Top MLB Betting Picks for September 5: Expert Predictions and Best Bets

We have a full card of MLB action tonight. Check out Betting Expert Michael Rathburn's top picks for the big slate
Top MLB Betting Picks for September 5: Expert Predictions and Best Bets
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Top MLB Betting Picks for September 5: Expert Predictions and Best Bets

Previous article 4-0 ( +3.87 units) 

Season 127-131-2 (-7.63 units)

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Key MLB Betting Trends and Matchups Analysis

Before locking in your MLB bets Friday, be sure to check out these key betting numbers.

As teams fall out of the playoff race, we will start to see inflated moneylines.

Road Favorites -  Phillies -270 at Marlins, Padres -205 at Rockies, Dodgers -165 at Orioles

Home Favorites - Cubs -225 vs Nationals, Tigers -180 vs White Sox 

Totals - Padres/Rockies 11.0-11.5, Cubs/Nationals 10.5

Astros/Rangers 7.0-7.5

Line Movement - Phillies -15, Rays -33

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Toronto Blue Jays vs New York Yankees Best Bets and Predictions

This startsna huge AL East divisional series between the Blue Jays and the Yankees. Kevin Gausman faces off against Cam Schlittler. Both starting pitchers have been solid recently, but these offenses will be hard to keep down especially in Yankee Stadium. The Yankees average 7.5 runs per game over their last 10 and the Jays are at 6.7. Both offenses can put up long balls and I think that will be the reason we see an OVER in Jays/Yankees on Friday night. 

TRENDS

  • The total has gone OVER in 10 of Toronto's last 11 games.
  • The total has gone OVER in 5 of Toronto's last 5 games on the road.
  • The total has gone OVER in 14 of NY Yankees' last 18 games.
  • The total has gone OVER in 14 of NY Yankees' last 19 games against Toronto.
  • The total has gone OVER in 4 of NY Yankees' last 5 games at home.

Best Bet: Blue Jays/Yankees OVER 8.5 runs for 1 unit (BetMGM -120)

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Cleveland Guardians vs Tampa Bay Rays Best Bets and Predictions

I went with the Rays on Thursday night and they won 4-2. The streak continues Friday night with Ian Seymour going against Gavin Williams, The Guardians have really faded recently going 7-13 in their last 20 (5-5 last 10) and  their road record is 2-9 in thelr last 11. The Rays are 10-2 in their last 12 including 6 in a row at home. They are hitting .348 as a team in that stretch. 

Seymour is the Rays best pitching prospect and has looked great so far. I will continue to ride the hot team and fade the cold one. 

Best Bet: Rays -1.5 runs for 1 unit (Caesars +165)

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San Diego Padres vs Colorado Rockies  Best Bets and Prediction

When you have a total of 11 runs, you really need to bank on getting both teams to hit and get to the over. We have that tonight with the Padres and Rockies. The Rockies are averaging 5.1 runs per game at home over their last 10 and Nick Pivetta has struggled pitching at Coors. The Padres are going to get their runs especially against Kyle Freeland

TRENDS

  • The total has gone OVER in 7 of San Diego's last 10 games.
  • The total has gone OVER in 6 of San Diego's last 7 games on the road.
  • The total has gone OVER in 4 of Colorado's last 6 games.
  • The total has gone OVER in 4 of Colorado's last 6 games against San Diego.

Best Bet: Padres/Rockies OVER 11.0 runs for 1 unit (FanDuel -114)

Friday's MLB Best Bets

  • Blue Jays/Yankees OVER 8.5 runs for 1 unit (BetMGM -120)
  • Rays -1.5 runs for 1 unit (Caesars +165)
  • Padres/Rockies OVER 11.0 runs for 1 unit (FanDuel -114)
ABOUT THE AUTHOR
Known as “Rath” in the Daily Fantasy Sports (DFS) community, he has helped run operations for two prominent daily fantasy sports startups. Michael has taken his insider knowledge and expertise in daily fantasy sports to the content side. Rath won the 2016 FSWA "Baseball Article of the Year, Online" award and was a finalist for the FSWA Best Baseball Series in 2011.
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