Top DFS Picks and Betting Strategies for UFC Vegas 108
The top UFC betting and DFS plays for this weekend's UFC Vegas 108 card are up, as well as breakdowns of betting and lineup strategy, plus predictions for the entire event.
2025 Overall Picks: 212-84-1 ~ Dog Picks 34-22-1
Drake's Bet of the Week: Neil Magny +165
Bet of the Week Record: 16-8-1 +1533
DFS Lock of the Week: Mateusz Rebecki - 19-4
Fanduel Captain: Rebecki
Tatsuro Taira (16-1-0) v. Hyun Sung Park (10-0-0)
- Height: 5'7" – Reach: 70" – Stance: Orthodox
- Record: 16 wins (5 KO/TKO, 7 submissions, 4 decisions)
- Slick grappler with strong control and submission threats
- Striking is improving but still plays a secondary role
- Height: 5'7" – Reach: 66" – Stance: Orthodox
- Record: 10 wins (4 KO/TKO, 5 submissions, 1 decision)
- Aggressive finisher with fast starts and constant pressure
- Can be wild defensively and untested against top-tier grapplers
DFS Perspective: Taira is the more technical and composed fighter with a clear edge in the grappling. If he survives the early chaos, he should take over with control and work toward a finish. Park is a volatile GPP option with early-round upside, but Taira is the preferred play in all formats.
UFC Vegas 108 Pick: Taira
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Mateusz Rebecki (20-2-0) v. Chris Duncan (13-2-0)
- Height: 5'7" – Reach: 66" – Stance: Southpaw
- Record: 20 wins (9 KO/TKO, 7 submissions, 4 decisions)
- Explosive grappler with heavy top pressure and ground damage
- Throws with power and looks to overwhelm early
- Height: 5'10" – Reach: 71" – Stance: Orthodox
- Record: 13 wins (7 KO/TKO, 3 submissions, 3 decisions)
- Physical striker with solid power and forward pressure
- Struggles with takedown defense and can get outworked on the mat
DFS Perspective: Rebecki should be able to close distance and get this to the ground where he thrives. Duncan is dangerous early but lacks the defensive grappling to keep Rebecki off him. Rebecki is a strong play with big finishing upside. Duncan is a risky GPP dart if he can land a bomb early.
UFC Vegas 108 Pick: Rebecki
Elves Brenner (16-5-0) v. Esteban Ribovics (14-2-0)
- Height: 5'10" – Reach: 72" – Stance: Orthodox
- Record: 16 wins (3 KO/TKO, 11 submissions, 2 decisions)
- Durable brawler who thrives in wild exchanges
- Can be reckless and overly hittable on the feet
- Height: 5'10" – Reach: 69" – Stance: Orthodox
- Record: 14 wins (7 KO/TKO, 5 submissions, 2 decisions)
- High-volume striker with serious power and forward pressure
- Mixes in explosive combinations and aggressive entries
DFS Perspective: Ribovics should have a massive edge in output here. Brener is tough and scrappy, but he gets hit often and will likely fall behind if he can't slow the pace. Ribovics is a strong target in all formats with upside for a finish or big decision score.
UFC Vegas 108 Pick: Ribovics
Karol Rosa (18-7-0) v. Nora Cornolle (9-2-0)
- Height: 5'5" – Reach: 67" – Stance: Orthodox
- Record: 18 wins (4 KO/TKO, 2 submissions, 12 decisions)
- Strong clinch and wrestling game with solid top control
- Struggles defensively on the feet but grinds well in close
- Height: 5'7" – Reach: 67" – Stance: Orthodox
- Record: 9 wins (6 KO/TKO, 2 submissions, 1 decisions)
- Muay Thai striker with sharp kicks and aggressive combos
- Inexperienced defensively on the ground and still raw in MMA
DFS Perspective: Cornolle is live while this stays upright, as she's dangerous on the feet and throws with power. But Rosa should look to wrestle early and often, where she has a massive edge. If Rosa fights smart, she controls this with takedowns and volume. She's a strong mid-range play with a safe floor. Cornolle is GPP-only as a striking-based upset pick.
