DK Metcalf

DK Metcalf

26-Year-Old Wide ReceiverWR
Seattle Seahawks
2024 Fantasy Outlook
Metcalf is one of the NFL's all-time physical freaks and has thoroughly defied the pre-draft medical concerns that dropped him to 64th overall in 2019. Still, he feels like somewhat of a disappointment, even if it's hard to pick out a specific weakness in his game. Metcalf erupted for 83-1,303-10 in his second season and hasn't stopped scoring touchdowns since (26 in three subsequent years), but his other numbers have been far less impressive -- averages of 77 catches for 1,043 yards on 129.7 targets, at a 59.4 percent catch rate and 8.0 YPT. Part of that entails the change from prime Russell Wilson to a declining/injured Wilson and then Geno Smith. Another part is that the Seahawks were 32nd, 22nd and 32nd in offensive snaps the past three years, sitting about 7 percent below league-average in play volume since the NFL moved to a 17-game schedule. Swapping out HC Pete Carroll and OC Shane Waldron for Mike McDaniel and Ryan Grubb might help with the team-level volume, but Metcalf again again faces strong competition for WR targets from Tyler Lockett and 2023 first-round pick Jaxon Smith-Njigba. Annual predictions of Lockett's share decreasing still haven't manifested, and by the time that inevitably happens (or he leaves) it might be Smith-Njigba benefitting more so than Metcalf. On the bright side, Metcalf is still only 26, immensely talented and has never finished below 900 yards or six touchdowns. He's at least a solid starter for fantasy teams, and a coaching change might be the shake-up he needs to finally get back to his 2020 production and/or push toward 30 percent target share for the first time. Read Past Outlooks
RANKS
$Signed a three-year, $72 million contract with the Seahawks in July of 2022.
Ugly finish to 2023 season
WRSeattle Seahawks
January 7, 2024
Metcalf was held to one reception for 10 yards on six targets in Sunday's 21-20 win over Arizona.
ANALYSIS
Quarterback Geno Smith was not synced up with his No. 1 receiver despite picking up the win, resulting in the duo's worst catch rate (17 percent) to date. Even with the sour finish, Metcalf turned in his third 1,000-yard season since joining the league in 2019. The ironman missed the first game of his career due to injury, but he started Seattle's other 16 contests to finish with 66 receptions, 1,114 yards and eight touchdowns. Metcalf will continue to operate as the Seahawks' top receiving option when the team resumes play in 2024.
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NFL Stats
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Fantasy/Red Zone Stats
See red zone opportunities inside the 20, 10 and 5-yard lines along with the percentage of time they converted the opportunity into a touchdown.
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Advanced NFL Stats
How do DK Metcalf's 2023 advanced stats compare to other wide receivers?
This section compares his advanced stats with players at the same position. The bar represents the player's percentile rank. For example, if the bar is halfway across, then the player falls into the 50th percentile for that metric and it would be considered average. The longer the bar, the better it is for the player.
  • Air Yards Per Game
    The number of air yards he is averaging per game. Air yards measure how far the ball was thrown downfield for both complete and incomplete passes. Air yards are recorded as a negative value when the pass is targeted behind the line of scrimmage. All air yards data is from Sports Info Solutions and does not include throwaways as targeted passes.
  • Air Yards Per Snap
    The number of air yards he is averaging per offensive snap.
  • % Team Air Yards
    The percentage of the team's total air yards he accounts for.
  • % Team Targets
    The percentage of the team's total targets he accounts for.
  • Avg Depth of Target
    Also known as aDOT, this stat measures the average distance down field he is being targeted at.
  • Catch Rate
    The number of catches made divided by the number of times he was targeted by the quarterback.
  • Drop Rate
    The number of passes he dropped divided by the number of times he was targeted by the quarterback.
  • Avg Yds After Catch
    The number of yards he gains after the catch on his receptions.
  • % Targeted On Route
    Targets divided by total routes run. Also known as TPRR.
  • Avg Yds Per Route Run
    Receiving yards divided by total routes run. Also known as YPRR.
Air Yards Per Game
96.2
 
Air Yards Per Snap
1.97
 
% Team Air Yards
37.9%
 
% Team Targets
21.9%
 
Avg Depth of Target
12.8 Yds
 
Catch Rate
55.5%
 
Drop Rate
5.9%
 
Avg Yds After Catch
5.7
 
% Targeted On Route
22.5%
 
Avg Yds Per Route Run
2.11
 
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2023
2022
2021
2020
2019
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2022 NFL Game Log
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2021 NFL Game Log
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Snap Distribution / Depth Chart
Snap Counts
Snap %
Seattle SeahawksSeahawks 2023 WR Snap Distribution See more data like this | See last season's snap counts
#% of Team Snaps

