Regan's Rumblings: Beyond Predictions
Regan's Rumblings: Beyond Predictions

This article is part of our Regan's Rumblings series.

We all have certain expectations of what certain guys can and will deliver, and that's why projections and rankings elicit such a wide range of responses. Projections are just that, estimates/guesses, and those doing said projections just hope to be as right as they can, as often as they can. This week, however, I'll look at 10 guys off to starts that few, if any, analyst/"expert" could have predicted.

Hunter Pence, OF, TEX

As we wrote in our preseason outlook, things weren't looking good for Pence ever being a fantasy contributor again. We stated that, "Pence has likely played his last game with the Giants but maintains he isn't done playing baseball. Frankly, his numbers say otherwise. " That's all true, as Pence saw his numbers crater in 2018, batting .226/.258/.332 in 97 games with the Giants. So of course, he's hitting .316/.389/.658 with seven home runs and a career-best 11.1 BB percentage. Of course, hitting in Texas is a bit easier than doing so in San Francisco, but this is nuts. Pence's StatCast metrics lend support to his slash line, including career-bests in exit velocity (93.1 percent) and hard hit rate (48.4 percent). His 10.9 percent barrel rate is his best since 2015, so clearly, he's seeing the ball better this year. Now, a 35 percent HR/FB rate isn't sustainable, as his mark last year was 7.7 percent, and league average has generally been in the 11 percentrange historically. It would be easy to conclude that what he's doing

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ABOUT THE AUTHOR
David Regan
David Regan is a six-time Fantasy Sports Writers Association award winner, including the 2015 Baseball Article of the Year and the 2010 Baseball Writer of the Year.
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