Weekly Pitcher Rankings: Second-Half Kickoff

Weekly Pitcher Rankings: Second-Half Kickoff

This article is part of our Weekly Pitcher Rankings series.

As always, remember that rotations are subject to change, so if you see something that looks incorrect, assume that it was a change that occurred since this was written and feel free to politely bring it up in the comments, I'll let you know where the new arm slots.

For the week July 17-19

(Note: The Pitching Value Meter will preview next week's schedule in its usual Saturday article.)

AMERICAN LEAGUE

START

RankPitcherOppComments
1Chris SaleKCThe streak of 10+ K games was snapped at 8, but he's still done it in 10 of his last 12 starts (131 Ks in 92 IP, only six SPs have 131+ all year)
2Felix Hernandezat NYY
3Corey Kluberat CINAllowed 8.6 H/9 before arrival of Lindor & Urshela; just 6.6 H/9 in five starts w/the pair
4David PriceBALK/9 still lagging from 4 in 15 IP v. KC in back-to-back outings, but in 11 starts since it's up from 6.4 to 9.4
5Sonny GrayMIN
6Dallas KeuchelTEXTo say he doesn't strikeout guys is overstating it; he's not elite there, but his K/9 and K% are both above average
7Masahiro TanakaSEA
8Chris Archerat TORHas allowed 2 runs (1 ER) in 22 IP v. TOR this year (now down to 2.51 ERA in 75 career IP v. TOR, incl. 8.7 K/9 and 3.5 K:BB)
9Carlos Carrascoat CINI can't imagine a discount really available,
As always, remember that rotations are subject to change, so if you see something that looks incorrect, assume that it was a change that occurred since this was written and feel free to politely bring it up in the comments, I'll let you know where the new arm slots.

For the week July 17-19

(Note: The Pitching Value Meter will preview next week's schedule in its usual Saturday article.)

AMERICAN LEAGUE

START

RankPitcherOppComments
1Chris SaleKCThe streak of 10+ K games was snapped at 8, but he's still done it in 10 of his last 12 starts (131 Ks in 92 IP, only six SPs have 131+ all year)
2Felix Hernandezat NYY
3Corey Kluberat CINAllowed 8.6 H/9 before arrival of Lindor & Urshela; just 6.6 H/9 in five starts w/the pair
4David PriceBALK/9 still lagging from 4 in 15 IP v. KC in back-to-back outings, but in 11 starts since it's up from 6.4 to 9.4
5Sonny GrayMIN
6Dallas KeuchelTEXTo say he doesn't strikeout guys is overstating it; he's not elite there, but his K/9 and K% are both above average
7Masahiro TanakaSEA
8Chris Archerat TORHas allowed 2 runs (1 ER) in 22 IP v. TOR this year (now down to 2.51 ERA in 75 career IP v. TOR, incl. 8.7 K/9 and 3.5 K:BB)
9Carlos Carrascoat CINI can't imagine a discount really available, but he's worth buying even at market value - he's a second half buy target (2HBT)
10Michael PinedaSEAAll of his skills suggest he is as much as a run better than his 3.62 ERA (2HBT)
11Jeff SamardzijaKC(2HBT)
12Jose QuintanaKC
13Scott KazmirMIN
14Jake Odorizziat TORLooked sharp in his return from the DL (5.7 scoreless w/2 H & 5 Ks v. HOU)
15Erasmo Ramirezat TOR
16Garrett RichardsBOSThis feels like a lower percentile outcome for Richards so far, there is definitely serious potential to turn it up here (2HBT)
17Eduardo Rodriguezat LAA(2HBT)
18Anibal SanchezBALHas to keep the ball in the yard, but was best in baseball at it from 2013-14 (2HBT)
19Hector SantiagoBOSSkills say he's 2013-14 version still, gaudy ERA is heavily influenced by 89% LOB rate - he's a second half sell target (2HST)
20Kyle Gibsonat OAKOfficially on a run: 2.76 ERA in 65.3 IP w/8.1 K/9 and 3.1 K:BB; ERA has been there all year, but skills now following (2HBT)
21Ubaldo Jimenezat DETI still worry that we're living on a wire w/Ubaldo as that 1.27 WHIP is still pretty high for a 2.81 ERA (2HST)
22Hisashi Iwakumaat NYYEight innings of three-hit ball doesn't erase his last 11 starts (dating back to last seven of '14), but showed he can still do it
23Yovani Gallardoat HOU
24Ervin Santanaat OAKMight take a few starts to iron it out, but I think he'll be a positive down the stretch (2HBT)
25Collin McHughTEX
26Trevor Bauerat CIN
27Justin VerlanderBALBig start in MIN is promising, but doesn't erase all the damage; still need to see more before fully trusting in all formats
28Drew HutchisonTB
29Marco EstradaTBSeems to have regained his MIL form of 2012-13; still had 6 Shellackings (5+ ER) those two seasons
30C.J. WilsonBOS
31Wade Mileyat LAASkills are improving, but results haven't followed including a 6.88 ERA in three July starts against a 3.90 FIP; keep an eye on him
32Edinson Volquezat CWS
33Miguel Gonzalezat DET
34Mike Montgomeryat NYYEager to see how he responds from his first clunker, especially in a difficult environment at NYY
35Phil Hughesat OAKFinding his form a bit, but it's still a lesser version than '14 as he just doesn't induce swings & misses
36Jesse ChavezMINHad a 5.20 ERA last July before moving back to the pen, has a 6.55 ERA in his last four starts (2HST)
37R.A. DickeyTB