UFC Vegas 108 Pick: Rosa
Neil Magny (29-13-0) v. Elizeu Zaleski dos Santos (25-9-1)
- Height: 6'3" – Reach: 80" – Stance: Orthodox
- Record: 29 wins (8 KO/TKO, 4 submissions, 17 decisions)
- Long, rangy striker who mixes in clinch and grappling well
- Excellent cardio with a knack for winning close rounds
- Height: 5'11" – Reach: 73" – Stance: Orthodox
- Record: 25 wins (15 KO/TKO, 3 submissions, 7 decisions)
- Explosive striker with spinning attacks and solid power
- Can slow down in extended fights and get stuck on the fence
DFS Perspective: Magny is always live in these coin-flip matchups with his volume, range and ability to grind late. Zaleski is the more dangerous striker early, but if he can't hurt Magny, the veteran could pull away with control and cardio. Magny is a sneaky dog play with solid value in all formats.
UFC Vegas 108 Pick: Magny
Danny Silva (10-1-0) v. Kevin Vallejos (15-1-0)
- Height: 5'11" – Reach: 70" – Stance: Switch
- Record: 10 wins (5 KO/TKO, 5 decision)
- Aggressive striker with big power and a kill-or-be-killed style
- Leaves openings defensively and slows down in deeper rounds
- Height: 5'7" – Reach: 68" – Stance: Switch
- Record: 15 wins (11 KO/TKO, 2 submissions, 2 decisions)
- Sharp counter striker with clean technique and good movement
- Stays composed under pressure and finds his spots to unload
DFS Perspective: Vallejos is the much cleaner fighter here and should be able to exploit Silva's defensive holes. Expect Vallejos to stay patient, avoid early chaos and land something big as Silva starts to fade. He's a strong value target with knockout upside.
UFC Vegas 108 Pick: Vallejos
Nick Klein (6-2-0) v. Andrey Pulyaev (9-3-0)
- Height: 6'1" – Reach: 77" – Stance: Orthodox
- Record: 6 wins (3 KO/TKO, 2 submissions, 1 decision)
- Technical striker with crisp boxing and solid shot selection
- Can mix in wrestling when needed and maintains a steady pace
- Height: 6'4" – Reach: 78" – Stance: Southpaw
- Record: 9 wins (5 KO/TKO, 2 submissions, 2 decision)
- Long, powerful striker with early finishing ability
- Struggles when pressured and tends to fade in grappling-heavy fights
DFS Perspective: Pulyaev should have a big advantage on the feet and looks like the more confident striker. If he stuffs a few takedowns, Klein may get overwhelmed trying to close distance. Pulyaev is a strong GPP play with knockout upside and could be a sneaky value piece if he controls the pace.
UFC Vegas 108 Pick: Pulyaev
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Rinya Nakamura (9-1-0) v. Nathan Fletcher (9-2-0)
- Height: 5'7" – Reach: 68" – Stance: Southpaw
- Record: 9 wins (5 KO/TKO, 1 submissions, 3 decisions)
- Elite wrestler with explosive takedowns and control
- Continues to improve striking with legit power in his hands
- Height: 5'7" – Reach: 70" – Stance: Orthodox
- Record: 9 wins (1 KO/TKO, 7 submissions, 1 decisions)
- Long and rangy grappler with slick submission skills
- Struggles off his back and hasn't faced top-level competition
DFS Perspective: Nakamura should dominate the wrestling exchanges and dictate where the fight takes place. Fletcher is dangerous in scrambles, but he'll have a hard time dealing with Nakamura's pressure and physicality. Fletcher is a strong play in all formats, with clear paths to takedowns, control and a potential ground-and-pound finish.
UFC Vegas 108 Pick: Nakamura
Rodolfo Vieira (10-3-0) v. Tresean Gore (5-3-0)
- Height: 6'0" – Reach: 73" – Stance: Orthodox
- Record: 10 wins (1 KO/TKO, 9 submissions)
- World-class BJJ with elite top control and finishing ability
- Limited striking but relentless once he gets the fight down
- Height: 6'0" – Reach: 75" – Stance: Switch
- Record: 5 wins (1 KO/TKO, 3 submissions, 1 decision)
- Explosive athlete with knockout power and physical strength
- Low volume and questionable cardio in extended fights
DFS Perspective: This is Vieira's fight to lose. If he gets Gore to the mat, a submission is almost inevitable. Gore is dangerous in the early exchanges, but his style plays directly into Vieira's strengths. Vieira is a strong target with first-round submission upside.
