Helpful Links
For those interested, we've started an MLB DFS Slack channel for paid RotoWire subscribers. (There is a season-long one as well.) To join those channels, e-mail [email protected].
Park Factors & Lines
Park factors in this piece are a three-year average from 2015-2017, indexed (100 = average). For example, left-handed home runs at Guaranteed Rate Field (home of the White Sox) have a three-year index of 122, which means there have been 22% more homers hit by lefties from all teams during that span in that park compared to a completely neutral environment. Left-handed hitters have a significant advantage when hitting at Guaranteed Rate Field.
AT&T Park (home of the Giants), has a three-year run index of 90, which means that games played at AT&T park have had 10% fewer runs scored overall than a completely neutral environment. Overall offensive production is reduced by a significant amount for games played in San Francisco, making it a safer environment than most for pitchers.
| Lefties | Righties | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Road Starter | Home Starter | Home Tm | R | AVG | HR | AVG | HR | K | O/U | HmL | 1st Pitch |
| Aaron Nola | Max Scherzer | Nationals | 100 | 98 | 89 | 105 | 114 | 98 | 7.0 | -170 | 1:05 PM |
| Adam Plutko | David Price | Red Sox | 114 | 112 | 78 | 109 | 105 | 99 | 9.5 | -210 | 1:05 PM |
| James Shields | Matt Boyd | Tigers | 103 | 98 | 104 | 103 | 101 | 104 | 9.0 | -120 | 1:10 PM |
| Madison Bumgarner | Jacob deGrom | Mets | 90 | 93 | 101 | 90 | |||||
Helpful Links
For those interested, we've started an MLB DFS Slack channel for paid RotoWire subscribers. (There is a season-long one as well.) To join those channels, e-mail [email protected].
Park Factors & Lines
Park factors in this piece are a three-year average from 2015-2017, indexed (100 = average). For example, left-handed home runs at Guaranteed Rate Field (home of the White Sox) have a three-year index of 122, which means there have been 22% more homers hit by lefties from all teams during that span in that park compared to a completely neutral environment. Left-handed hitters have a significant advantage when hitting at Guaranteed Rate Field.
AT&T Park (home of the Giants), has a three-year run index of 90, which means that games played at AT&T park have had 10% fewer runs scored overall than a completely neutral environment. Overall offensive production is reduced by a significant amount for games played in San Francisco, making it a safer environment than most for pitchers.
| Lefties | Righties | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Road Starter | Home Starter | Home Tm | R | AVG | HR | AVG | HR | K | O/U | HmL | 1st Pitch |
| Aaron Nola | Max Scherzer | Nationals | 100 | 98 | 89 | 105 | 114 | 98 | 7.0 | -170 | 1:05 PM |
| Adam Plutko | David Price | Red Sox | 114 | 112 | 78 | 109 | 105 | 99 | 9.5 | -210 | 1:05 PM |
| James Shields | Matt Boyd | Tigers | 103 | 98 | 104 | 103 | 101 | 104 | 9.0 | -120 | 1:10 PM |
| Madison Bumgarner | Jacob deGrom | Mets | 90 | 93 | 101 | 90 | 92 | 106 | 6.5 | -165 | 1:10 PM |
| Joey Lucchesi | Kyle Freeland | Rockies | 138 | 121 | 117 | 116 | 118 | 87 | 10.5 | -170 | 3:10 PM |
| Danny Duffy | Tyler Glasnow | Rays | 92 | 95 | 97 | 94 | 90 | 110 | 7.0 | -195 | 7:10 PM |
| Sean Newcomb | Elieser Hernandez | Marlins | 84 | 93 | 86 | 91 | 83 | 103 | 8.0 | 140 | 7:10 PM |
| Anthony DeSclafani | Cole Hamels | Cubs | 98 | 99 | 88 | 98 | 114 | 100 | 8:05 PM | ||
| Trevor Cahill | Kohl Stewart | Twins | 105 | 103 | 95 | 105 | 113 | 93 | 9.5 | 145 | 8:10 PM |
Pitcher Skills
These stats look at each starting pitcher's stats since the start of last season.
