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Staff Picks: Lions, Chiefs, Texans and Rams

Chris Liss

Chris Liss is RotoWire's Managing Editor and Host of RotoWIre Fantasy Sports Today on Sirius XM radio.

After an 8-6 week, Pianowski reclaimed first place over Stopa, but the top four writers (everyone but me) are all pretty close - within four games. We have four consensus picks: Lions, Chiefs, Texans and Rams.

Enjoy the games.

Erickson Pianowski Liss Stopa Del Don
Bears +1.5 at Dolphins Dolphins Dolphins Dolphins Bears Dolphins
Bills +5.5 at Bengals Bills Bills Bengals Bills Bengals
Lions +7 at Cowboys Lions Lions Lions Lions Lions
Cardinals +7.5 at Chiefs Chiefs Chiefs Chiefs Chiefs Chiefs
Texans +7 at Jets Texans Texans Texans Texans Texans
Browns +1 at Jaguars Browns Jaguars Jaguars Browns Browns
Raiders +7.5 at Steelers Raiders Steelers Raiders Steelers Steelers
Ravens -10 at Panthers Ravens Panthers Panthers Ravens Ravens
Packers -3 at Vikings Vikings Packers Vikings Packers Packers
Redskins +6 at Titans Redskins Redskins Redskins Redskins Titans
Falcons -3 at Rams Rams Rams Rams Rams Rams
Buccaneers +3 at 49ers 49ers 49ers 49ers Buccaneers 49ers
Seahawks +12 at Saints Saints Seahawks Seahawks Saints Saints
Colts +4 at Patriots Patriots Colts Colts Colts Colts
Giants +3 at Eagles Giants Giants Eagles Giants Giants
Broncos +10 at Chargers Chargers Broncos Broncos Broncos Broncos
Best Bet Rams Colts Lions Packers Chiefs
Last Week's Record 8-6 8-6 7-7 5-9 8-6
2010 Record 74-65-5 76-63-5 67-72-5 75-64-5 72-67-5
Best Bet Record 3-6-1 4-5-1 5-5 6-3-1 5-4-1
Consensus Pick Record 22-13-1
2009 Record 123-130-3 132-121-3 131-122-3 130-123-3 126-127-3
2008 Record 132-114-10 128-118-10 124-122-10 125-121-10 130-116-10
2007 Record 127-120 118-129 127-120 N/A 130-117
2006 Record 118-129 N/A 139-108 N/A N/A
2005 Record 121-126 N/A 127-120 N/A N/A
2004 Record 124-124 N/A 130-118 N/A N/A
2003 Record 121-126 118-129 124-123 N/A N/A
2002 Record 113-136 123-126 141-108 N/A N/A
2001 Record 124-113 117-120 118-119 N/A N/A
2000 Record 123-117 134-106 141-99 N/A N/A

Consensus Picks

This week we have four consensus picks: the Lions, Chiefs, Texans and Rams.

Last week we went 1-1 on consensus picks, putting us at 22-13-1 on the year. We finished 2009 at 19-23-1 on consensus picks, and were 24-19-2 on them in 2008.


EricksonBoth the Rams and the Falcons are vastly different teams home and on the road... I'm not backing a lot of favorites this week, but strangely I'm backing the favorites with the bigger numbers. ... Went back-and-forth on Ravens/Panthers. On one hand, can Pike really be that much worse than Clausen? On the other hand, Clausen was bad enough.
PianowskiIt's another "go ugly" kind of slate. Not trying to be a hero here, just looking to survive.
LissI think the Panthers and Vikings are the obvious contrarian plays, but the Bengals are more subtle. The Lions getting a touchdown against the Cowboys is an amazing thing given that Detroit would have been favored on a neutral field a week ago.
StopaI still don't think the Bucs are going to win a playoff game, but in the topsy-turvy, back-and-forth, unpredictable game that is the NFL, the Bucs have become predictable. They're beating all the mediocre and bad teams, losing only to the Steelers, Saints and Falcons. That makes getting three points against a 3-6 Niners squad a nice bet... I know it's the sucker side, but the Vikings are cooked, and it will be a cruel irony that Favre's burial takes place against the Packers. Barring a sudden return of the 2009 version of Sidney Rice, I'll be astounded if the Vikings win that game... The Jaguars are overrated right now, perhaps best shown (cue Salfino) by their net YPA of negative 1.3. The Browns, meanwhile, don't have the record to prove it, but they've played like a playoff team the past month... Brady = Manning, but the rest of the Colts are better than the rest of the Patriots. To illustrate, the Colts allow 6.7 yards per pass, the Patriots 7.6... I don't like having three big favorites (Chiefs, Ravens, and Saints), but the Cardinals and Panthers are the two worst teams in the NFL right now, and it's hard to get a backdoor cover with such bad QB play. The Ravens and Chiefs should bounce back, and the Saints should be focused at home off a bye... I struggled with Lions and Cowboys. I feel like Dallas is the savvy play, but ultimately I couldn't lay that many points with a two-win team that can't run the ball and is starting its backup QB.
Del DonI can't think of a week with more teaser possibilities ever. I almost went with the 49ers as my best bet but decided to back Kansas City instead. The Chiefs are coming off back-to-back losses, including an embarrassing blowout against the Broncos last week, and they should take care of a bad Cardinals team at home.

The players:

Jeff Erickson: RotoWire Senior editor, 2001, 2008 Staff Picks Champ. Writes the Value Meter. Covers and roots for the Bengals.

Scott Pianowski: Fantasy expert for Yahoo! Sports, and also contributes to 2009 Staff Picks Champ. Roots for the Patriots.

Chris Liss: RotoWire Managing Editor, 2000, 2002, 2006 Staff Picks Champ, 2003, 2004 co-champ. Writes Beating the Book and Surviving the Week in addition to Staff Picks. Covers and roots for the Giants.

Mark Stopa: Staff Writer, Writes Working the Wire. Roots for the Bills.

Dalton Del Don: RotoWire Senior Staff Writer. 2007 Staff Picks Champ. Writes the Game Capsules and the Barometer. Covers the Eagles and roots for the 49ers.