UFC Vegas 108 Pick: Vieira
Felipe Bunes (14-7-0) v. Rafael Estevam (13-0-0)
- Height: 5'7" – Reach: 69" – Stance: Orthodox
- Record: 14 wins (3 KO/TKO, 9 submissions, 2 decisions)
- Scrappy striker with decent power and solid experience
- Can be taken down and struggles to get back to his feet
- Height: 5'8" – Reach: 69" – Stance: Orthodox
- Record: 13 wins (4 KO/TKO, 3 submissions, 6 decisions)
- Powerful wrestler with relentless pressure and control
- Well-rounded skillset with clear physical and technical advantages
DFS Perspective: Estevam should dominate this fight wherever it goes. He's the better athlete, the stronger grappler and can control Bunes with ease. He has a high floor and ceiling here with takedown volume and finish potential. Bunes is a fade unless you're banking on a wild shot in the dark.
UFC Vegas 108 Pick: Estevam
Piera Rodriguez (10-2-0) v. Ketlen Souza (15-5-0)
- Height: 5'3" – Reach: ~63″ – Stance: Orthodox
- Record: 10 wins (5 KO/TKO, 5 decisions)
- Technical striker with clean boxing and smart cage control
- Lacks submission offense and can stall on the feet
- Height: 5'3" – Reach: ~63″ – Stance: Orthodox
- Record: 15 wins (8 KO/TKO, 2 submissions, 5 decisions)
- Heavy hitter with impact counters and sudden submission ability
- Can be inconsistent and has had some discipline issues
DFS Perspective: Souza brings more power and sudden finishing instincts -- she's the only one with real fight-ending potential. Rodríguez is safer in terms of output and control, but Souza is the better GPP target with KO/sub upside. Rodríguez fits a cash build if it goes the distance.
UFC Vegas 108 Pick: Rodriguez
Austin Bashi (13-1-0) v. John Yannis (9-3-0)
- Height: 5'6" – Reach: 70" – Stance: Orthodox
- Record: 13 wins (3 KO/TKO, 5 submissions, 5 decisions)
- Strong wrestler with relentless pace and control on the mat
- Solid grappling transitions with improving striking
- Height: 5'7" – Reach: 69" – Stance: Southpaw
- Record: 9 wins (5 KO/TKO, 4 decisions)
- Heavy-handed striker with solid boxing and pressure
- Struggles with takedown defense and bottom position
DFS Perspective: Bashi should be able to wrestle early and often, racking up control time and potentially finding a finish. His pace and grappling give him a safe floor with sneaky upside. Yannis has power and lives early, but he'll need a quick knockout to pay off. Bashi is a strong play in all formats, Yannis is GPP only as a round-one flier.
UFC Vegas 108 Pick: Bashi
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FANDUEL MMA SCORING
Moves Scoring
Significant Strikes = 0.6 pts
Takedown = 6 pts
Takedown Defense = 3 pts
Knockdown = 12 pts
Submission Attempt = 5 pts
Fight Conclusion Bonuses
1st Round Win = 100 pts
2nd Round Win = 75 pts
3rd Round Win = 50 pts
4th Round Win = 35 pts
5th Round Win = 25 pts
Decision Win = 20 pts
Scoring Notes
- Significant Strikes are distance strikes or clinch/ground strikes that are considered "power strikes" by official scorers.
- A knockdown is awarded to a fighter who knocks his/her opponent down due to debilitation for what the official scorers consider a substantial time.
DRAFTKINGS MMA SCORING
Moves Scoring
Strikes: +0.2 pts
Significant Strikes (SS): +0.2 pts
Control Time: +0.03 pts/Second
Takedown (TD): +5 pts
Reversal/Sweep (REV): +5 pts
Knockdown (KD): +10 pts
Fight Conclusion Bonuses
1st Round Win (1rW+): +90 pts
2nd Round Win (2rW+): +70 pts
3rd Round Win (3rW+): +45 pts
4th Round Win (4rW+): +40 pts
5th Round Win (5rW+): +40 pts
Decision Win (WBD+): +30 pts
Quick Win Bonus: +25 pts
(fight is finished in 60 seconds or less)
Scoring Notes
- Significant Strikes are any distance strikes or clinch/ground strikes that are considered "power strikes" by official scorers.
- A Significant Strike will count as both a strike and a significant strike and be worth 0.4 points in total.
- Control Time is the time spent in the dominant position on the ground or in the clinch. +0.03 points are awarded per second.
- A Knockdown is awarded to a fighter who knocks his/her opponent down due to debilitation for what the official scorers consider an appreciable time.
- A Quick Win Bonus is awarded to the winning fighter if they win in the first round in 60 seconds or less.
