In July, we analyzed draft dilemmas among running back and wide receiver tiers for 2025 fantasy football drafts. Now that we're at crunch time, let's pit specific running backs and wide receivers against each other to see how they compare.
There are some excellent options toward the end of the first round. But who should you draft: Christian McCaffrey or Puka Nacua? Each brings a different blend of upside, risk and context. Making the right call is a high-leverage fantasy decision, and one we practice for on the mock draft simulator.
By using that tool and others you get in the fantasy football draft kit at RotoWire, you'll be in great shape come draft day.
Christian McCaffrey, San Francisco 49ers (ADP: 11)
Christian McCaffrey's 2024 was derailed by injury. Coming off an Achilles injury, McCaffrey did not make his season debut until Week 10. He struggled thereafter before suffering a knee injury Week 13, and was shut down for the season.
He ranked in the 30th percentile in yards after contact, but that can be reasonably chalked up to the Achilles injury, and despite being in his eighth season, McCaffrey has averaged just 168 carries per year, which perhaps will preserve him more than expected at age 29.
The 49ers have made it clear that McCaffrey will remain the focal point of the offense this season. Offensive coordinator Klay Kubiak said the team plans to "get him the ball as much as we can."
When healthy, McCaffrey
In July, we analyzed draft dilemmas among running back and wide receiver tiers for 2025 fantasy football drafts. Now that we're at crunch time, let's pit specific running backs and wide receivers against each other to see how they compare.
There are some excellent options toward the end of the first round. But who should you draft: Christian McCaffrey or Puka Nacua? Each brings a different blend of upside, risk and context. Making the right call is a high-leverage fantasy decision, and one we practice for on the mock draft simulator.
By using that tool and others you get in the fantasy football draft kit at RotoWire, you'll be in great shape come draft day.
Christian McCaffrey, San Francisco 49ers (ADP: 11)
Christian McCaffrey's 2024 was derailed by injury. Coming off an Achilles injury, McCaffrey did not make his season debut until Week 10. He struggled thereafter before suffering a knee injury Week 13, and was shut down for the season.
He ranked in the 30th percentile in yards after contact, but that can be reasonably chalked up to the Achilles injury, and despite being in his eighth season, McCaffrey has averaged just 168 carries per year, which perhaps will preserve him more than expected at age 29.
The 49ers have made it clear that McCaffrey will remain the focal point of the offense this season. Offensive coordinator Klay Kubiak said the team plans to "get him the ball as much as we can."
When healthy, McCaffrey is unrivaled. He finished as the PPR RB1 or RB2 in each of his last four healthy seasons. No running back has matched that level of dominance.
Still, three injury-plagued years in the last five seasons make him a high-risk, high-reward pick. His top-5 ADP demands perfection, and that's a tall order given the recent durability record.
The bottom line: McCaffrey has unmatched upside, but the injury risk is undeniable. If you're drafting him, it's a bet on health. For risk-tolerant managers, he's worth the gamble.
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Puka Nacua, Los Angeles Rams (ADP: 9)
Puka Nacua missed six weeks early in 2024 but picked up where he left off from his incredible 2023 rookie season. In his final 10 games, he posted seven outings with at least 95 yards and eight games with at least 17 PPR points. He also ranked in the 89th percentile in yards after the catch.
Usage was through the roof, as Nacua handled up to 46 percent of targets in some weeks. The addition of Davante Adams could eat into volume slightly, but coach Sean McVay has always fed his top wideout. Nacua still fits the mold.
The concern is durability. He missed six games in 2024 and plays a bruising, physical style. Nacua is often expected to block, taking on big collisions in the process. Another concern is the health of quarterback Matthew Stafford, who missed most of training camp with a back injury. If the 37-year-old Stafford has a setback, it would severely impact Nacua.
But for managers chasing NFL fantasy ADP upside, Nacua is well worth the risk if healthy.
Bottom line: Elite ceiling with volume to match. A top-5 WR finish is in play, but the injury risk must be managed.
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