WNBA Best Bets Today: Free Picks and Player Props for Monday, July 7

RotoWire's experts pick their best WNBA bets for Monday, including a fade on Allisha Gray as the Atlanta Dream take on the Golden State Valkyries.
WNBA Best Bets Today: Free Picks and Player Props for Monday, July 7
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Best WNBA Bets Today: Monday, July 7

Allisha Gray Under 2.5 Made Three-Pointers (-150) vs. Golden State Valkyries

DraftKings Sportsbook - 1:00 p.m. CT

Kirien Sprecher: Gray has eclipsed this mark just twice in her past 11 appearances and only five times this season. Golden State is holding opponents to 33.2 percent shooting from beyond the arc.

Alyssa Thomas Under 10.5 Assists (-145) vs. Dallas Wings

DraftKings Sportsbook, 11:15 a.m. CT

Steve Bulanda: No Satou Sabally. No Kahleah Copper. No Alexa Held. How is Thomas supposed to accumulate that many assists when all of the offensive firepower is on the bench? I expect Thomas to take on more of a scoring role and less of a distributor role, as she has done in seven games when she has played without Copper. In those games, she averaged 8.1 assists and topped 10.5 just once. She'll have even fewer potential assists without leading scorer Sabally, who will sit for the first time all season. I liked this prop better as a straight bet when the odds were -120. Now I'll be confidently using it as a parlay leg and in PrizePicks lineups.

Dallas Wings +5.5 at Phoenix Mercury (-105)

BetMGM, 1:40 p.m. CT

Darrell Harris: Coming off a 98-89 win over the Mercury in Dallas on Thursday, the Wings are in Phoenix Monday night hoping that lightning strikes twice. The difference tonight is that Phoenix will be noticeably shorthanded without Kahleah Copper and Satou Sabally -- who combined for 53 of the team's 89 points Friday night. The Wings, on the other hand, used their size advantage to out-rebound Phoenix 38-26. I expect more of the same Monday, giving the Wings ample opportunity to cover the 5.5 point margin -- and a realistic chance to win outright as well.

Li Yueru Over 14.5 Points + Rebounds (-112) at Phoenix Mercury

FanDuel Sportsbook, 4:15 p.m. CT

Jason Shebilske: Yueru has been somewhat inconsistent since joining the Wings, but she's coming off her second double-double in her last four appearances against the Mercury on Thursday. Dallas now has Luisa Geiselsoder back in action, but it appears as though the two players will be able to coexist in the frontcourt, as Yueru's double-double against Phoenix on Thursday occurred despite Geiselsoder logging 33 minutes of playing time. Even though the Wings will be on the road for Monday's rematch, Yueru should have plenty of opportunities to contribute against the shorthanded Mercury.

ABOUT THE AUTHORS
Steve has served several roles with RotoWire, starting as an intern working on breaking news and analysis, moving to NBA beat writer and (years later) taking over as "marketing guy" and multi-sport contributor. He's also the undisputed best bowler at RotoWire, with multiple 800 series and 300 games. He will be thrilled when fantasy bowling becomes a thing someday.
Darrell is a basketball analyst, writer and Emmy-nominated TV News producer based in Las Vegas, NV. He joined RotoWire in 2024, assisting in NBA coverage, and now WNBA as well. He's a regular on local radio, TV and podcasts. When he's not checking his fantasy lineups, he's probably ranting on TikTok or grinding on NBA 2K. You can find him on Twitter/X at x.com/Dhoopster_
Jason joined RotoWire in 2019. In 2023, he was named the FSWA Player Notes Writer of the Year. In addition to RotoWire, Jason writes for the Sports Broadcast Journal. In 2024, he was dubbed "The Polish Parlay" for his WNBA hot betting streak.
Kirien Sprecher is a University of Wisconsin-Madison graduate who has covered the NBA, NFL and MLB for RotoWire since early 2021. In his free time, Kirien is probably arguing a foul call during a pickup basketball game at a local rec center.
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