FanDuel MLB: Wednesday Value Plays

FanDuel MLB: Wednesday Value Plays

This article is part of our FanDuel MLB series.

Pitcher

Jake Odorizzi, TAM vs. CWS ($7,900): This pick needs to come with the clear caveat that this column is about value. There is very little reason to go against Houston's Dallas Keuchel ($10,900), who has won nine times in 11 starts and has a 1.63 ERA against the lowly Royals. It's simply too good of a matchup to fade. But if you're really looking to go against the grain, the $3,000 saved on Odorizzi could offer value. The White Sox bring a .294 wOBA and .150 ISO into the contest along with a 23.2 strikeout rate against righties. Odorizzi also has a 2.90 ERA at home versus a 4.50 ERA on the road, further suggesting a safe floor.

Catcher

Tyler Flowers, ATL vs. PHI ($2,700): Playing time continues to be paramount when I look for catchers. Flowers didn't start Tuesday, suggesting he'll be back in the lineup Wednesday, which immediately makes him a solid buy simply for the three at-bats he'll garner. That he brings a 159wRC+ and .415 wOBA against righties is a mere bonus. Phils' starter Jerad Eickhoff posted a 6.08 ERA in May and allowed four earned runs in his first 2.2 frames of June, further adding to Flowers' promise.

First Base

Matt Carpenter, STL at CIN ($3,000): In spite of his current slump, Carpenter still owns a .352 wOBA, 119 wRC+ and .806 OPS against righties, numbers that rise to .382/139/.890 on the road. Reds' starter Bronson Arroyo continues to surrender long balls at will, as opposing bats have gone deep against him 19 times — 10 of which came from-left handers, who have posted a .392 wOBA against him.

Second Base

Ian Kinsler, DET vs. LAA ($3,200): Kinsler clearly isn't the player he once was, but I'm willing to roll the dice with him in his second game back from the disabled list, so long as he remains in the leadoff spot. Angels starter Alex Meyers has a 8.10 ERA away from home, allowing a .412 wOBA to righties in the process. Kinsler sported a .352 wOBA and 120 wRC+ at home against righties a year ago, suggesting there's plenty of room for improvement on his .275/68 current splits.

Third Base

Alex Bregman, HOU at KAN ($3,000): Kansas City starter Jason Vargas has been great (seven wins, 2.08 ERA), but the Astros have five players with a wOBA of .374 or greater against lefties, and given how hot they've been, it makes sense to roll with a couple of them. Bregman is the cheapest of those five and offers solid value at the keystone, as he has a .420 wOBA and 170 wRC+ against southpaws.

Shortstop

Taylor Motter, SEA vs. MIN ($2,800): Motter has hit safely in five straight games and has posted double-digit fantasy points in three straight, coinciding with Jean Segura's absence. He owns just a .209 wOBA against lefties over 38 at-bats, a far cry from the .442 wOBA he posted over 23 at-bats last year, suggesting plenty of room for improvement. Twins starter Adalberto Mejia has surrendered a .358 wOBA to right-handers, leaving minimal risk for Motter at this price.

Outfield

Brett Gardner, NYY vs BOS ($3,400): Gardner doesn't offer huge upside, but he's registered double-digit points in five of his last eight outings. He sports a solid .382 wOBA and 142 wRC+ against right-handers entering a matchup with Rick Porcello, who continues to allow baserunners at a high rate. Porcello has allowed at least nine to reach base in each of his last five starts, none of which have lasted more than 6.2 frames.

David Peralta, ARI vs. SDP ($3,200): If you're planning to pay up for pitching, it's unlikely you'll be able to fit many top-priced bats, like Arizona's Paul Goldschmidt, into your lineup. Enter Peralta, who has a juicy matchup with the Padres' Luis Perdomo, who allowed eight runs and 11 hits to Arizona on May 20 while lasting just 3.0 innings. Peralta owns a .358 wOBA and .833 OPS against righties, while Perdomo is surrendering a .364 wOBA and .852 OPS to lefties.

Seth Smith, BAL vs. PIT ($3,100): Smith has seen some time off recently due to the plethora of left-handed arms the O's have faced, but he's provided 18+ fantasy points in each of his last two starts entering Tuesday. He brings a .326 wOBA against righties, a number that rises to .349 at home, into a contest against Pirates starter Chad Kuhl, who has surrendered a .442 wOBA to lefties.

The author(s) of this article may play in daily fantasy contests including – but not limited to – games that they have provided recommendations or advice on in this article. In the course of playing in these games using their personal accounts, it's possible that they will use players in their lineups or other strategies that differ from the recommendations they have provided above. The recommendations in this article do not necessarily reflect the views of RotoWire. Chris Bennett plays in daily fantasy contests using the following accounts: FanDuel: k30kittles, DraftKings: k30kittles.
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ABOUT THE AUTHOR
Chris Bennett
Bennett covers baseball, college football and college basketball for RotoWire. Before turning to fantasy writing, he worked in scouting/player development for the Atlanta Braves and Montreal Expos. He's also a fan of the ACC.
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