It's the Micah Parsons Revenge Game, as the Green Bay Packers take on the Dallas Cowboys on Sunday Night Football in Week 4. Believe it or not, the team that has Micah Parsons is favored to beat the team that traded him away, per the latest NFL Week 4 odds.
If you're looking to place some player props tonight, I've got you covered. Below you'll find the best odds for my favorite Sunday Night Football prop bets. Just make sure you use one of these sportsbook promos to maximize these picks.
Best FanDuel Packers vs Cowboys Prop Bets: Week 4
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Player to Record a Sack – Micah Parsons (-144)
You can't write about this game and not take Micah Parsons to sack Dak Prescott. It's obligatory. But it's also a great bet. Parsons is winning on 32.7% of his pass-rush snaps so far, putting him eighth among all qualified players, per PFF. He's picked up at least half a sack in two of his three appearances for Green Bay despite playing just 63% of the snaps. I expect that number to skyrocket soon. Parsons had a snap rate of 80% or above in each of his first four seasons in the league. And if there ever was a time to unleash Micah, it's Sunday Night. Look for the four-time Pro Bowler to feast against an OL that has graded out as the league's second-worst unit in pass protection, per PFF.
Best DraftKings Packers vs Cowboys Prop Bets: Week 4
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Matthew Golden – Anytime Touchdown (+230)
Dallas is the league's second-worst defense in Expected Points Added (EPA) per play and dropback EPA. The Cowboys get beat on big plays, surrendering the second-most yards per completion (13.2) through three weeks. That should play right into Jordan Love's hands. Love is airing it out this season, averaging 9.4 air yards per pass – No. 2 in the NFL. When he goes deep he looks for Matthew Golden, who is second on the team with an average depth of target of 15.6 yards. I think Golden gets loose and burns one of the league's most beatable secondaries on Sunday Night.
Best Fanatics Packers vs Cowboys Prop Bets: Week 4
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Javonte Williams – Rushing Yards: Over 50.5 (-120)
Somehow, someway, Javonte Williams is back? Williams was one of the most explosive RBs in football before suffering a devastating knee injury. But he looks spry in Dallas, averaging 75.7 rushing yards per game. He's eclipsed this total in each of his first three games this season. The Cowboys also own a below-average early-down pass rate, so I think Williams will get the rock even if Dallas is a little behind. Now running behind PFF's No. 5-ranked run-blocking unit, I like his chances of getting to 51 yards.
Note: For the full slate of picks, check out the best NFL player props for Week 4.
Best BetMGM Packers vs Cowboys Prop Bets: Week 4
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Dak Prescott – Passing Yards: Under 241.5 (-140)
The eye test tells me Dak Prescott is playing better than the box score suggests. But the numbers aren't there. Prescott is averaging 266.7 passing yards per game (No. 4 in the NFL), but he padded those stats against two bottom-10 defenses in dropback EPA. In his lone game against a team outside the bottom 10, he threw for 188 yards – and that was with CeeDee Lamb, who is out in Week 4. The Packers present an entirely different challenge. Green Bay is the league's third-best defense in EPA per play, ranking sixth in dropback EPA and seventh in pressure rate.I fully expect this pass-rush to terrorize PFF's No. 31-ranked pass-blocking group.
Where to Bet on Anytime Touchdown Props
Here are the top sportsbooks that offer Sunday Night Football player prop markets. I've also provided each sign-up bonus:
RotoWire's Favorite Sportsbook Promo for Week 4
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