Helpful Links
For those interested, we've started an MLB DFS Slack channel for paid RotoWire subscribers. (There is a season-long one as well.) To join those channels, e-mail [email protected].
Park Factors & Lines
Park factors in this piece are a three-year average from 2015-2017, indexed (100 = average). For example, left-handed home runs at Guaranteed Rate Field (home of the White Sox) have a three-year index of 122, which means there have been 22% more homers hit by lefties from all teams during that span in that park compared to a completely neutral environment. Left-handed hitters have a significant advantage when hitting at Guaranteed Rate Field.
AT&T Park (home of the Giants), has a three-year run index of 90, which means that games played at AT&T park have had 10% fewer runs scored overall than a completely neutral environment. Overall offensive production is reduced by a significant amount for games played in San Francisco, making it a safer environment than most for pitchers.
| Lefties | Righties | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Road Starter | Home Starter | Home Tm | R | AVG | HR | AVG | HR | K | O/U | HmL | 1st Pitch |
| Eric Lauer | Luis Castillo | Reds | 104 | 100 | 119 | 98 | 108 | 106 | 8.5 | -160 | 6:40 PM |
| Kyle Hendricks | Stephen Strasburg | Nationals | 100 | 98 | 89 | 105 | 114 | 98 | 8.5 | -110 | 7:05 PM |
| Shane Bieber | Sam Gaviglio | Blue Jays | 99 | 102 | 98 | 101 | 101 | 97 | 9.0 | 135 | 7:07 PM |
| Anibal Sanchez | Zack Greinke | Diamondbacks | 116 | 109 | 106 | 105 | |||||
Helpful Links
For those interested, we've started an MLB DFS Slack channel for paid RotoWire subscribers. (There is a season-long one as well.) To join those channels, e-mail [email protected].
Park Factors & Lines
Park factors in this piece are a three-year average from 2015-2017, indexed (100 = average). For example, left-handed home runs at Guaranteed Rate Field (home of the White Sox) have a three-year index of 122, which means there have been 22% more homers hit by lefties from all teams during that span in that park compared to a completely neutral environment. Left-handed hitters have a significant advantage when hitting at Guaranteed Rate Field.
AT&T Park (home of the Giants), has a three-year run index of 90, which means that games played at AT&T park have had 10% fewer runs scored overall than a completely neutral environment. Overall offensive production is reduced by a significant amount for games played in San Francisco, making it a safer environment than most for pitchers.
| Lefties | Righties | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Road Starter | Home Starter | Home Tm | R | AVG | HR | AVG | HR | K | O/U | HmL | 1st Pitch |
| Eric Lauer | Luis Castillo | Reds | 104 | 100 | 119 | 98 | 108 | 106 | 8.5 | -160 | 6:40 PM |
| Kyle Hendricks | Stephen Strasburg | Nationals | 100 | 98 | 89 | 105 | 114 | 98 | 8.5 | -110 | 7:05 PM |
| Shane Bieber | Sam Gaviglio | Blue Jays | 99 | 102 | 98 | 101 | 101 | 97 | 9.0 | 135 | 7:07 PM |
| Anibal Sanchez | Zack Greinke | Diamondbacks | 116 | 109 | 106 | 105 | 111 | 100 | 8.0 | -160 | 9:40 PM |
Pitcher Skills
These stats look at each starting pitcher's stats since the start of last season.
The final two columns are team stats for each pitcher's opponent.
OwRC+ is the team wRC+ for the current season, against the handedness of that pitcher.
TeamK% is the strikeout rate of the opposing team for the current season, against the handedness of that pitcher.
Note: Opponent team matchup data from 2018 season.
| Player | Opp | IP | K% | BB% | K-BB | HR/9 | ERA | WHIP | DK | FD | OwRC+ | OsK% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Shane Bieber (R) | at TOR | 85.0 | 24.1 | 4.2 | 19.9 | 1.06 | 4.66 | 1.36 | $8,000 | $8,600 | 105 | 21.8 |
| Luis Castillo (R) | v SD | 232.7 | 24.9 | 7.8 | 17.1 | 1.35 | 4.18 | 1.20 | $8,200 | 87 | 25.0 | |
| Sam Gaviglio (R) | v CLE | 174.7 | 18.7 | 7.5 | 11.1 | 1.70 | 4.74 | 1.40 | $7,000 | $7,400 | 108 | 18.8 |
| Zack Greinke (R) | v ATL | 378.3 | 25.9 | 5.3 | 20.6 | 1.19 | 3.09 | 1.06 | $9,100 | $10,500 | 98 | 21.1 |
| Kyle Hendricks (R) | at WAS | 304.3 | 20.7 | 6.4 | 14.3 | 1.09 | 3.43 | 1.20 | $7,700 | $9,000 | 101 | 19.8 |
| Eric Lauer (L) | at CIN | 91.7 | 18.4 | 9.3 | 9.1 | 1.28 | 5.01 | 1.64 | $6,000 | 108 | 20.4 | |
| Anibal Sanchez (R) | at ARI | 214.0 | 22.7 | 6.7 | 16.0 | 1.64 | 4.67 | 1.34 | $7,500 | $7,900 | 88 | 23.2 |
| Stephen Strasburg (R) | v CHC | 276.7 | 28.8 | 6.6 | 22.1 | 0.88 | 3.09 | 1.08 | $8,600 | $9,600 | 104 | 20.7 |
Pitcher Splits
These splits cover each pitcher's performance against left-handed and right-handed hitters since the start of the 2016 season.
Stats highlighted yellow indicate matchups favoring the pitcher. Stats highlighted blue indicate matchups favoring opposing hitters.
| v. Lefties | v. Righties | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Name | Opp | K% | BB% | K-BB | HR/9 | wOBA | K% | BB% | K-BB | HR/9 | wOBA |
| Shane Bieber (R) | at TOR | 25.1 | 7.6 | 17.5 | 1.19 | 0.390 | 22.8 | 1.3 | 21.5 | 0.91 | 0.293 |
| Luis Castillo (R) | v SD | 22.8 | 8.5 | 14.2 | 1.71 | 0.346 | 25.8 | 7.0 | 18.8 | 1.12 | 0.281 |
| Sam Gaviglio (R) | v CLE | 14.9 | 8.5 | 6.4 | 1.64 | 0.357 | 21.7 | 6.8 | 15.0 | 1.75 | 0.344 |
| Zack Greinke (R) | v ATL | 23.5 | 5.4 | 18.1 | 1.05 | 0.291 | 25.0 | 5.7 | 19.2 | 1.36 | 0.296 |
| Kyle Hendricks (R) | at WAS | 23.1 | 7.2 | 15.9 | 1.04 | 0.296 | 20.2 | 5.4 | 14.9 | 0.90 | 0.273 |
| Eric Lauer (L) | at CIN | 11.2 | 9.0 | 2.2 | 1.45 | 0.399 | 21.0 | 9.4 | 11.7 | 1.32 | 0.370 |
| Anibal Sanchez (R) | at ARI | 22.8 | 8.9 | 13.9 | 1.33 | 0.324 | 20.4 | 5.6 | 14.7 | 2.11 | 0.364 |
| Stephen Strasburg (R) | v CHC | 28.5 | 8.1 | 20.4 | 0.94 | 0.270 | 30.3 | 5.6 | 24.7 | 0.87 | 0.281 |
