DraftKings NHL: Monday Breakdown

DraftKings NHL: Monday Breakdown

This article is part of our DraftKings NHL series.

SLATE PREVIEW

Five games are on the docket Monday night, with the Jets and the Oilers playing the second half of back-to-back games. The Jets erased a three-goal, third-period deficit in Game 3 to take a 3-0 series lead. The Islanders will travel to Pittsburgh with a split 2-2 series. The Panthers will host the Lightning while down 3-1 to the defending champions. The Golden Knights have a home Game 5 with a 3-1 lead in hand, while the Maple Leafs and the Canadiens are tied up and heading to Montreal for Game 3. 

All advanced statistics are courtesy of Natural Stat Trick.

GOALIES

Marc-Andre Fleury, VGK at MIN ($8,400): Fleury is playing out of his mind right now. Actually, this is what we expect from him in the postseason, but the 36-year-old looks determined to bring a Stanley Cup to Vegas in the team's fourth season. He has registered a .966 save percentage while letting in just four goals through four games. Minnesota is a strong team, but I'm not betting against Flower.

Jack Campbell, TOR at MON ($8,200): Campbell has been outstanding through his first two career playoff appearances, putting together a .943 save percentage and a 1-1-0 record. The Canadiens simply don't have the offensive firepower to stick with the Maple Leafs, making Campbell a good bet for a win, though it wouldn't be surprising if he faced fewer than 25 shots, either. 

Ilya Sorokin, NYI at PIT ($7,600): The Islanders will probably roll with the hot hand here after Sorokin turned aside 29 of 30 shots in Saturday's 4-1 win, but make sure to confirm they don't go back to Semyon Varlamov here. Regardless, the Penguins' goaltending situation is far shakier than either Sorokin or Varlamov, and they come at a bargain despite the two teams being evenly matched. 

Spencer Knight, FLA vs. TB ($7,500): With the season on the line, the Panthers look prepared to hand Knight his postseason debut. He was fantastic during the regular season, recording four wins in as many starts and posting a .919 save percentage. The Panthers have generated more chances at even strength than the Lightning, too, putting up 2.6 xGF/60 compared to the Bolts' 1.86 mark. Knight comes at a discount as well. 

VALUE PLAYS

Alex Tuch, VGK vs. MIN ($5,000): Tuch has tallied three goals on 12 shots through the last four games. He fits in perfectly on the top line with Chandler Stephenson and Mark Stone. The Golden Knights' offense runs through this line, so expect Tuch to be in the mix once again.

Brock Nelson, NYI at PIT ($4,200): Nelson doesn't carry the elite upside of Mathew Barzal, but as a steady second-liner, he's notched three points through four contests. The 29-year-old has a knack for getting to the net, and he'll benefit from facing an inconsistent goaltending situation in Pittsburgh.

Cole Caufield, MON vs. TOR ($4,100): I have no idea if Caufield will play, but rumors are floating that the Canadiens will insert him into the lineup. If they do, fire him up in yours. The 20-year-old averaged three shots over his first 10 NHL games, and he posted four goals and a helper over the final seven regular-season outings. 

Alex Killorn, TB at FLA ($3,900): This one's for anybody that's fading the Spencer Knight tip. Killorn has been remarkable over the past two games, piling up three goals – two with the man advantage – and six points. This caliber player is rare at this price range. 

LINE STACKS

Oilers at Jets

Connor McDavid (C - $9,000), Leon Draisaitl (W - $8,000), Jesse Puljujarvi (W - $4,600)

McDavid and Draisaitl combined for zero points through the first two games, providing major fear for an Oilers team that leans so heavily on the two to produce. Their underlying numbers were fine, though. In fact, they were among the best, ranking 13th and ninth with 3.63 and 3.47 xGF/60, respectively. And they both notched multiple points Sunday night. Now that the floodgates are open, it's tough to neglect this line, even at the steep price tag. 

Maple Leafs at Canadiens

Auston Matthews (C - $9,200), Zach Hyman (W - 5,800), Mitch Marner (W - $7,800)

Matthews looks ready to take over the rest of this series after piling up a goal and two helpers in Game 2. Marner and Hyman are far from bystanders in this equation, and unless Carey Price can return to his Game 1 form, these three have slate-breaking upside. 

Panthers vs. Lightning

Aleksander Barkov (C - $7,600), Anthony Duclair (W - $4,500), Carter Verhaeghe (W - $5,300)

This line ranks among the best this postseason, producing 3.49 xGF/60 at even strength thus far. It's tough to crack Andrei Vasilevskiy, but their proven playmaking abilities combined with their heavy shots provides significant upside that makes the low price tag worthwhile.

DEFENSE

Alec Martinez, VGK vs. MIN ($5,600): It's been a low-scoring series, so you want a defenseman with a strong floor. Predictably, Martinez is that guy, blocking at least three shots every game and totaling 18 so far. With power-play time in hand as well, Martinez carries high upside with steady points regardless. 

MacKenzie Weegar, FLA vs. TB ($5,200): Weegar was on fire heading into the playoffs, but he's notched just one point so far. His price tag is a bit deflated as a result, so now's the time to swoop in. Weegar has recorded 2.64 xGF/60 at even strength in the postseason, and he'll be a strong addition to the aforementioned Panthers stack.

Nick Leddy, NYI at PIT ($3,400): 

Leddy has been the Islanders' best blueliner this postseason, compiling a 3.12 xGF/60 at even strength. He's put up just one point thus far, though, so he's still a risky play. You can't go wrong at this price range, however, as he handles power-play time as well. The Penguins ranked 27th in the regular season with a 77.4 percent penalty-kill rate. 

The author(s) of this article may play in daily fantasy contests including – but not limited to – games that they have provided recommendations or advice on in this article. In the course of playing in these games using their personal accounts, it's possible that they will use players in their lineups or other strategies that differ from the recommendations they have provided above. The recommendations in this article do not necessarily reflect the views of RotoWire. Jordan Mazzara plays in daily fantasy contests using the following accounts: FanDuel: Mazz30 Yahoo: Mazz30 DraftKings: Mazz30.
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ABOUT THE AUTHOR
Jordan Mazzara
Jordan has produced NFL and NHL content for RotoWire since 2017. He's the beat writer for the St. Louis Blues and Seattle Seahawks.
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