79079%
78379%
63964%
29229%
232%
162%
91%
20%
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Receiving Alignment Breakdown
See where DK Metcalf lined up on the field and how he performed at each spot.
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2023 DK Metcalf Split Stats
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Measurables Review View College Player Page
How do DK Metcalf's measurables compare to other wide receivers?
This section compares his draft workout metrics with players at the same position. The bar represents the player's percentile rank. For example, if the bar is halfway across, then the player falls into the 50th percentile for that metric and it would be considered average.
Height
6' 4"
 
Weight
235 lbs
 
40-Yard Dash
4.33 sec
 
Shuttle Time
4.50 sec
 
Cone Drill
7.38 sec
 
Vertical Jump
40.5 in
 
Broad Jump
134 in
 
Bench Press
27 reps
 
Hand Length
9.88 in
 
Arm Length
34.88 in
 
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26 days ago
Wide receivers were the big ADP gainers over the past month, with Jaylen Waddle leading the way after signing a huge extension late in May.
Past Fantasy Outlooks
2023
2022
2021
2020
2019
Metcalf's size/speed combination is unmatched, but from a statistical standpoint he's only put it all together in one of his four NFL seasons -- in 2020 when he went for 83-1,303-10. He got back on the right side of 1,000 yards last year, barely, yet finished with a career-low six touchdowns amidst a breakout season from Geno Smith. While Metcalf's 141 targets were a career high and easily a team high, Smith was actually more efficient when throwing to Tyler Lockett and his tight ends. Lockett, in particular, had three more touchdowns and only 15 fewer yards on 24 fewer targets than Metcalf. Some of that might just be luck, but at what point do we start to consider the possibility that Metcalf is merely a good player and not a great one despite his physical gifts? On the other hand, he's only 25 and has never missed a game after a bunch of injuries in college, so giving him one more chance to join the elite isn't the worst idea even with rookie Jaxon Smith-Njigba adding to the target competition.
Metcalf's third season was a step back from his second, though a dozen touchdowns softened the blow and he played every game for a third consecutive year. That last part is key, as a sketchy medical history was perhaps the biggest reason Metcalf wasn't picked until late in the second round in 2020. In terms of physical tools, he's an early first-rounder through and through, having put up a 4.33 40 and 40.5-inch vertical at the 2019 Combine. Metcalf struggles a bit with the finer points of route-running, as is common for oversized wideouts, but he showed in 2020 that he can do damage all over the field nonetheless. In 2021, however, his connection with Russell Wilson was inconsistent, with Metcalf catching only 54 percent of the targets he saw from the star quarterback. Wilson's finger injury might have been a big part of Seattle's struggles as a team, but Metcalf can't totally blame it for his disappointing year, as he had just one 100-yard outing in Wilson's 14 starts and finished the season with 208 fewer yards than Tyler Lockett on 22 more targets. While the chemistry might have been an issue, Metcalf now faces a much bigger problem, catching passes Geno Smith. Long term, things look far more promising, as the Wilson deal with Denver netted a boatload of draft picks to rebuild the offense around Metcalf, who signed a three-year extension in July.
Through the first 11 weeks last season, Metcalf had a 90-58-1,039-9 line (with 17.9 YPC and 11.5 YPT), a 1,500-yard, 13-TD pace. But he had only one TD over the season’s final five weeks and never again eclipsed 100 yards in a game. The problem was Seattle’s schedule (they faced the Nos. 1, 2 and 9 pass defenses) and their inability to protect Russell Wilson, whose record-pace numbers also cratered. But coach Pete Carroll does prefer a more run-heavy offense, something that’s limited Wilson and his receivers for nearly a decade. In fact, Wilson himself agreed to waive his no-trade clause if the Seahawks were willing to move him, presumably to a team that would “let Russ cook.” Assuming Wilson stays put, Metcalf should reprise his status as his monstrous big-play weapon. Physically, Metcalf is Julio Jones with 15 more pounds of muscle. Or perhaps Terrell Owens with more speed. The last (and perhaps only) physical freak at Metcalf’s level was peak Calvin Johnson. At 6-4, an absurdly jacked 235 and running a 4.33 40, Metcalf can get behind any defense, and Wilson has the arm to reach him. But his production fell late in the season in part because Wilson didn’t have time for Metcalf’s deeper routes (13.3 aDOT, 4th) to develop. Bottom line, there’s some uncertainty, but if Wilson sticks around — something that seems likely — Metcalf again should compete with Tyreek Hill to be the league’s most dangerous game breaker.