The final two columns are team stats for each pitcher's opponent.
OwRC+ is the team wRC+ for the current season, against the handedness of that pitcher.
TeamK% is the strikeout rate of the opposing team for the current season, against the handedness of that pitcher.
Note: Opponent team matchup data from 2018 season.
| Player | Opp | IP | K% | BB% | K-BB | HR/9 | ERA | WHIP | DK | FD | OwRC+ | OsK% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Matt Boyd (L) | v CWS | 270.0 | 19.9 | 8.1 | 11.8 | 1.13 | 4.77 | 1.33 | $6,000 | $7,700 | 93 | 25.7 |
| Madison Bumgarner (L) | at NYM | 196.7 | 21.3 | 6.6 | 14.7 | 1.14 | 3.20 | 1.18 | $7,500 | $9,000 | 84 | 26.6 |
| Trevor Cahill (R) | at MIN | 170.7 | 23.8 | 9.7 | 14.1 | 1.16 | 4.01 | 1.32 | $9,200 | $8,000 | 97 | 21.5 |
| Jacob deGrom (R) | v SF | 369.3 | 29.9 | 6.4 | 23.5 | 0.88 | 2.70 | 1.08 | $11,900 | $12,000 | 94 | 22.7 |
| Anthony DeSclafani (R) | at CHC | 74.3 | 21.1 | 6.3 | 14.8 | 1.82 | 4.12 | 1.18 | $8,000 | $7,000 | 105 | 20.2 |
| Danny Duffy (L) | at TB | 289.7 | 20.7 | 8.4 | 12.3 | 1.09 | 4.35 | 1.37 | $6,400 | $8,300 | 100 | 23.9 |
| Kyle Freeland (L) | v SD | 308.0 | 17.9 | 9.0 | 8.9 | 0.91 | 3.54 | 1.36 | $6,700 | $8,700 | 98 | 23.7 |
| Tyler Glasnow (R) | v KC | 136.7 | 24.7 | 13.6 | 11.0 | 1.38 | 5.73 | 1.62 | $8,400 | $6,300 | 84 | 21.6 |
| Cole Hamels (L) | v CIN | 287.3 | 20.0 | 8.3 | 11.7 | 1.28 | 4.10 | 1.24 | $10,400 | $9,200 | 111 | 20.8 |
| Elieser Hernandez (R) | v ATL | 56.7 | 16.0 | 9.1 | 7.0 | 1.27 | 5.08 | 1.43 | $4,100 | $5,500 | 98 | 20.3 |
| Joey Lucchesi (L) | at COL | 92.7 | 25.2 | 8.7 | 16.5 | 1.46 | 3.79 | 1.31 | $5,100 | $6,500 | 109 | 21.2 |
| Sean Newcomb (L) | at MIA | 235.0 | 22.6 | 11.8 | 10.7 | 0.92 | 3.98 | 1.42 | $7,800 | $7,200 | 84 | 21.5 |
| Aaron Nola (R) | at WAS | 329.0 | 26.0 | 7.0 | 19.0 | 0.71 | 2.90 | 1.10 | $9,100 | $10,400 | 100 | 20.0 |
| Adam Plutko (R) | at BOS | 48.7 | 17.8 | 6.1 | 11.7 | 2.22 | 4.62 | 1.15 | $4,100 | $5,900 | 119 | 17.9 |
| David Price (L) | v CLE | 216.0 | 24.2 | 7.2 | 17.0 | 1.13 | 3.58 | 1.19 | $7,000 | $9,400 | 102 | 18.9 |
| Max Scherzer (R) | v PHI | 375.3 | 34.4 | 6.6 | 27.8 | 0.94 | 2.33 | 0.90 | $11,500 | $12,200 | 104 | 23.4 |
| James Shields (R) | at DET | 281.0 | 19.0 | 9.5 | 9.5 | 1.60 | 4.74 | 1.35 | $5,000 | $7,500 | 78 | 22.4 |
| Kohl Stewart (R) | v OAK | 7.0 | 8.1 | 13.5 | -5.4 | 0.00 | 7.71 | 2.29 | $4,100 | $5,500 | 109 | 21.4 |
Pitcher Splits
These splits cover each pitcher's performance against left-handed and right-handed hitters since the start of the 2016 season.
