FantasyDraft MLB: Sunday Values

FantasyDraft MLB: Sunday Values

This article is part of our FantasyDraft MLB series.

PITCHER

Jimmy Nelson, MIL at TB ($16,800): The Rays have struck out at a 27.5percent rate and has a .288 wOBA versus right-handed pitching at home in the last month. Meanwhile, Nelson has a 3.19 ERA and has allowed a .271 wOBA and racked up an 11.0 K/9 over his last six starts. He's shown excellent upside for either cash or GPP, scoring between 23.30 and 35.35 fantasy points in five of his last seven starts and over 40 on one other occasion this season.

Jose Berrios, MIN vs. TEX ($14,400): Berrios has a 2.61 ERA and boasts a .197 BAA and .240 wOBA allowed in 41.1 home innings. The Rangers have posted a .290 wOBA and 27.8 percent hard contact rate versus right-handed pitching on the road in the last month, while Berrios has scored between 21.00 and 31.00 fantasy points in three of his last four starts.

INFIELD

Willson Contreras, CHC vs. WAS ($9,900): Contreras has a .447 wOBA since the All-Star break, including a .408 wOBA, .429 ISO and 33.3 percent hard contact rate against right-handed pitching at Wrigley Field. Nationals rookie starter Erick Fedde has allowed a .612 wOBA and 33.3 percent hard contact rate to right-handed hitters over a small sample, while the Nationals' bullpen has allowed a .339 wOBA to right-handed hitters on the road since the All-Star break.

Matt Carpenter, STL at CIN ($7,600): Carpenter has a .368 wOBA, .223 ISO and 44.0 percent hard contact rate against right-handed pitching on the road, and he has blasted Reds starter Homer Bailey for a .586 batting average in 29 plate appearances. Bailey has allowed a .481 wOBA, 6.22 xFIP, 42.9 percent HR/FB rate and 39.1 percent hard contact rate to lefty bats at home, while Reds relievers have allowed a majors-high .398 wOBA and eight homers to that handedness at home since the All-Star break.

Eric Thames, MIL at TB ($7,200): Rays starter Chris Archer has given up a .322 wOBA and 43.5 percent hard contact rate to left-handed hitters while Thames boasts a .414 wOBA, .302 ISO and 41.8 percent hard contact rate against right-handers on the road. Thames has been knocking the cover off the ball as well, posting a 50.0 percent hard contact rate over the last 10 games.

OUTFIELD

Justin Upton, DET at BAL ($10,400): Upton has ripped homers in four of his first five games this month and now draws a matchup against Ubaldo Jimenez, who's surrendered 23 round trippers this year along with a .367 wOBA and 38.7 percent hard contact rate to righty bats at Camden Yards. Upton has a .453 wOBA and 48.3 percent hard contact rate since the All-Star break, along with a .359 wOBA against right-handed hitters on the season.

Tommy Pham, STL at CIN ($9,300): Reds starter Homer Bailey has been even worse against right-handed hitters and has surrendered a .525 wOBA to that handedness at home. Meanwhile, Pham has a .468 wOBA, .294 ISO, 34.6 percent HR/FB rate and 42.7 percent hard contact rate versus righties on the road and boasts a .418 wOBA over his 90 second-half plate appearances.

Hunter Pence, SF vs. ARI ($6,800): Pence has dominated D-Backs southpaw Patrick Corbin, posting a .500 batting average, including four homers, and nine RBI in 30 plate appearances. Corbin has allowed a .439 wOBA, including 11 homers, to right-handed hitters on the road, as well as a 25.6 percent HR/FB rate and 35.1 percent hard contact rate. Pence owns a .335 wOBA versus southpaws at home, and a 39.8 percent hard contact rate versus that handedness overall.

UTILITY

Andrew McCutchen, PIT vs. SD ($10,000): Padres southpaw Clayton Richard has been touched up for a .408 wOBA, 2.13 HR/9 and 34.9 percent hard contact rate by right-handed hitters on the road, while McCutchen checks in with a .492 wOBA, .458 ISO and 44.9 percent hard contact rate versus left-handed pitching. Padres relievers also have a 4.45 ERA and have allowed a .335 wOBA to right-handed hitters on the road in the last month.

Jake Lamb, ARI at SF ($8,100): Lamb has a .455 batting average, including a homer, and six RBI in 15 plate appearances versus Giants starter Jeff Samardzija, who's allowed a .365 wOBA to left-handed hitters at home. Additionally, Lamb boasts a .426 wOBA (including .436 in August), .297 ISO and 42.6 percent hard contact rate versus right-handed pitching on the road.

The author(s) of this article may play in daily fantasy contests including – but not limited to – games that they have provided recommendations or advice on in this article. In the course of playing in these games using their personal accounts, it's possible that they will use players in their lineups or other strategies that differ from the recommendations they have provided above. The recommendations in this article do not necessarily reflect the views of RotoWire. Juan Carlos Blanco plays in daily fantasy contests using the following accounts: DraftKings: jcblanco22, FanDuel: jc_blanco22, DraftPot: jc_blanco22, FantasyDraft: jc_blanco22, OwnThePlay: jcblanco22.
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ABOUT THE AUTHOR
Juan Carlos Blanco
Winner of the FSWA 2016 Newcomer of the Year Award, Juan Carlos Blanco has been playing fantasy sports for over 20 years and covers NBA, MLB, NFL, CFL and Arena Football for Rotowire.com, including serving as the beat writer for teams in multiple sports. He has previously written for KFFL.com and remains an avid season-long and daily fantasy player in multiple sports as well.
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