This article is part of our DraftKings Sportsbook series.
Is there a happier day in the year than Super Bowl Sunday? Your significant other's birthday? No. Mother's Day? No. Father's Day? No. Birth of your child? It's kind of a coin flip if we're being honest (kidding!). Be sure to check out all the Promos DraftKings offers here.
Let's look at what wagers I like for the big day at the DraftKings Sportsbook.
Chiefs to Win -162
There's a little voice in my head reminding me that the offensive line for Kansas City is banged up, but I can't bet against Andy Reid and Patrick Mahomes. If I take the points, the odds are -115, so the difference in the vig doesn't matter much to me. I usually never take the favorite in the Super Bowl — this an exception I believe in. Also, while this totally doesn't mean anything, I feel like a lot of champions in sports were the chalky favorites this last year, as the Chiefs are.
Over 56 Points (-108)
Taking the over is always fun as the average fan definitely roots for a high-scoring game over a defensive battle. The other advantage is that once the over hits, it's done — you can't take points off the board. I think the offenses are both good enough to move up and down the field and this becomes a shootout.
MVP Antonio Brown (+6000, DK)
I realize that Mike Evans or Chris Godwin have a slightly better chance of beating out Brown, but I like these odds much better. Brown's Week 17 line (15-11-138-2) shows his upside, and putting that up Sunday would make it hard to pass him over should the Buccaneers win.
Patrick Mahomes Over 325.5 Passing Yards (-118)
I'm worried about the offensive line and it might be wet (60 percent chance of rain mid-day, though the field presumably will be covered), but with two weeks to prepare the Chiefs should have a plan to protect Mahomes. Perhaps surprisingly, Mahomes has surpassed 400 passing yards just twice this season, but even if the Chiefs get a big lead, they won't put their foot off the gas in this game.
Tom Brady Over 1.5 Passing Touchdowns (-230)
I hate laying these odds, and while I think the Chiefs win and cover it's tough to ignore how good Brady has been in this category. Quick — entering Sunday, how many consecutive games has he hit this prop? If you said six, seven or eight, you'd be wrong. The same with nine. He has 10 in a row with this over, something Patrick Mahomes has done in only four of his last six.
Clyde Edwards-Helaire Under 48.5 Rushing Yards (-112)
This one is going to be way under or way over. I'm backing the former because this line opened at 30.5. I'm not sure what happened in the last 48 hours but I can't find any injury news that would affect the line this way. Darrel Williams has been the top backfield option during the playoffs and it's hard to think the Chiefs will toss him aside now that CEH is healthy.
Leonard Fournette Under 78.5 Rushing and Receiving Yards (-112)
The over/under for his rushing yards is 48.5, so it seems highly unlikely he gets more than 30 yards receiving. I expect Ronald Jones to out-gain him. I don't think Fournette is even close to being the best running back for Tampa.
Sammy Watkins Over 36.5 Receiving Yards (-106)
This might be my favorite prop of the week. I've done well picking overs on third wide receivers in the Super Bowl (ahem, Malcolm Mitchell) over the years, and Watkins is my guy this year. He's already been bet down a bit from his -112 mark, and that he hasn't played in three games makes me think this mark should be lower. However, Vegas seems to be tempting people into a sucker bet. Wait as long as possible to bet this as the odds might get even better. I like him to score as well at +260.
Antonio Brown Over 40.5 Receiving Yards (-112)
Brown has a ton of upside even as the Bucs' third wide receiver. This number seems like a trap given that he's only had 10 receiving yards in the divisional round. However, he's healthier now and topped this mark in four of his five games before then.
Travis Kelce Under 24.5 Fantasy Points (-112)
First, if you like the over on this, bet the anytime touchdown (-175) for Kelce as well. Every time this season Kelce has hit this over (eight times), only once has he not scored. However, stopping Kelce should be a focal point of the Bucs, and this is a big number. He can go 10-144 and this prop will still be the under. Even 9-90-1 line is still under 24.5 fantasy points. I love that DraftKings has fantasy prop bets on players; it's just awesome.
Cameron Brate Over 29.5 Receiving Yards (-112)
Everyone seems to be focusing on Rob Gronkowski and Travis Kelce; Brate seems like an afterthought. Brate has 16 targets in the three playoffs games and has hit the over twice in those games. The Chiefs are 25th in defending the tight ends, and while Brate has a back injury, he is expected to play. In the event he's ruled out, run to get Tanner Hudson anytime TD at +2300.
Good luck this Sunday and let me know in the comments section if there are any wagers you like this weekend not mentioned above.