MLB Betting: Thursday Best Bets

MLB Betting: Thursday Best Bets

This article is part of our MLB Betting series.

Previous: 3-1, +1.97 RWBucks
Overall: 114-89-1, +11.65 RWBucks

Indians vs. Twins, 6:10 p.m. EDT

Cal Quantrill vs. Andrew Albers

Quantrill has exceeded 17.5 outs (6 innings) in seven out of his last eight starts and eight of his last 10. He has thrived at home during that stretch, going 39 innings with 37 strikeouts, a 1.15 ERA and 0.87 WHIP.

Andrew Albers was called up to take the rotation spot of Randy Dobnak, who has a finger injury. Albers got bombed for nine earned runs and 10 hits in just three innings on Sept. 4.

BET: Quantrill over 17.5 outs (-150) for 1.5 RWBuck 

BET: Indians -1.5 runs (+120) for 1 RWBuck

Mets at Marlins, 6:40 p.m. EDT

Marcus Stroman vs. Jesus Luzardo

We did well the other day taking the Marlins run total over 3.5 against Carlos Carrasco. I look for another type of play Thursday. But we will go against the starting pitcher Marcus Stroman.

Stroman has allowed at least two earned runs in seven of his last eight starts.  Over their last 17 home games, the Marlins are 10-7 and averaging 4.5 runs per game.  While the juice is higher than I would like, the play is very strong and will offset by bumping up to 1.5 units.

BET: Stroman over 1.5 earned runs (-149 BetMGM) for 1.5 RWBucks

Royals at Orioles, 7:05 p.m. EDT

Carlos Hernandez vs. John Means

I have been keeping an eye on Hernandez, and he has been good in his last seven starts. While he does not strike out a ton of batters, his 1.91 ERA and 0.92 WHIP are solid. He has gone at least five innings in every start with five at least six innings. The Orioles have been playing better with a 7-8 record in their last 15 games. They are hitting .286 in their last nine home games.  I still like Hernandez to be able to limit the Orioles and go over his total outs prop.  

BET: Hernandez over 16.5 outs (-115) for 1 RWBuck

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ABOUT THE AUTHOR
Michael Rathburn
Known as “Rath” in the Daily Fantasy Sports (DFS) community, he has helped run operations for two prominent daily fantasy sports startups. Michael has taken his insider knowledge and expertise in daily fantasy sports to the content side. Rath won the 2016 FSWA "Baseball Article of the Year, Online" award and was a finalist for the FSWA Best Baseball Series in 2011.
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