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Majors Value Meter: U.S. Open Rankings

Michael Riek

Michael is the 2016 FSWA Golf Writer of the Year winner. He is a former collegiate golfer with a passion for analytics and strategy.

1. Tiger Woods --
Despite a poor recent showing at the Memorial, Woods is still the undisputed favorite having notched four wins already in 2013 and possesses the elite shotmaking necessary to excel at Merion.
2. Phil Mickelson --
Of Lefty's 41 PGA Tour victories, none have come at the U.S. Open, but with five runner-up finishes at this storied major, he covets this championship as much as anyone. Coming off a gutsy runner-up last week at the Fedex St. Jude Classic.
3. Rory McIlroy --
2011 U.S. Open and 2012 PGA Championship champion by eight shots, the 24-year-old McIlroy can definitely compete at Merion if he can find the fairway. He's third in the all-around ranking and fourth in GIR percentage.
4. Matt Kuchar --
With two signature wins and a plethora of top-10 finishes in 2013, Kuchar is arguably the hottest hand in golf going into Merion. The last four U.S. Open champs have made the win their first major, and Kuchar looks as primed as ever to do the same.
5. Graeme McDowell --
McDowell has the steady temperment necessary for tough conditions, collecting a U.S. Open Championship in 2010 and a runner-up effort last year. He also won the RBC Heritage in April, so he's in solid form as well.
6. Adam Scott --
The recent Masters champ now has the confidence of knowing he can pull off a major championship, and represents the only player who could amass a grand slam in 2013. Has not finished better than 15th at this major but will be an intruiging player to watch.
7. Justin Rose --
World class talent and has won big tournaments before, but never a major. Best finish is fifth at a U.S. Open in 2003 and will need to get the putter going to put himself into the weekend mix.
8. Jim Furyk --
It was Furyk's tournament to win last year at Olympic Club, but a botched drive cost him his second U.S. Open. With an impressive resume with six top-5 finishes at the U.S. Open, Furyk is no stranger to playing well in the toughest conditions.
9. Lee Westwood --
Five top-5s in the U.S. Open and numerous top finishes in majors make Westwood a strong candidate for a major breakthrough. Has the ballstriking prowess to navigate Merion and was top-10 at last year's U.S. Open.
10. Luke Donald --
Top-notch iron player with an immaculate short game, Donald has the tools to contend, especially at a shorter venue like Merion. Has never finished better than 12th at the U.S. Open.
11. Charl Schwartzel --
The South African is in good form with two top-10s in his last three events and is third on tour in scoring average this season. Has just one career win on American soil but produced a top-10 at 2011 U.S. Open.
12. Jason Day --
Day has three top-3 finishes in major championships since 2011, including a runner-up finish at the 2011 U.S. Open. Played very well at the Masters this year and appears to be on the brink of making a splash.
13. Sergio Garcia --
Played 70 great holes at The Players Championship before a flushing his chances on 17 and 18, Sergio has the game to contend if he can keep his focus through four rounds. Four top-10s at the U.S Open, his most recent in 2011.
14. Dustin Johnson --
Five top-15 finishes this season including a win and is coming off a top-10 finish at the FedEx St. Jude Classic. Was the 54-hole leader at the 2010 U.S. Open before shooting 82 on Sunday.
15. Brandt Snedeker

16. Keegan Bradley --
Playing in just his second U.S. Open, Bradley has six top-10s and is fifth in total driving this season. A bit under the radar despite nearly winning the HP Byron Nelson Championship less than a month ago.
17. Hunter Mahan --
Ninth in total driving on tour, which will prove useful on the daunting rough Merion is known for. Hasn't fared well in strokeplay events this year with just one top-10, but finished sixth at the U.S. Open in 2009.
18. Jason Dufner --
Finished fourth last year at Olympic Club as part of a rock solid 2012, but lately has been cold with zero top-10s in 2013. Has the consistent demeanor to contend but his recent form has been anything but that.
19. Louis Oosthuizen --
Has just one top-10 in three starts at the U.S. Open (MC in the other two), but knows how to win a major and is unwavering in his approach.
20. Steve Stricker

21. Webb Simpson --
Last year's U.S. Open champion has three top-6 finishes this year, including a runner-up at the RBC Heritage. Will face plenty of media attention coming into the week, so how he responds to it will likely govern his play to some degree.
22. Rickie Fowler

23. Henrik Stenson

24. Nick Watney

25. Angel Cabrera --
2007 U.S. Open champ nearly won the Masters this year but is 152nd in driving accuracy this season, which will be at a premium given Merion's notoriously thick rough.
26. Ernie Els --
Two-time U.S. Open champion who surged back onto the scene in winning the 2012 Open Championship. Has zero top-10s this season but was top-10 at last year's U.S. Open.
27. Bill Haas

28. Padraig Harrington

29. Zach Johnson

30. Martin Kaymer

31. Nicolas Colsaerts --
Was in the mix at last year's U.S. Open before a Sunday 76 derailed him. He's third in driving distance on tour (nicknamed "The Belgian Bomber") and 20th in GIR percentage.
32. Ian Poulter

