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Staff Picks: Backing the Bills and Jets - With Video

Chris Liss

Chris Liss is RotoWire's Managing Editor and Host of RotoWIre Fantasy Sports Today on Sirius XM radio.

What's gotten into Mark Stopa? The guy was a simpleton for years and suddenly he's 49-26 ATS? That's better than 65 percent picking every single game. He obviously won't sustain that pace, but we're five weeks in, so a 58-percent monster season is possible. DDD is in second, a whopping eight games out, and Pianow is one game behind him. Our only consensus pick is the Bills, but four of us like the Jets and two (Stopa and DDD) made them their best bets.

Erickson Pianowski Liss Stopa Del Don
Steelers -5.5 at Titans Titans Titans Titans Steelers Titans
Raiders +9.5 at Falcons Raiders Falcons Raiders Falcons Raiders
Chiefs +3 at Buccaneers Buccaneers Buccaneers Buccaneers Chiefs Buccaneers
Colts +3 at Jets Jets Colts Jets Jets Jets
Bengals -1 at Browns Browns Browns Browns Bengals Browns
Lions +4.5 at Eagles Eagles Lions Lions Lions Lions
Rams +3.5 at Dolphins Rams Dolphins Dolphins Dolphins Dolphins
Cowboys +3.5 at Ravens Ravens Cowboys Ravens Cowboys Cowboys
Bills +4.5 at Cardinals Bills Bills Bills Bills Bills
Patriots -3.5 at Seahawks Seahawks Seahawks Seahawks Seahawks Patriots
Giants +5 at 49ers Giants Giants Giants 49ers Giants
Vikings +1.5 at Redskins Redskins Redskins Redskins Vikings Vikings
Packers +3.5 at Texans Texans Packers Texans Packers Packers
Broncos +1 at Chargers Chargers Broncos Broncos Chargers Broncos
Best Bet Eagles Browns Bills Jets Jets
Last Week's Record 5-9 4-10 4-10 10-4 9-5
2012 Record 33-42-2 40-35-2 35-40-2 49-26-2 41-34-2
Best Bet Record 1-3-1 3-2 2-3 4-1 2-3
Consensus Pick Record 9-8-1
2011 Record 121-128-7 134-115-7 124-125-7 123-126-7 127-122-7
2010 Record 129-122-5 134-117-5 126-125-5 136-115-5 134-117-5
2009 Record 123-130-3 132-121-3 131-122-3 130-123-3 126-127-3
2008 Record 132-114-10 128-118-10 124-122-10 125-121-10 130-116-10
2007 Record 127-120 118-129 127-120 N/A 130-117
2006 Record 118-129 N/A 139-108 N/A N/A
2005 Record 121-126 N/A 127-120 N/A N/A
2004 Record 124-124 N/A 130-118 N/A N/A
2003 Record 121-126 118-129 124-123 N/A N/A
2002 Record 113-136 123-126 141-108 N/A N/A
2001 Record 124-113 117-120 118-119 N/A N/A
2000 Record 123-117 134-106 141-99 N/A N/A

Consensus Picks

This week we have one consensus pick: the Bills. Last week we went 1-2 to put us at 9-8-1 on the season. Last year we were 30-24-2 on consensus picks.


EricksonConsider my best bet a vote of no-confidence in the Lions, bye week and all.
PianowskiWill a Wednesday/Thursday game ever go over? They're 5-for-5 on unders thus far.
LissLike the Bills, Jets, Raiders, Dolphins and Broncos
StopaWho are the Chiefs? My best guess is that the defense turned a corner - what Liss called an "inflection point" in ECO. I think they're roughly on par with TB, Quinn might be an upgrade at QB, and the three points might matter in a low-scoring game... Indy beating GB last week impacts two choices this week. I expect an emotional letdown from Indy, which I still see as one of the lesser teams in the NFL, while GB should be focused and ready with a half-point hook against HOU on a short week. The Jets will win that game on the line of scrimmage, perhaps handily... I think the Falcons should be double-digit favorites, and a couple of power rankings agree. Oakland pass defense is awful, and I expect that game to get out of hand... I'll probably be alone on SF, but I see them as significantly more physical than NYG right now. ... I like a Buffalo bounce-back, kind of like how excrement gets hard when it sits around long enough.
Del Don The 49ers line seems awfully high to me, but I'll go with the Jets as my best bet purely as a buy low, sell high play.

The players:

Jeff Erickson: RotoWire Senior editor, 2001, 2008 Staff Picks Champ. Writes the Value Meter. Covers and roots for the Bengals.

Scott Pianowski: Fantasy expert for Yahoo! Sports, and also contributes to 2009 and 2011 Staff Picks Champ. Roots for the Patriots.

Chris Liss: RotoWire Managing Editor, 2000, 2002, 2006 Staff Picks Champ, 2003, 2004 co-champ. Writes East Coast Offense, Beating the Book and Surviving the Week in addition to Staff Picks. Covers and roots for the Giants.

Mark Stopa: Staff Writer, 2010 Staff Picks Champ, Writes Working the Wire. Roots for the Bills.

Dalton Del Don: Fantasy Expert for Yahoo! Sports, Roots for the 49ers.