A poor showing in the combine agility drills (three-cone drill and short shuttle) dinged Metcalf's draft stock, and the Seahawks wisely bought low with the 64th overall pick in last year's draft. Metcalf's numbers were solid enough - 15.5 YPC, 9.0 YPT and four catches of 40-plus on only 100 targets - but they don't include the wild-card game when he torched the Eagles for 160 yards and a score. What stands out most about Metcalf is his freakish size/speed combination - think Terrell Owens with more speed, or Julio Jones with more muscle. At 6-4, 229, and running a 4.33 40, Metcalf is off the charts athletically, and his 40.5-inch vertical leap and 134-inch broad jump show his explosiveness. He'll never be the quick-in-and-out-of-breaks slot type, but that hardly matters when you can run past, jump above and overpower the unlucky defender who happens to be assigned to you. Metcalf is also ideally built for red-zone work - 18 targets last season - and likely will get more work from in close during his second season. It also helps to be paired with one of the league's elite quarterbacks in Russell Wilson, who routinely makes downfield throws after escaping the pocket, though it hurts that the Seahawks are so run-heavy (23rd in pass attempts). Moreover, Tyler Lockett is still around as a co-No. 1, and the Seahawks acquired tight end Greg Olsen this offseason.
The Seahawks under offensive coordinator Brian Schottenheimer rarely throw - they were last with 427 passing attempts last year - but someone has to receive those targets. With Doug Baldwin retiring and returning top receiver Tyler Lockett seeing only 70 targets last year, Metcalf could step into a large role right away. At 6-3, 228, and with 4.33 speed, he's a freak in the Julio Jones mold, a rare athlete at the position you'll see once every five years. But his times in the agility drills at the combine were terrible, and it's possible that caused him to slip to the back of the second round. Look for Lockett to see most of his work in the slot, and Metcalf to vie for targets on the outside, both down the field and in the red zone. David Moore is still around, however, and the team used its fourth-round pick on Gary Jennings, another athletic wideout who was more productive than Metcalf in college.
More Fantasy News
Tops 1,000 yards
WRSeattle Seahawks
December 31, 2023
Metcalf recorded five catches on eight targets for 106 yards in Sunday's 30-23 loss to the Steelers.
ANALYSIS
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Suiting up in Week 17
WRSeattle Seahawks
December 31, 2023
Metcalf (back) is active for Sunday's game against the Steelers.
ANALYSIS
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Slated to play in Week 17
WRSeattle Seahawks
Lower Back
December 29, 2023
Head coach Pete Carroll said Friday that Metcalf is tending to stiffness in his lower back, but the wide receiver is in line to play Sunday against the Steelers, Curtis Crabtree of Fox 13 Seattle reports.
ANALYSIS
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Listed as questionable
WRSeattle Seahawks
Back
December 29, 2023
Metcalf (back) is listed as questionable for Sunday's game against Pittsburgh, Bob Condotta of The Seattle Times reports.
ANALYSIS
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Dealing with back issue
WRSeattle Seahawks
Back
December 28, 2023
Metcalf didn't practice Thursday due to a back injury, Bob Condotta of The Seattle Times reports.
ANALYSIS
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Latest Fantasy Rumors
Not facing top corner Monday
WRSeattle Seahawks
December 16, 2023
Metcalf should see more open space for Monday's contest against the Eagles, with Adam Schefter of ESPN reporting Saturday that Darius Slay was ruled out for the game after undergoing arthroscopic knee surgery this week.
ANALYSIS
With Slay out for Sunday's contest, the Eagles figure to assign James Bradbury as the primary corner to shadow Metcalf. Philadelphia's defense has allowed 585 passing yards and six touchdowns over their last two losses, and their 259.9 passing yards allowed per game is fifth worst in the NFL. Metcalf could see plenty of additional opportunities for open space in the passing attack, or at the very least, give breathing room for fellow Seattle wideouts Tyler Lockett, Jaxon Smith-Njigba and Jake Bobo. Metcalf's opportunities could be further bolstered if Geno Smith is able to return from his one-game absence, with the former catching just two passes on five targets for 52 yards and a touchdown with Drew Lock under center in Week 14 against the 49ers.
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