MLB Betting: Friday Best Bets

MLB Betting: Friday Best Bets

This article is part of our MLB Betting series.

Previous article 4-0 +3.96 

Overall 69-50 +13.63

Washington Nationals vs. Chicago Cubs 7:05 pm et

TBD vs. Jon Lester

The Nationals are selling off all assets and that includes Trea Turner which means this Nationals lineup being rolled out tonight is pretty thin. The Nationals average just 4.08 runs per game at home which is 23rd in the majors. Adding more data to this pick, the Nationals are 3-14 straight up and 6-11 to the under in their last 17 as home dogs. Trevor Williams was the scheduled starting pitcher for the Cubs but was traded to the New York Mets this afternoon.

BET – Nationals under 4.5 runs (-135) for 1 RW buck

Detroit Tigers vs. Baltimore Orioles

Tarik Skubal vs. Matt Harvey

The Tigers have cut down their strikeouts and mash against "finesse" pitchers with a .271 batting average. In their last 10 games as home favorites, they are 8-2 straight up averaging 6 runs against 3.9.

Matt Harvey is still one of the worst pitchers in baseball and can get lit up any time.

BET – Tigers over 4.5 runs (-120) for 1 RW buck

Milwaukee Brewers at Atlanta Braves 7:20 pm et

Corbin Burnes vs. Touki Toussaint

We know about Burnes being one of the best pitchers in baseball, but Toussaint has come up and posted 15 strikeouts in 2 starts. My concern about Toussaint is the Brewers lineup even without Yelich can still put some runs. I would be concerned about the 2nd time around the lineup for Touki which means I would lean towards an under in the first 3 innings.

BET – Under 2.5 runs F3 for 1 RW buck

Texas Rangers vs. Seattle Mariners 8:05 pm et

Kolby Allard vs. Logan Gilbert

Much like the Nationals pick, I like the Rangers team total under as they traded their top hitter Joey Gallo to the Yankees. It was already a weak lineup which is now the 2nd worst lineup tonight with the exception of the Pirates. Gilbert has pitched well on the road in five starts with a 2.35 ERA and 0.96 WHIP.

The Rangers are 1-9 in their last 10 averaging just 20 runs in that stretch (2.0 runs per game).

BET – Rangers under 3.5 runs (-140) for 1 RW buck

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ABOUT THE AUTHOR
Michael Rathburn
Known as “Rath” in the Daily Fantasy Sports (DFS) community, he has helped run operations for two prominent daily fantasy sports startups. Michael has taken his insider knowledge and expertise in daily fantasy sports to the content side. Rath won the 2016 FSWA "Baseball Article of the Year, Online" award and was a finalist for the FSWA Best Baseball Series in 2011.
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