SIT

RankPitcherOppComments
38Chris Youngat CWSHas a 3.47 ERA in 12 starts since fully joining the rotation, that's the upside; downside is about a run higher
39Rick Porcelloat LAA
40Chris Tillmanat DET
41Scott FeldmanTEX
42Danny Duffyat CWS
43CC SabathiaSEA
44Martin Perezat HOU
45John DanksKC
46Jeremy Guthrieat CWS
47Colby Lewisat HOU

NATIONAL LEAGUE

START

RankPitcherOppComments
1Max ScherzerLADThe most aspect of his season is also exhibit 4,739,019 why W-L records mean jack: he has seven losses
2Clayton Kershawat WASSo stupid that he had fight his way into the All-Star Game; even if you only go off of '15, his ERA is 10th in NL
3Gerrit Coleat MIL
4Zack Greinkeat WASAnalysis saying Greinke won't hold his .233 BABIP & 90% LOB is useless; plan for a 2.75 ERA the rest of the way which is still elite
5Madison Bumgarnerat ARIYour league may vary, but it seems perception has Bumgarner having a worse season than reality; still an easy ace (2HBT)
6Johnny CuetoCLE
7Jake Arrietaat ATLA veritable carbon copy of last year's excellence, Arrieta is for real
8Jose Fernandezat PHI
9Cole HamelsMIA
10Michael WachaNYMBeen backing him from the jump, but while some might be ready to sell out of this ERA, I think he can continue on this level (2HBT)
11Francisco Lirianoat MILLiriano is a scary name in the market which tamps down his value regardless of performance; use that for a discount (2HBT)
12Lance LynnNYM
13John LackeyNYMNot the toxic name value of Liriano, but often underrated; likely a 3.30ish ERA rest of way, but you can buy for 4.00 ERA prices (2HBT)
14Noah Syndergaardat STLThe only real concern is innings which makes it too hard to make him a buy target, especially for re-draft leagues
15Jon Lesterat ATLIt wasn't all bad in April, but just wipe it off the slate to get a better idea of him right now: 2.94 ERA, 85 Ks, 3.4 K:BB in 88.7 IP
16Tyson RossCOLHas been relatively successful despite the ugly BB rate; if he can slice into it at all, he's on track for 2014-level numbers (2HBT)
17Shelby MillerCHC
18Jordan ZimmermannLAD
19James ShieldsCOL
20Julio TeheranCHCMaybe it's foolish, but the quality home numbers give me hope (2.04 ERA, 2.9 K:BB in 53 IP); 13 HRs in 10 road starts are killing him
21Andrew CashnerCOLHis .403 BABIP at home seems out of sorts against a .284 career mark; crazy BABIP is hiding a 6.5 K:BB at home (2HBT)
22Bartolo Colonat STL
23Dan Harenat PHI
24Mike LeakeCLEIn the midst of another high: 3.35 ERA in last eight, but there will be an inevitable couple start crash; just ride it out if you have him
25Jorge De La Rosaat SD
26Patrick CorbinSF
27Kyle Hendricksat ATLIf you don't like those Mike Fiers/Chris Heston types, then Hendricks and his 89 MPH (9th-slowest) aren't for you
28Mike FiersPITThese soft-tossers have different routes to success, but the lack of overpowering stuff leaves them ever-susceptible to a Shellacking
29Jimmy NelsonPIT
30Matt Cainat ARIAs with Iwakuma & Verlander in the AL one big start doesn't erase worry, but it's nice to see he can still do it, now let's see more
31Doug FisterLAD
32Manny BanuelosCHCAt 95 IP already, Banuelos isn't long for 2015 w/a rough cap around 120-130 so use him while you can in appropriate leagues
33Robbie RaySFPlaying above his head, but has experienced real gains in stuff and feel for pitching
34Chase AndersonSF
35Jake Peavyat ARI
36Taylor JungmannPITBBs were a major issue for most of '14 and all of '15 in minors, but 7% rate so far; meager 56% 1st-pitch Strike Rate says be careful
37Chad Bettisat SD

