This article is part of our Beating the Book series.
Last week was a mixed bag. While I went 10-6 and won my best bet (Colts), I went 2-3 in the Super Contest, thanks to a closing-seconds backdoor cover by the Redskins and idiotically picking the Giants +7. (I blame Dalton Del Don for foisting the Panthers on us.)
This week, I especially like the Saints, Raiders and Bears. I'll add my best bet and Super Contest picks in the comments.
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Buccaneers +6.5 at Panthers
The Panthers turned it over too many times against the Rams last week, but they're probably an above average team, and I expect them to bounce back at home against the Buccaneers on a short week. I actually made this line 6.5, so I could have gone either way, but I have a Panthers hunch. Lay the wood.
Panthers 27 - 20
Colts +3 at Titans
This is where I set the line too. I'm a little concerned Derrick Henry will bludgeon the Colts on the ground as Indy couldn't stop either Chargers running back last week, but I expect this to be a competitive game between two division rivals, and as such I'll take the points.
Titans 20 - 19
Chargers -2.5 at Lions
I didn't want to take the Chargers as road favorites, but the market wouldn't give me the full three I needed to back the Lions. As such, give me