while the Broncos have been winning, but it's been their previously awful defense that's carried the day for them, and why I still think there's some value on their side of the coin.
PianowskiYou know how the Giants roll - love them as a dog, be wary as a favorite. Tom Coughlin will know the right cards to play in practice this week; we'll see a competitive game on the bayou.
LissSurprised everyone's on the Texans as they're a very heavy public team this week. Also surprised no one else took the Falcons at home against the Vikings who are likely without Adrian Peterson.
StopaFor the second week in a row and the third time in six weeks, the Bears are my best bet. Even with Cutler out, I just can't believe they're getting that many points from the Raiders. Yes, Oakland is 6-4, but that's in the AFC West, they have a negative point differential, and Darren McFadden is hurt. (By contrast, the Bears are 7-3 in the NFL's best division and they have a +61 point differential.) Obviously I'd prefer Cutler under center, but the Raiders allow an NFL-worst 5.2 YPC, which means the Bears should succeed with their conservative, run-oriented game-plan. I see this as a push, so five points is just gravy... Did you know the Browns lead the NFL in pass defense? I'm not saying they're good, but especially with A.J. Green either inactive or less than 100%, this line should be less than 7, not more... The Panthers are 2-8, 0-4 on the road, and have the NFL's worst defense (bottom four in YPC and YPA - that's hard to do). They shouldn't be laying more than a FG on the road to anyone, even the Colts... The Giants match up well with the Saints and can keep that game close... If you remove the Bills record and just look at the team they're fielding right now (no Kyle Williams, no Eric Wood, no Terrance McGee, no Fred Jackson, no pass rush whatsoever, nicked up George Wilson, only Stevie Johnson can get open against press coverage), I'd need to get double digits before I thought about taking them against a Jets team fighting for its season. I'd make the Jets my best bet if the Bears line weren't so ridiculous. ... I still think the Chargers will win the division, and their run starts this week (and I don't want the Broncos to be a unanimous pick, as I fear they would if I take them).
Del DonI had a hard time choosing between Houston and Tennessee as my best bet, but with the way I've performed with those this season, that just means you should be hammering Jacksonville and Tampa Bay.

The players:

Jeff Erickson: RotoWire Senior editor, 2001, 2008 Staff Picks Champ. Writes the Value Meter. Covers and roots for the Bengals.

Scott Pianowski: Fantasy expert for Yahoo! Sports, and also contributes to 2009 Staff Picks Champ. Roots for the Patriots.

Chris Liss: RotoWire Managing Editor, 2000, 2002, 2006 Staff Picks Champ, 2003, 2004 co-champ. Writes East Coast Offense, Beating the Book and Surviving the Week in addition to Staff Picks. Covers and roots for the Giants.

Mark Stopa: Staff Writer, 2010 Staff Picks Champ, Writes Working the Wire. Roots for the Bills.

Dalton Del Don: RotoWire Senior Staff Writer. 2007 Staff Picks Champ. Writes the Game Capsules and the Barometer. Covers the Eagles and roots for the 49ers.