SIT

RankPitcherOppComments
38Charlie Mortonat MILHas gone 6 IP in each of his three starts since the 0.7 IP/9 ER nightmare, chopping a run off each time w/4, 3, and 2 ER
39Tom Koehlerat PHI
40Mike Bolsingerat WAS
41Anthony DeSclafaniCLE
42Jon Nieseat STL
43Adam MorganMIA
44Kyle Kendrickat SD
45Chad BillingsleyMIA

MLB TOP 50

RankPitcherOppComments
1Max ScherzerLADThe most aspect of his season is also exhibit 4,739,019 why W-L records mean jack: he has seven losses
2Clayton Kershawat WASSo stupid that he had fight his way into the All-Star Game; even if you only go off of '15, his ERA is 10th in NL
3Chris SaleKCThe streak of 10+ K games was snapped at 8, but he's still done it in 10 of his last 12 starts (131 Ks in 92 IP, only six SPs have 131+ all year)
4Felix Hernandezat NYY
5Corey Kluberat CINAllowed 8.6 H/9 before arrival of Lindor & Urshela; just 6.6 H/9 in five starts w/the pair
6David PriceBALK/9 still lagging from 4 in 15 IP v. KC in back-to-back outings, but in 11 starts since it's up from 6.4 to 9.4
7Gerrit Coleat MIL
8Zack Greinkeat WASAnalysis saying Greinke won't hold his .233 BABIP & 90% LOB is useless; plan for a 2.75 ERA the rest of the way which is still elite
9Madison Bumgarnerat ARIYour league may vary, but it seems perception has Bumgarner having a worse season than reality; still an easy ace (2HBT)
10Sonny GrayMIN
11Dallas KeuchelTEXTo say he doesn't strikeout guys is overstating it; he's not elite there, but his K/9 and K% are both above average
12Johnny CuetoCLE
13Jake Arrietaat ATLA veritable carbon copy of last year's excellence, Arrieta is for real
14Jose Fernandezat PHI
15Cole HamelsMIA
16Michael WachaNYMBeen backing him from the jump, but while some might be ready to sell out of this ERA, I think he can continue on this level (2HBT)
17Francisco Lirianoat MILLiriano is a scary name in the market which tamps down his value regardless of performance; use that for a discount (2HBT)
18Masahiro TanakaSEA
19Chris Archerat TORHas allowed 2 runs (1 ER) in 22 IP v. TOR this year (now down to 2.51 ERA in 75 career IP v. TOR, incl. 8.7 K/9 and 3.5 K:BB)
20Carlos Carrascoat CINI can't imagine a discount really available, but he's worth buying even at market value - he's a second half buy target (2HBT)
21Lance LynnNYM
22John LackeyNYMNot the toxic name value of Liriano, but often underrated; likely a 3.30ish ERA rest of way, but you can buy for 4.00 ERA prices (2HBT)
23Noah Syndergaardat STLThe only real concern is innings which makes it too hard to make him a buy target, especially for re-draft leagues
24Jon Lesterat ATLIt wasn't all bad in April, but just wipe it off the slate to get a better idea of him right now: 2.94 ERA, 85 Ks, 3.4 K:BB in 88.7 IP
25Tyson RossCOLHas been relatively successful despite the ugly BB rate; if he can slice into it at all, he's on track for 2014-level numbers (2HBT)
