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Staff Picks: Texans, Bills, Bengals, Broncos, Colts, Browns and Lions

Chris Liss

Chris Liss is RotoWire's Managing Editor and Host of RotoWIre Fantasy Sports Today on Sirius XM radio.

Erickson won the week at 9-7, but Pianow still has a huge lead after going 8-8. This week, we have a record seven consensus picks, something I did not see coming when I was making my picks. Moreover, had Erickson not taken the Packers and Bucs, we would have had nine.

Pianow and I both like the Giants as our best bets, while two of the other best bets, the Texans and Bills, were consensus picks.

Enjoy the games.

Erickson Pianowski Liss Stopa Del Don
Eagles -3 at Seahawks Eagles Seahawks Seahawks Seahawks Eagles
Raiders +3 at Dolphins Dolphins Raiders Dolphins Dolphins Dolphins
Falcons -2 at Texans Texans Texans Texans Texans Texans
Titans +1 at Bills Bills Bills Bills Bills Bills
Chiefs +8.5 at Bears Bears Bears Chiefs Bears Bears
Jets -3 at Redskins Redskins Jets Redskins Redskins Jets
Bengals +7 at Steelers Bengals Bengals Bengals Bengals Bengals
Broncos pick 'em at Vikings Broncos Broncos Broncos Broncos Broncos
Panthers +3.5 at Buccaneers Buccaneers Panthers Panthers Panthers Panthers
Colts +20.5 at Patriots Colts Colts Colts Colts Colts
Ravens -7 at Browns Browns Browns Browns Browns Browns
Cowboys -4.5 at Cardinals Cardinals Cardinals Cardinals Cowboys Cardinals
Packers -8 at Giants Packers Giants Giants Giants Giants
Rams +13.5 at 49ers 49ers 49ers Rams Rams 49ers
Lions +9.5 at Saints Lions Lions Lions Lions Lions
Chargers -2.5 at Jaguars Jaguars Chargers Jaguars Chargers Chargers
Best Bet Bills Giants Giants Dolphins Texans
Last Week's Record 9-7 8-8 8-8 6-10 7-9
2011 Record 86-85-5 92-79-5 83-88-5 85-86-5 84-87-5
Best Bet Record 6-6 6-5-1 7-5 8-4 4-7-1
Consensus Pick Record 20-16-1
2010 Record 129-122-5 134-117-5 126-125-5 136-115-5 134-117-5
2009 Record 123-130-3 132-121-3 131-122-3 130-123-3 126-127-3
2008 Record 132-114-10 128-118-10 124-122-10 125-121-10 130-116-10
2007 Record 127-120 118-129 127-120 N/A 130-117
2006 Record 118-129 N/A 139-108 N/A N/A
2005 Record 121-126 N/A 127-120 N/A N/A
2004 Record 124-124 N/A 130-118 N/A N/A
2003 Record 121-126 118-129 124-123 N/A N/A
2002 Record 113-136 123-126 141-108 N/A N/A
2001 Record 124-113 117-120 118-119 N/A N/A
2000 Record 123-117 134-106 141-99 N/A N/A

Consensus Picks

This week we have a whopping seven consensus picks: the Texans, Bills, Bengals, Broncos, Colts, Browns and Lions. We went 1-3 on consensus picks in Week 12 to go 20-16-1 on the year. We went 32-21-1 on consensus picks in 2010.


Erickson I'm wary of monster lines in the NFL, even if it's the Fighting Orlovsky's getting the points... We have to constantly check our perceptions at the door, and one of those that needs revisiting is that of the Cardinals. Recently they've had one stinker - at San Francisco, won twice on the road (PHI, STL), and gave Baltimore a huge scare in Baltimore. That secondary isn't good, but it's getting better. I'll take the points... Tennessee brings something different to the table every week, and I don't want to treat them as a favorite on the road... Toughest games for me were ATL-HOU, DET-NO, and CIN-PIT.
PianowskiThe line has jumped on the Giants and pushed it to a number where they're the obvious play. As unbalanced as New York is, this team still has the basic skill set (pass rush, pass offense) that allows you to challenge the Packers.
LissI'm shocked at the number of consensus picks, and I was almost sure at least one writer would be on the Patriots or Vikings.
StopaAfter last week, I feel like I just woke up on the logo of my high school's football field, the stadium is packed, and everyone is pointing and laughing at me because I'm naked. I'm looking for somewhere to hide but there's nothing but bright lights and open space. Anyway, I like Seattle as an underdog at home, as the Eagles may pack it in... It's interesting that the Lions and Giants swapped opponents from last week's games. Everyone will think the Packers will do what the Saints just did to the Giants, and that the Saints will do what the Packers just did to the Lions, so that has to make the Giants and Lions the right choices... I'm not laying 20-plus points in any NFL game. Ever. My best bet is the Dolphins, as I think they and the Raiders are more like .500 teams than their records currently reflect - the correction for each comes this week. It's worth noting I've picked incorrectly on eight straight Bills games, so I'd say to fade me, but did I inadvertently fade myself before picking? Honestly, I have no idea - it's hard not to think and overthink, like I have. I always try to remain objective, but with this kind of losing streak, and since the Bills are my team, that's easier said than done.
Del DonThe Falcons defend the run well, but this spread is an overreaction to Houston using its third-string quarterback.

The players:

Jeff Erickson: RotoWire Senior editor, 2001, 2008 Staff Picks Champ. Writes the Value Meter. Covers and roots for the Bengals.

Scott Pianowski: Fantasy expert for Yahoo! Sports, and also contributes to 2009 Staff Picks Champ. Roots for the Patriots.

Chris Liss: RotoWire Managing Editor, 2000, 2002, 2006 Staff Picks Champ, 2003, 2004 co-champ. Writes East Coast Offense, Beating the Book and Surviving the Week in addition to Staff Picks. Covers and roots for the Giants.

Mark Stopa: Staff Writer, 2010 Staff Picks Champ, Writes Working the Wire. Roots for the Bills.

Dalton Del Don: RotoWire Senior Staff Writer. 2007 Staff Picks Champ. Writes the Game Capsules and the Barometer. Covers the Eagles and roots for the 49ers.