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Yahoo DFS Baseball: Sunday Picks

Juan Carlos Blanco

Winner of the FSWA 2016 Newcomer of the Year Award, Juan Carlos Blanco has been playing fantasy sports for close to 20 years and covers NBA, MLB, and the NFL for, including serving as the Tampa Bay Buccaneers' beat writer. He has previously written for and remains an avid season-long and daily fantasy player in multiple sports.


Robbie Ray, ARI at PHI ($52):
Ray has scored between 34.5 and 47.4 fantasy points in his last five starts, including over 40 in three of his last four. Meanwhile, the Phillies have been getting progressively worse against southpaws at home, posting a .265 wOBA, 21.2 percent strikeout rate and 27.6 percent hard contact rate versus that handedness at Citizens Bank Park over the last month. Ray has also been virtually unhittable on the road, generating a microscopic 0.64 ERA while allowing a.132 batting average and .184 wOBA over 42.1 innings away from Chase Field.

Jameson Taillon, PIT vs. CHC ($41): The Cubs sport a majors-worst .267 wOBA against right-handed pitchers on the road over the last month, while Taillon came back from a recent health scare in his last start and scored 22.7 fantasy points against the Rockies. He also mowed down this same Cubs squad Ė at Wrigley Field, no less Ė for a season-high 28.0 fantasy points back on April 16, and he has allowed just a a .295 wOBA and .230 batting average over 16.1 innings at PNC Park this season.

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Brian McCann, HOU vs. BOS ($15):
McCann is likely to be a lower-owned option considering his matchup against lefty David Price, but a couple of factors are in his favor. McCann has a .345 batting average, three homers and seven RBI over 30 plate appearances versus Price, and he boasts a .469 wOBA, .444 ISO and 202 wRC+ against southpaws this year. Additionally, he has a .426 wOBA, four homers and 40.5 percent hard contact rate over 46 plate appearances this month. Meanwhile, Price has been vulnerable in a limited sample against lefty bats, allowing a .326 wOBA (including .390 on the road) and 5.65 xFIP.


Justin Bour, MIA at ATL ($20):
Braves starter Mike Foltynewicz has given up a .397 wOBA, 5.40 xFIP, 25.7 percent line drive rate and 34.7 percent hard contact rate to left-handed hitters, while Bour boasts a .373 wOBA, 11 homers and a 47.0 percent hard contact rate against right-handed pitching. Heís torn the cover off the ball over a modest sample in June as well, posting a .502 wOBA and 215 wRC+ in his first 17 plate appearances of the month.


Scooter Gennett, CIN vs. LAD ($12):
Nothing is going to top Gennettís four-homer outburst earlier this season, but heís actually been very effective against right-handed pitching throughout the season, especially at Great American Ballpark. He has a .426 wOBA, .300 ISO, 26.2 percent line drive rate and 39.5 percent hard contact rate against righties at home, while Dodgers starter Kenta Maeda has allowed a .491 wOBA, four homers, 26.5 percent line drive rate and 34.3 percent hard contact rate to lefty bats on the road. Gennett also boasts an impressive 33.3 percent HR/FB rate, while Maeda has yielded a robust 52.9 percent FB rate on the road to right-handed hitters.


Adrian Beltre, TEX vs. SEA ($17):
Beltre is hitting righties well after a late start to his season, posting a .422 wOBA, .208 ISO and 36.4 percent hard contact rate in 28 plate appearances against them at home. Mariners starter Christian Bergman has had his moments but has also been susceptible to getting blown up when he goes bad, as evidenced most recently by the nine earned runs he gave up over 2.2 innings against the Twins. Bergman has also given up an eye-popping .574 wOBA, four homers, 7.45 xFIP and 42.9 percent hard contact rate to the 46 right-handed bats heís faced on the road, and the smoldering, long-ball friendly Texas temperatures arenít likely to do him any favors Sunday.


Francisco Lindor, CLE at MIN ($15):
Lindorís bat has started to heat back up over the last several games, and he now faces Twins starter Kyle Gibson, who he's hit for a .692 batting average over 14 career plate appearances. Gibson has also surrendered a .414 wOBA (including .463 at home), 5.84 xFIP and 40.6 percent hard contact rate to left-handed hitters, while the switch-hitting Lindor has seven homers against right-handed pitching and is due for a boost in production considering his .230 BABIP versus that handedness. Twins relievers have also struggled against lefty bats, posting a 5.75 ERA by allowing 10 homers and a .354 wOBA to that handedness in the last month.


Jose Bautista, TOR vs. CWS ($19):
The White Sox will trot out James Shields in his first start since April 16, and Bautista could be providing him with a rude welcome. The Jays slugger has a .323 batting average, five homers and eight RBI in 36 career plate appearances versus Shields, and he has a .368 wOBA, .222 ISO, 22.8 percent line drive rate and 33.1 percent hard contact rate versus right-handed pitching. Shields was excellent against right-handed hitters over a modest 32-batter sample before getting injured, but the .059 BABIP heís carrying versus that handedness has nowhere to go but up. He also was decimated by right-handed hitters last season for a .384 wOBA and a whopping 24 homers, while the White Sox's bullpen has a majors-high 7.02 ERA while allowing a .369 wOBA over the last month.

Jay Bruce, NYM vs. WAS ($19): Nationals starter Joe Ross has given up a .416 wOBA to left-handed hitters that rises to .488 when facing them on the road, while also yielding a 24.6 percent line drive rate, 30.0 percent HR/FB rate and 38.1 percent hard contact rate to that handedness. Those numbers donít bode well against Bruce, who has six homers, a .439 wOBA, .373 ISO and 46.5 percent hard contact rate this month. Heís also punished righties for a .416 wOBA, 45.7 percent hard contact rate and 30.0 HR/FB rate overall, and the Nationals' bullpen has posted an 8.10 ERA, while allowing a .425 wOBA and 45.5 percent hard contact rate left-handed hitters on the road over the last month.

Hunter Renfroe, SD at MIL ($18): Renfroe always brings solid home-run upside for tournaments and is in a good position Sunday versus Brewers starter Jimmy Nelson, whoís allowed a .359 wOBA to right-handed hitters at Miller Park. While Renfroe has a much better batting average against lefties, the bulk of his power has come against righties, against whom he has 18 extra-base hits (eight doubles, 10 homers) and a 35.5 percent hard contact rate. Itís also worth noting that the Milwaukee bullpen has posted a 6.15 ERA to right-handed hitters at Miller Park over the last month.
The author(s) of this article may play in daily fantasy contests including – but not limited to – games that they have provided recommendations or advice on in this article. In the course of playing in these games using their personal accounts, it's possible that they will use players in their lineups or other strategies that differ from the recommendations they have provided above. The recommendations in this article do not necessarily reflect the views of RotoWire. Juan Carlos Blanco plays in daily fantasy contests using the following accounts: DraftKings: jcblanco22, FanDuel: jc_blanco22, DraftPot: jc_blanco22, FantasyDraft: jc_blanco22, OwnThePlay: jcblanco22.