Everyone knows finding sleepers and value options is important on draft day, but it's just as important to avoid drafting busts and overrated players; if you nail a sleeper and get second-round value out of your fifth-round pick but also get fifth-round value from your second-round selection, you're only breaking even despite uncovering a gem. While certain factors like injuries and puck-luck can't be controlled, you can still put yourself in the best position to succeed by knowing not only who to target, but also who to avoid.
As always, value is relative, so a player can be a bust in the third round and would still be worth taking if he somehow slips to the seventh. Consequently, some of the names below should be avoided at all costs, while others have simply been drafted too early for my taste or carry more risk than I'm comfortable with at their draft spot.
Whether it's due to age, injury, a change of teams or off-ice context, the players below are best avoided at their current ADP...
Marc-Andre Fleury (CHI - ADP 39.6) - Fleury has found himself in nearly ideal situations throughout his career, as he backstopped a star-studded Penguins team and then went to the upstart Golden Knights, who annually rank near the top when it comes to suppressing chances against. Both teams eventually decided the money owed Fleury could be better spent elsewhere, and his offseason exodus from Vegas landed him in Chicago. The Blackhawks should be better after