DK Metcalf

Metcalf is one of the NFL's all-time physical freaks and has thoroughly defied the pre-draft medical concerns that dropped him to 64th overall in 2019. Still, he feels like somewhat of a disappointment, even if it's hard to pick out a specific weakness in his game. Metcalf erupted for 83-1,303-10 in his second season and hasn't stopped scoring touchdowns since (26 in three subsequent years), but his other numbers have been far less impressive -- averages of 77 catches for 1,043 yards on 129.7 targets, at a 59.4 percent catch rate and 8.0 YPT. Part of that entails the change from prime Russell Wilson to a declining/injured Wilson and then Geno Smith. Another part is that the Seahawks were 32nd, 22nd and 32nd in offensive snaps the past three years, sitting about 7 percent below league-average in play volume since the NFL moved to a 17-game schedule. Swapping out HC Pete Carroll and OC Shane Waldron for Mike McDaniel and Ryan Grubb might help with the team-level volume, but Metcalf again again faces strong competition for WR targets from Tyler Lockett and 2023 first-round pick Jaxon Smith-Njigba. Annual predictions of Lockett's share decreasing still haven't manifested, and by the time that inevitably happens (or he leaves) it might be Smith-Njigba benefitting more so than Metcalf. On the bright side, Metcalf is still only 26, immensely talented and has never finished below 900 yards or six touchdowns. He's at least a solid starter for fantasy teams, and a coaching change might be the shake-up he needs to finally get back to his 2020 production and/or push toward 30 percent target share for the first time. Read Past Outlooks