NBA Eastern Conference Finals Expert Picks: Free Best Bets for Saturday's Game 3

NBA Eastern Conference Finals Expert Picks: Free Best Bets for Saturday's Game 3

This article is part of our NBA Picks series.

Jimmy Butler over 26.5 points (-118) at Celtics

FanDuel, 12:42 PM CT

Alex Barutha: Butler is averaging 35 points in this series, and he's been a high-volume scorer all playoffs. He's averaging 29.8 points in the postseason, and I'm not sure who else Miami can trust. Herro is up-and-down while Gabe Vincent, Max Strus and PJ Tucker have almost exclusively been three-point shooters. Bam Adebayo has been passive as well. I think Butler will continue to be the driving force of the offense and will often have to take things into his own hands when no one else is able to get things going.

Kyle Lowry's potential return could scare people off this line – as well as Butler's 4.5 assists prop – but Butler has actually performed better in the postseason with Lowry on the court. Compared to Lowry off the court, Butler takes 1.4 more field-goal attempts and dishes 0.5 more assists per 36 minutes with the point guard on the floor.

And if you're looking for something riskier with more upside, I'm intrigued by both Butler 25+ points, 8+ rebounds and 6+ assists at +534, and Butler 30+ points, 10+ rebounds and 8+ assists at +3248.

Bam Adebayo under 22.5 points + rebounds (-115)

FanDuel, 12:59 PM CT

Alex Barutha: In the past four games, Adebayo has averaged just 9.5 points and 6.8 rebounds. And the low scoring isn't just a product of bad shooting, he's averaging just 5.5 field-goal attempts per game during this stretch. He was able to get to the free-throw line for five attempts in Game 1, which helped him reach 10 points, but he scored just six in Game 2. Miami hasn't been doing a great job searching out mismatches for Adebayo, and he probably isn't going to get the best of an offensive attempt against Al Horford or Robert Williams consistently. Maybe that changes in Game 3, but it's a bit concerning there hasn't been an effort to get him more involved before this point.

Having Lowry on the court hasn't mattered for Adebayo this postseason either. In that scenario, he's -0.3 FGA and -2.1 REB per 36 minutes. Interestingly, though, he's +2.0 assists per 36, so a flier bet on over 2.5 assists (+118) could be sneaky if Lowry is in.

RotoWire Community
Join Our Subscriber-Only NBA Chat
Chat with our writers and other RotoWire NBA fans for all the pre-game info and in-game banter.
Join The Discussion
ABOUT THE AUTHOR
Alex Barutha
Alex is RotoWire's NBA Assistant Editor. He writes articles about daily fantasy, year-long fantasy and sports betting. You can hear him on the RotoWire NBA Podcast, Sirius XM, DraftKings Live and other platforms. Vince Carter and Alex both first dunked during their respective sophomore years of high school.
Did the Magic Get it Right? Breaking Down the 2022 NBA Draft + Kevin Durant Trades
Did the Magic Get it Right? Breaking Down the 2022 NBA Draft + Kevin Durant Trades
Fantasy Basketball: Best Landing Spots after the 2022 NBA Draft
Fantasy Basketball: Best Landing Spots after the 2022 NBA Draft
2022 NBA Draft Review: Winners and Losers for Fantasy Basketball Leagues
2022 NBA Draft Review: Winners and Losers for Fantasy Basketball Leagues
NBA Draft Best Bets: Free Expert Picks for Thursday's 2022 NBA Draft
NBA Draft Best Bets: Free Expert Picks for Thursday's 2022 NBA Draft
2022 NBA Mock Draft Picks and Predictions: Who will be the first overall pick?
2022 NBA Mock Draft Picks and Predictions: Who will be the first overall pick?
DraftKings Video: Full 2022 NBA Lottery Mock Draft
DraftKings Video: Full 2022 NBA Lottery Mock Draft