Stats highlighted yellow indicate matchups favoring the pitcher. Stats highlighted blue indicate matchups favoring opposing hitters.
| v. Lefties | v. Righties | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Name | Opp | K% | BB% | K-BB | HR/9 | wOBA | K% | BB% | K-BB | HR/9 | wOBA |
| Matt Boyd (L) | v CWS | 20.4 | 6.7 | 13.7 | 0.88 | 0.297 | 19.8 | 8.1 | 11.7 | 1.34 | 0.329 |
| Madison Bumgarner (L) | at NYM | 28.6 | 5.5 | 23.2 | 0.57 | 0.244 | 23.7 | 6.4 | 17.3 | 1.20 | 0.292 |
| Trevor Cahill (R) | at MIN | 23.2 | 11.7 | 11.5 | 0.85 | 0.306 | 24.0 | 9.4 | 14.6 | 1.31 | 0.313 |
| Jacob deGrom (R) | v SF | 26.0 | 6.8 | 19.2 | 0.74 | 0.285 | 30.2 | 5.8 | 24.4 | 1.03 | 0.271 |
| Anthony DeSclafani (R) | at CHC | 21.1 | 5.4 | 15.7 | 1.99 | 0.358 | 20.5 | 6.8 | 13.8 | 0.82 | 0.265 |
| Danny Duffy (L) | at TB | 26.9 | 4.2 | 22.7 | 0.52 | 0.226 | 21.7 | 8.1 | 13.6 | 1.34 | 0.335 |
| Kyle Freeland (L) | v SD | 28.0 | 7.2 | 20.7 | 0.73 | 0.285 | 14.8 | 9.5 | 5.3 | 0.96 | 0.329 |
| Tyler Glasnow (R) | v KC | 23.3 | 15.5 | 7.8 | 1.39 | 0.379 | 25.5 | 11.5 | 13.9 | 1.22 | 0.332 |
| Cole Hamels (L) | v CIN | 19.1 | 9.0 | 10.1 | 0.66 | 0.264 | 22.0 | 8.6 | 13.5 | 1.33 | 0.324 |
| Elieser Hernandez (R) | v ATL | 12.7 | 11.9 | 0.8 | 1.67 | 0.393 | 19.7 | 6.0 | 13.7 | 0.91 | 0.287 |
| Joey Lucchesi (L) | at COL | 27.1 | 8.2 | 18.8 | 0.00 | 0.285 | 24.7 | 8.8 | 15.9 | 1.83 | 0.335 |
| Sean Newcomb (L) | at MIA | 25.6 | 9.8 | 15.9 | 1.08 | 0.315 | 21.6 | 12.5 | 9.1 | 0.87 | 0.316 |
| Aaron Nola (R) | at WAS | 23.1 | 8.9 | 14.2 | 0.79 | 0.292 | 28.1 | 4.8 | 23.4 | 0.69 | 0.268 |
| Adam Plutko (R) | at BOS | 12.0 | 10.0 | 2.0 | 3.32 | 0.423 | 22.6 | 3.5 | 19.1 | 1.47 | 0.277 |
| David Price (L) | v CLE | 20.6 | 4.0 | 16.7 | 0.95 | 0.303 | 25.0 | 6.8 | 18.2 | 1.20 | 0.306 |
| Max Scherzer (R) | v PHI | 27.6 | 8.4 | 19.2 | 1.24 | 0.297 | 39.6 | 4.3 | 35.3 | 0.85 | 0.208 |
| James Shields (R) | at DET | 16.6 | 11.2 | 5.4 | 1.82 | 0.351 | 19.3 | 8.2 | 11.1 | 1.68 | 0.346 |
| Kohl Stewart (R) | v OAK | 0.0 | 13.0 | -13.0 | 0.00 | 0.375 | 21.4 | 14.3 | 7.1 | 0.00 | 0.481 |
