FantasyDraft MLB: Monday Values

FantasyDraft MLB: Monday Values

This article is part of our FantasyDraft MLB series.

PITCHERS:

Zack Greinke, ARI vs. ATL ($23,200):- The Braves have a .253 wOBA and 53 wRC+ against right-handed pitching on the road over the last month, while Greinke boasts a 2.41 ERA, .190 BAA and a .246 wOBA allowed in 71 innings at Chase Field. While he struggled against the Reds on the road in his last start, he'd scored no less than 16.55 and as many as 30.75 fantasy points in his previous seven outings and has also eclipsed 40 fantasy points twice this season.

Gerrit Cole, PIT at SF ($19,200):- Cole takes on a Giants squad that owns a .290 wOBA and 28.0 percent hard contact rate against right-handers at home over the last month. The Pirates starter has also gotten his act together lately, as he sports a 2.37 ERA over his last three starts while allowing just a .230 average and a .251 wOBA. Both his line drive and hard contact rates allowed have also notably dipped over that span, and he's scored between 15.10 and 30.15 fantasy points – including four games of over 20 fantasy points – in six of his last seven starts.

INFIELD

Joey Votto, CIN at CLE ($10,200):- Votto's recent struggles could well leave him with lower ownership than usual, making him a particularly appealing tournament target versus Indians starter Josh Tomlin, who's given up a .373 wOBA and 35.6 percent hard contact rate to left-handed hitters at home. Despite recent struggles, Votto boasts a .391 wOBA, .281 ISO, 20.4 percent HR/FB rate and 34.2 percent hard contact rate against right-handed pitching on the road.

Yasmani Grandal, LAD vs. MIN ($8,700):- With Bartolo Colon on the mound for the Twins, Dodgers bats are likely to be in high demand Monday, and Grandal shapes up as one of the most formidable. The switch-hitting catcher checks in red-hot, as evidenced by a .407 wOBA and .318 ISO over 46 plate appearances in July, and also owns a .387 wOBA, .256 ISO and 36.6 percent hard contact rate against right-handed pitching at home. Colon has allowed a .379 wOBA and 35.8 percent hard contact rate to left-handed hitters, while Twins relievers have yielded a .327 wOBA to lefty bats on the road in the last month.

Asdrubal Cabrera, NYM at SD ($7,200):- Padres southpaw Clayton Richard has an 8.80 ERA and has allowed a .454 wOBA over his last three starts. He's also allowed a .390 wOBA (including all 16 homers he's surrendered this season), a 22.9 percent HR/FB rate and 36.2 percent hard contact rate to right-handed hitters. Cabrera has touched up Richard for a .444 average, three doubles and four RBI in nine plate appearances and owns a .412 wOBA and 33.3 percent hard contact rate in 44 plate appearances against left-handed pitchers on the road.

OUTFIELD

Jose Ramirez, CLE vs. CIN ($9,300):- Ramirez sports a .426 wOBA and .314 ISO over 77 plate appearances in July, and a .449 wOBA, .289 ISO and 35.4 percent hard contact rate against right-handed pitching at Progressive Field. Reds starter Tim Adleman has surrendered 13 homers to left-handed hitters on the season, leading to a .364 wOBA allowed to that handedness. Adleman has also been struggling, having allowed a .400 wOBA and 36.4 percent hard contact rate while generating a 6.20 ERA over his last three starts. Meanwhile, the Reds bullpen has a 5.12 ERA against lefty bats on the road in the last month.

Marcell Ozuna, MIA at TEX ($8,400):- Ozuna is in the midst of a long-ball drought, but a matchup against Rangers southpaw Martin Perez in the favorable hitting conditions of Globe Life Park could well be the cure for what ails him. Perez has surrendered a .381 wOBA (including seven homers), 5.28 xFIP and 38.8 percent hard contact rate to right-handed hitters at home, while Ozuna owns a .358 wOBA versus southpaws, along with a 40.0 percent hard contact rate against them on the road.

Rajai Davis, OAK at TOR ($7,200):- Davis has been coming on at the plate in July and also owns a .364 average, four doubles, a triple, a homer and two RBI over 34 plate appearances against Francisco Liriano. The speedy veteran boasts a .362 wOBA in 45 July plate appearances, while Liriano has surrendered a .388 wOBA, 5.69 xFIP and 33.7 percent hard contact rate to right-handed hitters, and a .426 wOBA over the 15.2 innings encompassing his last four starts. Meanwhile, the Blue Jays bullpen has an 8.77 ERA and has allowed a .398 wOBA (including five homers) to right-handed hitters at Rogers Centre over the last month.

UTILITY

Steven Souza, Jr., TAM vs. BAL ($8,800):- Orioles starter Kevin Gausman has allowed a .412 wOBA over 38.1 road innings, including a .422 wOBA and 36.0 percent hard contact rate to right-handed hitters. Souza has a .412 wOBA over 68 July plate appearances, along with a 37.2 percent hard contact rate. He's also posted a .416 wOBA, .263 ISO, 34.8 percent HR/FB rate and 39.2 percent hard contact rate against right-handed pitching at Tropicana Field.

Daniel Descalso, ARI vs. ATL ($6,900):- Descalso is one of the few D-Backs who seems to have knuckleballer R.A. Dickey figured out, as evidenced by his .615 average over 13 plate appearances versus the veteran right-hander. He's also tagged righties for a .363 wOBA, .218 ISO and 39.4 percent hard contact rate at Chase Field overall, while Dickey has surrendered a 5.53 xFIP and 30.5 percent hard contact rate to left-handed hitters on the road.

The author(s) of this article may play in daily fantasy contests including – but not limited to – games that they have provided recommendations or advice on in this article. In the course of playing in these games using their personal accounts, it's possible that they will use players in their lineups or other strategies that differ from the recommendations they have provided above. The recommendations in this article do not necessarily reflect the views of RotoWire. Juan Carlos Blanco plays in daily fantasy contests using the following accounts: DraftKings: jcblanco22, FanDuel: jc_blanco22, DraftPot: jc_blanco22, FantasyDraft: jc_blanco22, OwnThePlay: jcblanco22.
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ABOUT THE AUTHOR
Juan Carlos Blanco
Winner of the FSWA 2016 Newcomer of the Year Award, Juan Carlos Blanco has been playing fantasy sports for over 20 years and covers NBA, MLB, NFL, CFL and Arena Football for Rotowire.com, including serving as the beat writer for teams in multiple sports. He has previously written for KFFL.com and remains an avid season-long and daily fantasy player in multiple sports as well.
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