This article is part of our MLB Betting series.
Previous article 0-2 -2.15
Overall 164-147-2 -3.46
Houston Astros vs. Atlanta Braves
Current Line: Astros -135, 9 (u-120)
Fried and Garcia have similar numbers for the season overall, but the last game that Max Fried pitched, the Astros got him for 6 runs in 5 innings in Houston. The Astros were 51-30 at home this year. Both of Houston's wins have come by at least 4 runs and only one of their wins has also been by less than 4 runs. The Braves are just 3-4 on the road in the playoffs and the Astros are 5-2 at home.
In this scenario (Astros home favorites -100 to -150) they are 20-10 in their last 30 with a 17-12-1 record to the over. The average score has been 5.7-4.0. The Braves are just 13-17 SU as road dogs between +100 and +150 in their last 30 games and are 13-16-1 over/under.
I originally started off with the Astros winning in 7 and we might be headed there, but I just have not had a good feel for any of these games and the results show that. I am going to stick with my original pick and go with the Astros at home tonight to push this to a Game 7.
BET – Astros -1.5 (+160) for 1 RW buck
BET – Astros over 4.5 runs (+100) for 1 RW buck