Giants at Saints Betting Odds, Picks and Predictions for Week 5
The Giants finally got on the board, winning their first game of the season against the Los Angeles Chargers in Week 4. However, it came at a cost as Malik Nabers suffered a torn ACL. As the Giants move forward without their star wide receiver, they will try to put another game in the win column when they face the winless New Orleans Saints in Week 5. Let's highlight three wagers to consider for the matchup.
Mike Barner's season record: 15-12 (+0.11 units)
Giants at Saints Betting Odds
Giants: Spread +2.5 (-115 ESPN Bet), +115 Moneyline (ESPN Bet)
Saints: Spread -1.5 (-105 DraftKings), -120 Moneyline (DraftKings)
Game Total: Over: 41 points (-110 BetMGM), Under: 42.5 Points (-115, DraftKings)
In addition to Nabers being out, the Giants are expected play their second straight game without RB Tyrone Tracy Jr. (shoulder). The Saints will be thin on their offensive line with right guard Cesar Ruiz (ankle) sidelined.
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Giants at Saints Betting Picks
Giants at Saints Best Bet: Darius Slayton 40+ receiving yards (-120 Bet365 Sportsbook) for 1 Unit
With Nabers departing early last week with his injury, Slayton finished with three receptions for 44 yards on four targets. He has just nine catches for the season, but he has averaged 15.0 yards per reception. That is not a surprise, given that he has averaged at least 14.7 yards per reception in all but one season of his career.
Nabers missed two games last year during his rookie campaign, which resulted in Slayton receiving exactly 11 targets in both of them. In one game, he finished with eight receptions, 122 yards and one touchdown. In the other, he had six catches for 57 yards. The Saints have allowed 9.57 yards per target to wide receivers, making the over the way to go here.
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Giants at Saints Best Bet: Cam Skattebo over 64.5 rushing yards (-110 Bet365 Sportsbook) for 1 Unit
With Tracy out last week, Skattebo led the Giants with 25 rushing attempts. While he wasn't overly efficient, the hefty workload helped him record 79 rushing yards. He has been difficult to bring down this season, recording a 72.9 percent positive run rate, and having 70.2 percent of his yards come after contact (YAC).
While Slayton should receive added targets with Nabers out, the Giants also figure to feature their run game heavily. With Jaxson Dart's ability to run, it adds a dangerous dynamic to pair with the bruising Skattebo. After giving up 117 rushing yards to James Cook last week, the Saints could have their hands full with Skattebo.
Giants at Saints Best Bet: Rashid Shaheed over 38.5 receiving yards (-109 DraftKings Sportsbook) for 1 Unit
The Saints have relied heavily on Chris Olave, who has accounted for 30.3 percent of the team's targets. He has also received 35.7 percent of their air yards. Expect him to see plenty of Paulson Adebo, who is the Giants' top cornerback. Dru Phillips has also been excellent as a slot cornerback for the Giants, but Shaheed has spent the majority of his time lining up outside. That means Cor'Dale Flott and Deonte Banks, who both leave a lot to be desired, could spend most of the game on Shaheed.
Even with Olave being so busy, Shaheed has received at least five targets in all four games this season. That helped him produce at least 42 receiving yards in each of the last three games. Shaheed has averaged 15.4 yards per reception for his career, so it might only take a few catches for him to go over this total.
Giants at Saints Prediction
While Dart generates a lot of headlines, the Giants' pass rush could be the difference in this matchup. With Brian Burns, Abdul Carter and Kayvon Thibodeaux leading the way, the team already has 10 sacks. Spencer Rattler has been sacked nine times already this season and has been sacked 31 times over 11 career games. Look for the Giants' defense to lead the team to a road victory.
Giants 23, Saints 17
