Chase Anderson, MIL vs. SD ($18,600): The Padres have been improving as an offense overall, but Anderson checks in having scored between 24.50 and 39.35 fantasy points in his last four starts. The Padres also still sport a majors-high 28.0 percent strikeout rate and a .279 wOBA against right-handed pitching on the road, while Anderson boasts a 1.69 ERA, .212 BAA and .276 wOBA over 37.1 home innings despite Miller Park’s hitter-friendly conditions.
Zack Godley, ARI at PHI ($16,200): Godley has scored over 20 fantasy points in four of his last six starts and boasts a solid 2.84 ERA and 3.35 xFIP in 19 road innings. He’s only surrendered a 24.1 percent hard contact rate away from Chase Field as well, while the Phillies check in with a .282 wOBA and 24.6 percent strikeout rate in 264 plate appearances against right-handed pitching at Citizens Bank Park over the last calendar month.
Jake Lamb, ARI at PHI ($10,200): Phillies starter Jerad Eickhoff checks in allowing a .370 wOBA against left-handed hitters, including a .377 wOBA when facing them at home. He’s getting progressively worse as the season goes on as well, generating a 6.59 ERA, .376 wOBA, 46.8 percent hard contact rate and 5.08 xFIP in 13.2 innings across his three starts in June. Lamb checks in with a .435 wOBA (including .458 on the road) and .322 ISO versus righties, along with a 24.6 percent line drive rate and 43.1 percent hard contact rate when facing them on the road.
Edwin Encarnacion, CLE at MIN ($9,300): Encarnacion launched another monster homer Friday and now has a .361 average, four homers, .498 wOBA, .389 ISO, 218 wRC+ and 41.9 percent hard contact rate over his first 43 plate appearances of June. He’s also blasting southpaws as usual, posting a .407 wOBA, 24.0 percent line drive rate and 48.0 percent hard contact rate versus that handedness. Twins starter Adalberto Mejia has surrendered a .372 wOBA and six of the seven homers he’s given up to right-handed bats, along with a 5.36 xFIP, 20.2 percent line drive rate and 36.0 percent hard contact rate. Twins relievers have been vulnerable as well, allowing a 5.44 ERA, eight homers, 32.8 percent hard contact rate and a .349 wOBA to the 185 righty bats they’ve faced over the last calendar month.
Jose Martinez, STL at BAL ($6,600): Martinez has been knocking the cover off the ball in June, posting a 33.3 percent line drive rate and 45.8 percent hard contact rate over 32 plate appearances. His BABIP over that stretch is just .227, however, indicating that he’s been on the wrong side of luck on quite a few of those at-bats. That’s started to turn in his favor a bit over his last five games and he draws a solid matchup Saturday against Wade Miley, who’s given up a .350 wOBA, 24.0 percent line drive rate and 34.9 percent hard contact rate to right-handed hitters, and a .378 wOBA, .352 BAA and 8.25 ERA in the 12 innings encompassing his last three starts. Martinez has thrived in his limited exposure to southpaws, posting a .438 wOBA and impressive 35.3 percent line drive rate versus that handedness in 21 plate appearances.
Cody Bellinger, LAD at CIN ($9,900): Bellinger is sporting a .418 wOBA, .471 ISO and 58.8 percent hard contact rate over his first 58 plate appearances of June, and he’s blasted 13 of his 18 homers on the season against right-handed pitching. He also owns a .375 wOBA, .354 ISO, 22.9 percent line drive rate and 58.3 percent hard contact rate against that handedness on the road, while Reds starter Asher Wojciechowski has surrendered a 4.91 ERA, .376 wOBA and .318 BAA in 11 June frames. He could also be due for some significant regression against left-handed bats, as the .321 wOBA he’s allowed to that handedness is bound to rise considering it’s accompanied by a 6.81 xFIP and .259 BABIP.
Scott Schebler, CIN vs. LAD ($8,800): Schebler makes for an appealing play on the other side of the Reds-Dodgers matchup, considering the reverse-split tendencies both he and LA starter Hyun-Jin Ryu have exhibited. Schebler owns a .406 wOBA, .323 ISO and 44.2 percent hard contact rate in 63 plate appearances versus southpaws, while Ryu has surrendered a .432 wOBA, 20.8 percent line drive rate (including 25.0 percent on the road) and 36.7 percent hard contact rate to same-side bats. Ryu has also given up a .345 wOBA and 6.55 ERA in the 11 innings encompassing his last two starts, furthering Schebler’s case on what will be a warm day in a hitter-friendly park.
Mark Trumbo, BAL vs. STL ($7,200): Cardinals starter Adam Wainwright has had a split personality this season, performing markedly worse on the road. He’s sporting a 7.28 ERA, .328 BAA, .379 wOBA and 33.7 percent hard contact rate surrendered in 29.2 innings away from Busch Stadium, and a .347 wOBA and 30.8 percent hard contact rate when facing righty bats on the road. Trumbo is still underwhelming compared to his stellar 2016 numbers, but he does have a 20.0 percent line drive rate and 34.3 percent hard contact rate against right-handed pitching at Camden Yards. The Cardinals bullpen has also been increasingly vulnerable to right-handed hitters, surrendering a 5.13 ERA and 34.0 percent hard contact rate to that handedness over the last calendar month.
Giancarlo Stanton, MIA at ATL ($9,200): Braves starter Jaime Garcia is in the midst of an impressive stretch of starts, but he’s been decimated by Stanton throughout his career. The Marlins slugger has touched him up for a .700 average, a double, three homers and six RBI over 14 career plate appearances, and has blasted left-handed pitching for a .552 wOBA, .548 ISO and 48.5 percent hard contact rate over 49 plate appearances. He’s also carrying a .434 wOBA over his first 57 plate appearances in June, while Garcia has been on the right side of luck somewhat against righty bats, as evidenced by a 4.40 xFIP and .249 BABIP. His strikeout rate against right-handed bats is a mediocre 5.52 (as compared to 9.00 against lefty hitters), while the Braves bullpen has also surrendered a majors-high 6.82 ERA and eight homers (along with a .340 wOBA) to right-handed hitters at home over the last calendar month.
Joey Votto, CIN vs. LAD ($9,200): Ryu’s issues with same-handed hitters were detailed earlier, while Votto checks in with a .465 wOBA and .336 ISO at Great American Ballpark, and a .451 wOBA, .414 ISO, 31.8 percent HR/FB rate and 34.7 percent hard contact rate against southpaws overall. He’s also ripped five homers, a .462 wOBA, 22.0 percent line drive rate and 38.0 percent hard contact rate over his first 60 plate appearances of June, including a .470 wOBA in 35 plate appearances at home.