26Shelby MillerCHC
27Jordan ZimmermannLAD
28James ShieldsCOL
29Michael PinedaSEAAll of his skills suggest he is as much as a run better than his 3.62 ERA (2HBT)
30Jeff SamardzijaKC(2HBT)
31Jose QuintanaKC
32Scott KazmirMIN
33Jake Odorizziat TORLooked sharp in his return from the DL (5.7 scoreless w/2 H & 5 Ks v. HOU)
34Erasmo Ramirezat TOR
35Garrett RichardsBOSThis feels like a lower percentile outcome for Richards so far, there is definitely serious potential to turn it up here (2HBT)
36Eduardo Rodriguezat LAA(2HBT)
37Anibal SanchezBALHas to keep the ball in the yard, but was best in baseball at it from 2013-14 (2HBT)
38Hector SantiagoBOSSkills say he's 2013-14 version still, gaudy ERA is heavily influenced by 89% LOB rate - he's a second half sell target (2HST)
39Kyle Gibsonat OAKOfficially on a run: 2.76 ERA in 65.3 IP w/8.1 K/9 and 3.1 K:BB; ERA has been there all year, but skills now following (2HBT)
40Ubaldo Jimenezat DETI still worry that we're living on a wire w/Ubaldo as that 1.27 WHIP is still pretty high for a 2.81 ERA (2HST)
41Hisashi Iwakumaat NYYEight innings of three-hit ball doesn't erase his last 11 starts (dating back to last seven of '14), but showed he can still do it
42Julio TeheranCHCMaybe it's foolish, but the quality home numbers give me hope (2.04 ERA, 2.9 K:BB in 53 IP); 13 HRs in 10 road starts are killing him
43Andrew CashnerCOLHis .403 BABIP at home seems out of sorts against a .284 career mark; crazy BABIP is hiding a 6.5 K:BB at home (2HBT)
44Yovani Gallardoat HOU
45Ervin Santanaat OAKMight take a few starts to iron it out, but I think he'll be a positive down the stretch (2HBT)
46Collin McHughTEX
47Bartolo Colonat STL
48Dan Harenat PHI
49Mike LeakeCLEIn the midst of another high: 3.35 ERA in last eight, but there will be an inevitable couple start crash; just ride it out if you have him
50Jorge De La Rosaat SD
Want to Read More?
Subscribe to RotoWire to see the full article.

We reserve some of our best content for our paid subscribers. Plus, if you choose to subscribe you can discuss this article with the author and the rest of the RotoWire community.

Get Instant Access To This Article Get Access To This Article
RotoWire Community
Join Our Subscriber-Only MLB Chat
Chat with our writers and other RotoWire MLB fans for all the pre-game info and in-game banter.
Join The Discussion
ABOUT THE AUTHOR
Paul Sporer
Sporer covers pitching for RotoWire. He also writes for Baseball Prospectus and publishes an annual guide on starting pitcher. In his spare time, he roots for the Tigers.
Mound Musings: A Look at Pitching in the NL West
Mound Musings: A Look at Pitching in the NL West
Spring Training Job Battles: NL East
Spring Training Job Battles: NL East
MLB Futures: Player Totals Prop Bets 2024
MLB Futures: Player Totals Prop Bets 2024
Spring Training Job Battles: AL East
Spring Training Job Battles: AL East