This article is part of our Yahoo DFS Hockey series.
The Lightning are a notable home favorite, and the Bruins are short road favorites in Saturday's two NHL games with Tampa Bay and Carolina beginning at 4 p.m. EDT. The Hurricanes and Islanders will both be looking to tie their respective series at 2-2 with a win. Here are picks and pans for each position for the featured contests at Yahoo.
All statistics from Natural Stat Trick and Hockey Reference.
Petr Mrazek, CAR at TB ($31): A contrarian lean, Mrazek stopped 35 of 37 shots during Thursday's overtime win. He was fantastic throughout the regular season with a .923 save percentage and 2.06 GAA. Just know there's also potential for Mrazek and the 'Canes to go south in a hurry given Tampa Bay's offensive potential.
GOALIE TO AVOID
Semyon Varlamov, NYI vs. BOS ($34): Look for the levee to break Saturday for Varlamov. While he's turned away 78 of 83 shots (.940 save percentage) through his past two starts, Boston has driven possession with a 59.1 Corsi For percentage at five-on-five while also scoring just two goals on 34 high-danger scoring opportunities. There's probably some statistical correction ahead for both Boston and Varlamov.
David Krejci, BOS at NYI ($21): The 35-year-old center shouldn't be confused for a sniper, but he's definitely eyeing positive regression in the goals column. Krejci has 26 shots, 37 attempts and 12 individual high-danger scoring chances without finding the back of the net through eight postseason contests. He's also locked into a role on the No. 1 power-play unit.
CENTER TO AVOID
Sebastian Aho, CAR at TB ($32): While there's definite contest-winning upside here, Aho also has a low fantasy floor. He's packed all 10 of his playoff points – six tallies and four helpers – into four games while missing the scoresheet entirely in the other five. There's no road-underdog discount in his salary, either.
Taylor Hall, BOS at NYI ($20): A stack candidate with center Krejci, Hall has been solid but unspectacular during the postseason with three tallies, two helpers and 21 shots. He's registered an impressive 11 individual high-danger scoring chances though, so the opportunities have been there for Hall. There's also potential he flies a little under the radar with so much high-end talent in the winger pool.
Anthony Cirelli, TB vs. CAR ($12): There's been some hit-and-miss results with Cirelli, but he's affordable and locked into a significant role with the Lightning. He continues to center the second line and receive power-play time with the No. 2 unit, and the 23-year-old center has also registered a team-high six individual high-danger scoring chances during the series.
WINGS TO AVOID
Brad Marchand, BOS at NYI ($30): With five goals on 25 shots and 12 individual high-danger scoring chances during the playoffs, Marchand is capitalizing on his opportunities. He's only had one multi-point showing though, so he's been more of a floor contributor to this point. Obviously, there's a risk in fading the proven scorer.
Teuvo Teravainen, CAR at TB ($21): The Finn has three assists through his past two games to boost his fantasy output, but the low-volume shooter doesn't offer a target-worth floor or ceiling at this salary. Teravainen has just five shots through the past five games and only 34 attempts over nine postseason contests.
Charlie McAvoy, BOS at NYI ($19): Despite producing at a point-per-game pace and only missing the scoresheet twice through eight playoff games, McAvoy's salary hasn't climbed. He's logged 27:05 of ice time per contest while also quarterbacking the No. 1 power-play unit, and he moves the needle in secondary statistics with 22 shots and 15 blocks.
Mikhail Sergachev, TB vs. CAR ($13): With just two assists through nine postseason games, Sergachev has positive offensive regression ahead. He finished the regular season with a rock-solid 1.46 points per 60 minutes and still logs power-play time on the second unit.
DEFENSEMEN TO AVOID
Dougie Hamilton, CAR at TB ($27): This fade recommendation is strictly based on Hamilton lining up against Tampa Bay's No. 1 line of Brayden Point, Nikita Kucherov and Ondrej Palat for a significant chunk of his five-on-five minutes in Game 3. It cuts into his upside, and there's also a plus-minus risk.
Matt Grzelcyk, BOS at NYI ($17): Without the role of quarterbacking the No. 1 power-play unit, Grzelcyk's fantasy value takes a notable hit. He's been limited to just a single assist, two shots and five blocks while only averaging 18:48 of ice time through the past four games.