The UFC is in Vancouver, Canada, on Saturday, October 18, for a solid UFC Vancouver Fight Night card. The main event sees Reinier de Ridder take on Brendan Allen in a pivotal fight at middleweight.
UFC Vancouver: MMA Betting Picks and Odds Insight
Below, I'll share my UFC Vancouver predictions, including my favorite pick, an underdog, a prop and a two-fighter parlay. All UFC odds are via the DraftKings Sportsbook and are accurate as of the post date of this article.
Weight Class: Bantamweight
Aiemann Zahabi (13-2) vs. Marlon Vera (23-10-1)
Aiemann Zahabi gets a chance to be a top-10 bantamweight at UFC Vancouver, and I love him as a small favorite here against Marlon Vera.
Zahabi is coming off a quality win over Jose Aldo and is on a six-fight winning streak, over which he's looked very impressive. Vera, meanwhile, is on a two-fight losing streak and hasn't shown a whole lot of late.
Although Vera has been fighting a higher level of competition, Zahabi is the better striker, as Vera's striking defense is an issue. Simply put, he's there to be hit. Zahabi should also be able to clinch Vera up against the fence and win the minutes to get a signature victory here.
UFC Vancouver Bet: Aiemann Zahabi (-125)
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Weight Class: Bantamweight
Davey Grant (15-7) vs. Charles Jourdain (16-8-1)
For my underdog pick at UFC Vancouver, I'm taking Davey Grant to get his hand raised against Charles Jourdain.
Despite Grant being almost 40 years old, he has still been impressive, and he continues to be fast and a powerful striker. Jourdain is 3-4 in his last seven as he has been inconsistent, while Grant won his last fight as a big underdog and the fight prior as a pick'em.
Grant should be the more active striker on the feet and land the more damaging shots. Grant can also mix in his wrestling as Jourdain has struggled with wrestling and grappling in his UFC career, which will lead to the upset win for Grant.
UFC Vancouver Bet: Davey Grant (+142)
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Weight Class: Lightweight
Matt Frevola (11-5-1) vs. Kyle Nelson (16-6-1)
For my prop at UFC Vancouver, I'm taking the under 2.5 rounds in the Matt Frevola vs. Kyle Nelson fight at lightweight.
Frevola and Nelson are all-action fighters, and this line being set at 2.5 rounds is a surprise. I thought it would be lined at 1.5 instead, as I expect a first-round finish here.
Both Frevola and Nelson have KO power, but both of their chins have been an issue. Frevola has either been finished or gotten a finish in the first round in five of his last six fights. Nelson, meanwhile, has back-to-back fights ending in the first round.
Expect Frevola and Nelson to come out aggressive and for someone to get knocked out early here.
UFC Vancouver Bet: Matt Frevola-Kyle Nelson under 2.5 rounds (-160)
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Weight Class: Middleweight
Danny Barlow (9-1) vs Djorden Santos (10-2)
Reinier de Ridder (21-2) vs. Brendan Allen (25-7)
For my parlay at UFC Vancouver, I'm taking two middleweight fights, as I like Danny Barlow to get his hand raised and Reinier de Ridder to get the win in the main event.
Barlow is set to take on Djorden Santos, and this is a great spot for Barlow to get back on track. Barlow was upset by Sam Patterson back in March and now takes on Santos, who I don't believe is UFC-caliber. The American is the much better striker, and he should be able to piece up Santos and get a TKO win early in the fight.
To close out the parlay, I like de Ridder to beat Allen. De Ridder is the better grappler, as he should control the pace and control him on the ground. De Ridder also has some unorthodox striking, and we have seen Allen get TKO'd before, so I like 'RDR' to either get a submission or ground-and-pound TKO win here.
UFC Vancouver Bet: Danny Barlow & Reinier de Ridder (-106)
UFC Best Bets
Here is a recap of my best UFC picks for this weekend's UFC Vancouver card.
- Aiemann Zahabi (-125)
- Davey Grant (+142)
- Matt Frevola-Kyle Nelson under 2.5 rounds (-160)
- Danny Barlow & Reiner de Ridder parlay (-106)
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