DFS College Basketball: Wednesday Preview

DFS College Basketball: Wednesday Preview

This article is part of our DFS College Basketball series.

There are two slates Wednesday with DraftKings and FanDuel both offering contests with a noon EST start time. Later on, we shift to a larger 11-game DraftKings slate with a featured $2,000 top payout in the $15 Pull Up Jumper. Meanwhile, FanDuel has a seven-game slate for their $5.55 All American contest with a $1,000 top prize. The night action starts a half-hour earlier on DraftKings at 6 p.m. EST, though actual game start times will often vary based on tournament sites.

Early Slate

Targets

1. Alan Griffin, F, Syracuse ($7,800 DK, $7,700 FD)

Two teams in the bottom half of the ACC in defensive efficiency square off against each other and lead us to the highest over/under of the early slate. It's a welcome matchup for Griffin, who averaged 20.5 points in their two meetings on the strength of seven three-pointers. In what should be a competitive game, Griffin may not come off the court at all, and he's averaging over one fantasy point per minute. 

2. Chudier Bile, F, Georgetown ($6,400 DK, $4,800 FD)

Since entering the starting lineup in the beginning of February, Bile has scored 15+ points in 6-of-9 games while posting a double-double in two of his last three. He'll get a matchup against a Marquette team that ranks third-to-last in the Big East in defensive efficiency. The Golden Eagles have especially struggled to defend the three, allowing opponents to shoot 34 percent from long-range, where Bile is shooting 43 percent from with seven makes over his last two games.

3. Dereon Seabron, G, N.C. State ($5,000 DK, $3,900 FD)

Sticking with the expected high-scoring Syracuse/N.C. State game, Seabron is a high-ceiling value option having entered the starting lineup over the last five games due to the injury to Thomas Allen. He's a true boom/bust option with three games under 16 fantasy points and two games with 38+ over that five game stretch. With Syracuse allowing opponents to shoot 49 percent from inside-the-arc this season, this should be a good opportunity for it to be a 'boom' game. 

Fades

1. DJ Carton, G, Marquette ($7,100 DK, $6,000 FD)

Georgetown held Carton in check during their first meeting, scoring just seven points on 3-of-11 shooting. He's been hit or miss recently – over his last five games he's scored over 15 points three times while being held to 10 combined points in the other two games. He hasn't been an efficient long-range shooter, and Georgetown has a lot of size in the paint to disrupt Carton when he looks to drive into the lane. At a $1,500 higher salary than two starts ago, Carton is overpriced on DraftKings.

2. Elijah Olaniyi, G/F, Miami ($6,600 DK, $6,200 FD)

Miami gets a tough matchup against Clemson, who leads the ACC in defense while also playing at the second-slowest tempo. Olaniyi hasn't been all that efficient at 42 percent shooting this season, and his upside is limited, having topped out at 26.5 fantasy points over his last five games. Clemson has been average when it comes to defending the perimeter and Isaiah Wong ($8,000 DK) took advantage in their first meeting less than two weeks ago with 28 points on 10-of-18 shooting.

3. Clyde Trapp, G, Clemson ($6,000 DK, $4,700 FD)

It's difficult to find a lot of players to like in this game, and Trapp is only averaging 18.2 fantasy points over his last five games. He had a rough go in the team's first meeting with five points on 2-of-7 shooting, and that's an area he's struggled this season at only 39 percent from the floor. Miami's opponents have made at least eight threes in each of their last six games, making three point specialist Al-Amir Dawes ($5,600 DK) an intriguing pivot at a slightly cheaper salary.

Main Slate

Targets

1. Carlik Jones, G, Louisville ($7,700 DK, $7,700 FD)

Jones is a good pivot off the most expensive options tonight as a sub-$8k salary player that should be one of the highest-scoring players on the slate. The clear go-to guy for the Cardinals this season, Jones has only come off the court for one minute total over his last three games and has torched Duke, averaging 24.5 points and 4.5 assists in their two meetings. He's also not mainly reliant on points for his fantasy scoring, as he leads the team in assists and is a likely bet for at least a couple of steals.

2. John Harrar, F, Penn St. ($6,100 DK, $5,600 FD)

Harrar has been a force on the glass this season and even more so against Nebraska, having posted 25 boards combined in the team's two meetings. With Teddy Allen no longer with the team, he should have even more opportunities and is a likely double-double candidate at a below-average salary. Even though he hasn't been a huge part of Penn State's offense, he's been efficient when called upon, and Nebraska is allowing opponents to shoot 52 percent from two-point range.

3. Kerwin Walton, G, UNC ($5,300 DK, $4,300 FD)

On a UNC squad that's been inconsistent offensively, Walton has quietly been one of the most reliable options since entering the starting lineup at the beginning of conference action. His shooting splits of 56/42/94 are some of the most efficient you'll find, and he shouldn't get much resistance against a Notre Dame squad that is second-to-last in defense in the ACC. With three 27+ fantasy point scoring games over his last five, Walton is a solid low-cost option.

Fades

1. Wendell Moore, F, Duke ($7,800 DK, $5,000 FD)

Moore enters a price tier on DraftKings I'm not comfortable with, as he's priced $2,800 higher than FanDuel and $1,800 more than he was two games ago. It's an odd increase in salary considering he's been held to single digit points in each of the last two games. Louisville has been a pretty sound defensive team this season, ranking fourth in the ACC in efficiency. Even at a discount on FanDuel, Moore is a risky option after only averaging 11 points on 44 percent shooting in the team's two meetings this season.

2. Nate Watson, F, Providence ($7,200 DK, $7,000 FD)

Watson is coming off a pair of nice games against two offensive-minded teams and goes from a below-average salary to a second-tier one that is too risky for my liking. Although 4-13 DePaul looks like a good matchup at first glance, its struggles have been on the offensive end, and only UConn ranks better in the Big East in defense. It's no surprise that he was held in check in their most recent meeting to just 2-of-8 shooting. I'd rather go with Noah Horchler ($5,500 DK, $4,300 FD) – a cheaper option and double-double candidate.

3. Matt Bradley, G/F, California ($6,700 DK, $5,900 FD)

Bradley's fantasy value has been deteriorating as of late and it's unlikely to get any better against a tough Cardinal defense that held Cal to an average of 62.5 points in their two meetings. His upside is limited, having only scored more than 26 fantasy points in one of his last seven games. With Stanford getting Daejon Davis and Bryce Wills back, along with possibly Oscar da Silva to sure up their defense, it's hard to find much value on the California side. With it being a large slate of games and Stanford having uncertainty with their rotation, fading this game altogether is a reasonable route to take.

The author(s) of this article may play in daily fantasy contests including – but not limited to – games that they have provided recommendations or advice on in this article. In the course of playing in these games using their personal accounts, it's possible that they will use players in their lineups or other strategies that differ from the recommendations they have provided above. The recommendations in this article do not necessarily reflect the views of RotoWire.
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ABOUT THE AUTHOR
Ryan Pohle
Ryan Pohle breaks down golf bets and covers college basketball for RotoWire.
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