MLB Betting: Friday Best Bets

MLB Betting: Friday Best Bets

This article is part of our MLB Betting series.

Previous article 0-4 -4.65  

Overall 140-114-1 (55%) +7.22

Washington Nationals vs. Boston Red Sox 7:05 pm EDT 

Josh Rogers vs. Eduardo Rodriguez

Boston has scored 3 runs or less in 5 out of their last 6 games. The Red Sox are 33-44-1 to the under on the road for the season and the last 5 have gone under the total. The Red Sox are just 8-11 in their last 19 road games hitting .229 and a 26.5% strikeout rate vs. .295 and 18% at home.  The team total is between 4.5 – 5.5 with 5.5 being -120 to the under. I am going to take 4.5 at plus money considering how they have been playing on the road. 

BET – Red Sox under 4.5 runs (+125 BetMGM) for 1 RW buck

Miami Marlins vs. Philadelphia Phillies 7:10 pm EDT

Sandy Alcantara vs. Ranger Suarez

With all of the excitement on the final weekend of the season, we get an incredible pitching matchup with Alcantara and Suarez in Miami on Friday night. I love betting unders in Miami and especially with two stud pitchers on the mound vs. two subpar offenses. The Phillies have nothing to play for now that the Braves have won the NL East, so I would expect motivation to be at its lowest. 

The Marlins are hitting .213 in the month of September with a 27.5% strikeout rate. Their numbers are just slightly better at home (.221/26.4%). The Phillies are hitting just .212 on the road vs. .260 at home in the month of September. They are also only scoring 3.7 runs per game on the road vs. 5.0. 

Alcantara has been 10/15 to the under at home this year including 8 out of the last 11. 

BET – Suarez over 6.5 strikeouts (+104 FanDuel) for 1 RW buck

BET – Under 7 runs F5 (-115 BetMGM) for 1 RW buck

Seattle Mariners vs. Los Angeles Angels 10:10 pm EDT

Marco Gonzales vs. Jose Suarez

The Mariners are hot,  going 9-1 in their last 10, and are now tied for the Wild card in the American League. Gonzales has been solid against the Angels in his last 5 starts going 35 innings, 29 strikeouts, 6 walks, and a 2.06 ERA. Suarez just pitched against the Mariners on 9/24 allowing 4 earned runs in 5 innings. 

The Mariners are 8-1 in their last 9 starts at home in which Gonzales has been favored. They are still alive for the American League wild card and highly motivated to play well at home tonight. 

BET – Mariners -1.5 runs (+125 BetMGM) for 1 RW buck

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ABOUT THE AUTHOR
Michael Rathburn
Known as “Rath” in the Daily Fantasy Sports (DFS) community, he has helped run operations for two prominent daily fantasy sports startups. Michael has taken his insider knowledge and expertise in daily fantasy sports to the content side. Rath won the 2016 FSWA "Baseball Article of the Year, Online" award and was a finalist for the FSWA Best Baseball Series in 2011.
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