This article is part of our The Z Files series.
There's been chatter Fernando Tatis could be the top overall pick in 2021 drafts. To be honest, a couple weeks ago he was all but handed the distinction, but a 2-for-27 stretch has pumped the brakes, at least a little. Through Wednesday night's action, Tatis was still the top earner among batters, despite the recent struggles.
The slump has also quelled some of the internet trolling directed at those of us having the nerve suggest Tatis was in store for some regression. The fact is, the Padres superstar has regressed in the BABIP department, as expected. Countering that is a leap in power along with improved plate skills.
Currently, Tatis is sporting a .310 BABIP, exactly 100 points below last season's bloated mark. Much to the consternation of the trolls, the regression monster strikes again. Let's look at some component batted ball data to see what's happening.
Before presenting the numbers, please keep in mind even today, batted ball data differs by source, so some of the stats presented here may not match up with what you find elsewhere. The key is consistency and using the same source throughout the study, which is what was done here. League average data is included to provide perspective.
- AEV: Average Exit Velocity
- LA: Launch Angle
- BABIP: Batting Average on Balls In Play (H – HR)/(AB – K – HR + SF)
- Dist: Average Distance