33. Bubba Watson --
Last year's green jacket winner has struggled this season with just one top-10 in strokeplay. Capable of surprising given his length and shotmaking ability, but his form is a bit off.
34. Tim Clark --
Third in driving accuracy on tour at nearly 71 percent, Clark can score on the short Merion course and gain an advantage by avoiding the penalizing rough and favoring his shotmaking ability. Finished third in 2005.
35. Peter Hanson

36. Geoff Ogilvy

37. Matteo Manassero --
Recently became the youngest to win the BMW PGA Championship and followed that up with a top-5 at the Nordea Masters. In great form but has not finished better than 46th at the U.S. Open.
38. Bo Van Pelt

39. K.J. Choi

40. Martin Laird

41. Francesco Molinari

42. Aaron Baddeley

43. George Coetzee

44. Gonzalo Fernandez-Castano

45. Ryan Moore

46. Boo Weekley --
Coming off a win at the Crowne Plaza Invitational at Colonial, Boo has form on his side but has yet to finish inside the top-25 at the U.S. Open.
47. Kevin Streelman

48. Scott Stallings --
Making his first U.S. Open appearance and playing great golf with three consecutive top-5s.
49. Jamie Donaldson

50. Billy Horschel --
Notched six top-10s this year and making his first U.S. Open appearance. Won the Zurich Classic about a month ago and coming off a top-10 at the FedEx St. Jude Classic.
51. Scott Piercy

52. John Senden

53. Robert Garrigus

54. Stewart Cink

55. Lucas Glover --
2009 U.S. Open champion has two top-5s this season but little else.
56. Branden Grace

57. Carl Pettersson

58. John Huh

59. D.A. Points

60. David Toms

61. Y.E. Yang

62. Kevin Chappell --
True sleeper who quietly has top-10s in the last two U.S. Opens. Coming off a solid runner-up effort at the Memorial.
63. Steven Alker

64. Sang-Moon Bae

65. Marc Leishman

66. Kyle Stanley

67. Matt Bettencourt

68. Freddie Jacobson

69. Jay Don Blake

70. Brandon Brown

71. Thorbjorn Oleson --
The 23-year-old Dane won his first European Tour event in 2012 and has two top-10 finishes in his first four major starts, including a T6 at the Masters this year. Definitely a player to watch as he's showed up at big events.
72. Ryan Palmer

73. Paul Casey

74. Darren Clark

75. Wil Collins

76. Brandon Crick

77. Chris Doak

78. Zack Fischer

79. Marcus Fraser

80. Hiroyuki Fujita

81. Mathew Goggin

82. Estanislao Goya

83. Luke Guthrie

84. Adam Hadwin

85. John Hahn

86. Rory Sabbatini

87. Jordan Spieth --
Last year's top amateur at the U.S. Open at 18 years old, Spieth is mature beyond his years with four top-10s in 2013.
88. Matt Harmon

89. David Hearn

90. Russel Henley

91. Peter Hedblom

92. Jim Herman

93. Justin Hicks

94. Michael Thompson --
Last year's runner-up broke through for his first win at the 2013 Honda Classic and more recently finished top-10 at the Memorial.
95. Charley Hoffman

96. Robert Karlsson

97. Morgan Hoffman

98. David Howell

99. Mackenzie Hughes

100. Michael Weir

101. Randall Hutchison

102. Jung-Gon Hwang

103. Thongchai Jaidee

104. Brandt Jobe

105. Jerry Kelly

106. Simon Khan

107. Bio Kim

108. Russell Knox

109. Cliff Kresge

110. Doug Labelle II

111. Casey Wittenberg

112. Scott Langley

113. Paul Lawrie

114. David Lingmerth

115. Edward Loar

116. Morten Orum Madsen

117. Hideki Matsuyama

118. Ryan Nelson

119. John Nieporte

120. Joe Ogilivie

121. Jose Maria Olazabal

122. John Parry

123. Eddie Pepperell

124. John Peterson

125. Ted Potter Jr.

126. Josh Teater

127. Alistair Presnell

128. Michael Campbell

129. Marcel Siem

130. Geoffrey Sisk

131. Jesse Smith

132. Brendan Steele

133. Shawn Stefani

134. Brian Stuard

135. Chris Williams
(a) -- Top-ranked player in the World Amateur Golf Ranking at age 21.
136. Ryan Sullivan

137. Kevin Sutherland

138. Steven Fox
(a) -- 2012 U.S. Amateur champion making his first appearance as a 22-year-old.
139. Andrew Svoboda

140. Roger Tambellini

141. Nicholas Thompson

142. Yoshinobu Tsukada

143. Yui Ueda

144. Jaco Van Zyl

145. Matt Weibring

146. Harold Varner III

147. Ryan Yip

148. Rikard Karlberg

149. Gavin Hall
150. Michael Weaver
151. Max Homa
152. Kevin Phelan
153. Cory Mcelyea
154. Grayson Murray
155. Michael Kim
156. Cheng-Tsung Pan
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