NBA Best Bets Today: Free Expert Picks for Monday, May 23

NBA Best Bets Today: Free Expert Picks for Monday, May 23

This article is part of our NBA Picks series.

Kyle Lowry over 5.5 assists (+100) vs. Celtics

BetMGM, 3:56 PM CT

Alex Barutha: Without Tyler Herro in the mix, I'm expecting more touches for Lowry, though I don't necessarily expect him to score. He's been up and down in that department all season – mostly down – but I still trust him as a facilitator. That's been shown in the numbers this playoffs when Herro is out. With Herro off the court – and Lowry, Butler and Adebayo on – Lowry has averaged 9.3 assists per 36 minutes (70-minute sample)

Max Strus over 13.5 points (+100) vs. Celtics

DraftKings, 1:30 PM CT

Nick Whalen: Strus has essentially emerged as the new Duncan Robinson for Miami over the last two months. His production has been very much up-and-down during the postseason, but he caught fire in Game 3, hitting four three-pointers en route to 16 points in 34 minutes. While the Heat expect Jimmy Butler back in full capacity tonight, they'll be without Tyler Herro, so I like Strus' chances to again approach 35 minutes.

Victor Oladipo over 1.5 steals (+180) vs. Celtics

BetMGM, 1:09 PM CT

Ken Crites: With Tyler Herro (groin) out, plus Jimmy Butler (knee) and Kyle Lowry (hamstring) banged up, I expect Oladipo to get major minutes.  Miami's Game 3 defensive plan was to alternate between pressuring the ball early in tight man, then switch to a zone when Boston had fewer shooters on the floor.  Both approaches led to 19 steals for the Heat in Game 3.  I suspect they'll stick with a similar approach in Game 4.  Remember, Oladipo averaged 2.4 steals per game in 2017-18.  He had four thefts in Game 3.

Kyle Lowry over 11.5 points (-106) vs. Celtics

FanDuel, 1:09 PM CT

Ken Crites: With Herro out, and Jimmy Butler possibly dinged up, someone needs to pick up the scoring. Oladipo seemed gun shy in Game 3.  Lowry should finally be over his hamstring issues, and I like his championship swagger. Boston has Marcus Smart pre-occupied with helping stop Bam Adebayo, potentially leaving Lowry open for some easy jumpers.  Lowry did average 13.4 points per game during the regular season. He's due for some playoff buckets.

Jimmy Butler over 25.5 points (-112) vs. Celtics

FanDuel, 11:29 AM CT

Michael Spero: Man, does this line confuse me. Butler is already expected to play Monday night, which leads me to believe that there will be no minute restrictions on the star forward. This is also paired with the fact that Miami's second most dynamic scorer, Tyler Herro, has been ruled out with a groin injury. Butler is in a prime position to continue his scoring dominance here in the postseason, and his line certainly is still too low. Not including Friday's outing where he exited early, Butler has averaged 31.4 points in his last seven full performances. 

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ABOUT THE AUTHORS
Alex Barutha
Alex is RotoWire's NBA Assistant Editor. He writes articles about daily fantasy, year-long fantasy and sports betting. You can hear him on the RotoWire NBA Podcast, Sirius XM, DraftKings Live and other platforms. Vince Carter and Alex both first dunked during their respective sophomore years of high school.
Ken
An early RotoWire contributor from the 90's, K-Train returns with the grace of Gheorghe Muresan and the wisdom of Joe Gibbs. Ken won the FSWA 2014 Humor Article Of The Year award. He's also the 2016 Champion of the prestigious RW NBA Keeper League and the 2019 Champion of the RW NFL Ottoneu Keeper League. Ken still owns a RotoNews shirt.
Michael Spero
Michael writes in the NBA and NCAAF departments for RotoWire. He is a big-time fan of both the Bulls and Nuggets. Michael spends his time playing pick-up or anxiously rooting for his fantasy teams.
Nick Whalen
RotoWire's NBA Editor and host of the RotoWire NBA Podcast. Nick was awarded the FSWA Best Podcast -- All Sports award in 2017 and 2018. Many years ago, Stromile Swift gave Nick his unbelievably sweaty headband after a preseason game. Despite its failure to match his school colors, Nick went on to wear that headband for the entirety of his sixth grade basketball season. Catch Nick on Twitter @wha1en.
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