DFS NASCAR: Foxwoods Resort Casino 301

DFS NASCAR: Foxwoods Resort Casino 301

This article is part of our DFS NASCAR series.

Foxwoods Resort Casino 301

Location: Loudon, N.H.
Course: New Hampshire Motor Speedway
Format: 1.06-mile oval
Laps: 301

Race Preview

Denny Hamlin ran away to his fifth season win in a Thursday-night race last week at Kansas City Speedway. The victory moves him one win ahead of Kevin Harvick, as the seesaw battle between the two continues to build toward the season-ending playoffs. With seven races remaining in the regular season, focus is beginning to shift to the final playoff positions. Jimmie Johnson's continued bad luck dropped him further adrift of a playoff spot in his final full-time season. His teammate, William Byron, sits in the final playoff position with just a 10-point gap back to Tyler Reddick in 17th position. Erik Jones is hot on their heels, though, and is now just 12 points behind Byron. As the final races approach, there's a good chance another new winner will be crowned in the 2020 season, which would just add more pressure on those trying to get in on points.

This week may not be the one for fantasy players to expect an upset winner, though. Last year's race was a battle between Harvick and Hamlin, and those two have won four of the last five at the track. New Hampshire isn't on the playoff schedule, and the series only visits it once a year now. That means teams could throw caution to the wind to see what works and what doesn't, but recent trends would suggest the usual suspects will be tough to beat at the flat oval.

Key Stats at New Hampshire Motor Speedway

  • Number of races: 48
  • Winners from pole: 6
  • Winners from top-5 starters: 13
  • Winners from top-10 starters: 25
  • Winners from 21st or lower starters: 9
  • Fastest race: 117.134 mph

Previous 10 New Hampshire Winners

2019 - Kevin Harvick
2018 - Kevin Harvick
2017 fall - Kyle Busch
2017 spring - Denny Hamlin
2016 fall - Kevin Harvick
2016 spring - Matt Kenseth
2015 fall - Matt Kenseth
2015 spring - Kyle Busch
2014 fall - Joey Logano
2014 spring - Brad Keselowski

Fantasy managers will want to keep Martinsville Speedway in mind when contemplating driver selections for this week's race. Martin Truex Jr. won at Martinsville last month after leading 132 laps. The long straights and flat sweeping turns of the two tracks pose similar challenges for teams and drivers, so Truex's win in June shouldn't be lost in preparation for this week. While New Hampshire's turns are wide, the shallow banking means a low groove through the middle of the corner is the preferred line and passing will be difficult. Track position and pit strategy will be major factors in Sunday's race as a result. Aric Almirola and Denny Hamlin have the early advantage having drawn front-row starting positions. Pitting off-sequence comes with greater risk this week since the short lap distance will mean going a lap down. As a result, drivers starting at the back will be considering two-tire stops early to gain track position and hope that a late caution allows them to keep it. 

DRAFTKINGS VALUE PICKS (Based on Standard $50K Salary Cap)

DraftKings Tier 1 Values  

Kevin Harvick - $11,600
Ryan Blaney - $11,100
Martin Truex Jr. - $10,700
Denny Hamlin - $10,400

DraftKings Tier 2 Values  

Joey Logano - $9,800
Brad Keselowski - $9,500
Kyle Busch - $9,300
Chase Elliott - $9,100

DraftKings Tier 3 Values

Erik Jones - $8,900
Jimmie Johnson - $8,700
Aric Almirola - $8,500
Matt DiBenedetto - $8,300

DraftKings Long-Shot Values

Christopher Bell - $10,100
Kurt Busch - $7,700
Tyler Reddick - $7,500
Cole Custer - $6,700

MY PICKS THIS WEEK

Lower-Risk Lineup ($50K Salary Cap)

Kevin Harvick - $11,600
Denny Hamlin - $10,400
Aric Almirola - $8,500
Clint Bowyer - $7,200
Chris Buescher - $6,100
Daniel Suarez - $5,900

There is a good chance that Kevin Harvick (DK $11,600, FD $14,200) or Denny Hamlin (DK $10,400, FD $13,400) will battle for the win on Sunday. They could even battle one another like they have multiple times in recent weeks and like in this race last season. Finding a way to incorporate  both into a lineup could be the way to go. They have a combined seven wins at this track, and both start inside the top 10. Aric Almirola (DK $8,500, FD $10,500) will lead the field to green on Sunday and has a good chance of leading laps. He led 54 total in the last two New Hampshire races and has been on a run of great form with top-10 finishes in every points race since Miami. Clint Bowyer (DK $7,200, FD $9,400) starts sixth on Sunday and has two New Hampshire wins. Chris Buescher (DK $6,100, FD $6,000) has an average finish of 23.3 from six career starts at New Hampshire and placed 15th in last year's race. He starts 24th on Sunday and should be capable of a finish inside the top 20. Another value for fantasy managers this week could be Daniel Suarez (DK $5,900, FD $4,500). The Toyota driver starts on the last row Sunday but hasn't finished lower than 22nd at New Hampshire in his career. He also has two top-10s from four track starts.

Higher-Risk Lineup ($50K Salary Cap)

Martin Truex Jr. - $10,700
Christopher Bell - $10,100
Kurt Busch - $7,700
Tyler Reddick - $7,500
Ricky Stenhouse Jr. - $6,800
Cole Custer - $6,700

Martin Truex Jr. (DK $10,700, FD $12,200) led 132 laps to win at Martinsville Speedway earlier this season and that should be a good indication of his potential this week at New Hampshire. He has just one win so far this season, but fantasy managers should probably expect that number to increase. The benefit of choosing Christopher Bell (DK $10,100, FD $9,000) this week is that he will start 35th. Bell is much more of a top-20 driver than that starting position gives him credit for. While fantasy players shouldn't expect him to win, he should be scoring handfuls of points for finish differential. Kurt Busch (DK $7,700, FD $10,000) has three top-10s in the last three races and three New Hampshire wins. He started from pole and led 94 laps here in 2018. Tyler Reddick (DK $7,500, FD $8,200) put himself in the playoff picture and will be working to ensure he stays there through the final seven races. Ricky Stenhouse Jr. (DK $6,800, FD $6,800) has endured some difficult races recently, but was a top-20 driver before that. He has two top-10s in 12 New Hampshire starts but crashed out of last year's race. Cole Custer (DK $6,700, FD $7,700) has a 2020 win that has him in the playoffs, but also has three top-10 finishes in the last four races and will start 14th on Sunday.

The author(s) of this article may play in daily fantasy contests including – but not limited to – games that they have provided recommendations or advice on in this article. In the course of playing in these games using their personal accounts, it's possible that they will use players in their lineups or other strategies that differ from the recommendations they have provided above. The recommendations in this article do not necessarily reflect the views of RotoWire. C.J. Radune plays in daily fantasy contests using the following accounts: DraftKings: cjradune, RaceDayScore: cjradune.
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ABOUT THE AUTHOR
C.J. Radune
Radune covers NASCAR, Formula 1 and soccer for RotoWire. He was named the Racing Writer of the Year by the Fantasy Sports Writers Association in 2012 and 2015.
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