DFS NASCAR Xfinity: Tennessee Lottery 250

DFS NASCAR Xfinity: Tennessee Lottery 250

This article is part of our DFS NASCAR series.

Tennessee Lottery 250

Location: Lebanon, Tenn.
Course: Nashville Superspeedway
Format: 1.33-mile D-shaped oval
Laps: 188

Race Preview

Nashville Superspeedway welcomes the return of the NASCAR Xfinity Series this week for the first time since 2011. There are only a handful of drivers in the series who have prior starts at the track, and the only driver in the field to have won there is Kyle Busch. There have been 21 prior Nashville races, and they produced 14 different winners. Only two of those races were won from pole, but the vast majority have been won from drivers starting inside the top 10. Busch has the most series starts at the track (10), but Justin Allgaier and Michael Annett both have seven prior starts. Busch will also be aiming for his 100th victory in the series after earning victory No. 99 last week at Texas.

Key Stats at Nashville Superspeedway

  • Number of races: 21
  • Winners from pole: 2
  • Winners from top-5 starters: 12
  • Winners from top-10 starters: 17
  • Winners from 21st or lower starters: 2
  • Fastest race: 134.095 mph

Previous 10 Nashville Winners

2011 fall - Carl Edwards
2011 spring - Carl Edwards
2010 fall - Brad Keselowski
2010 spring - Kevin Harvick
2009 fall - Kyle Busch
2009 spring - Joey Logano
2008 fall - Brad Keselowski
2008 spring - Scott Wimmer
2007 fall - Carl Edwards
2007 spring - Carl Edwards

Nashville Superspeedway is a concrete 1.33-mile D-shaped oval. Fantasy players should look to Darlington and Dover to draw comparisons as to how this weekend's race may go. The good news for fantasy players is that this week's race will feature practice and qualifying to get a gauge for who might be fast when the green flag waves. The concrete surface has heavily favored drivers starting in the first five rows. The track is not known for producing lots of passing, and pit strategies are less likely to be varied unless untimely caution periods occur. Drivers are expected to opt for four-tire stops, but track position might be too valuable to give up when nearing the end of the race. 

DRAFTKINGS VALUE PICKS (Based on Standard $50K Salary Cap)

DraftKings Tier 1 Values  

Kyle Busch - $14,500
Austin Cindric - $11,000
Noah Gragson - $10,700
Justin Allgaier - $10,400

DraftKings Tier 2 Values  

Tyler Reddick - $9,700
Harrison Burton - $9,500
Daniel Hemric - $9,300
Josh Berry - $9,000

DraftKings Tier 3 Values

Brandon Jones - $8,800
Justin Haley - $8,500
Jeb Burton - $8,300
Michael Annett - $8,100

DraftKings Long-Shot Values

Brett Moffitt - $7,800
Jeremy Clements - $6,900
Joe Graf Jr. - $6,400
Jade Buford - $5,500

MY PICKS THIS WEEK

Lower-Risk Lineup ($50K Salary Cap)

Noah Gragson - $10,700
Justin Allgaier - $10,400
Michael Annett - $8,100
Brett Moffitt - $7,800
Brandon Brown - $6,800
Bayley Currey - $5,900

Noah Gragson continues his quest to visit Victory Lane again this week. He currently sits 10th in the standings and got his season back on track with a seventh-place finish last week at Texas. Nashville is not a new venue for Allgaier, which could give him an advantage over most of the field this week. He won at Darlington and finished third at Dover this season, which are arguably two of the most similar tracks to this week's oval. Like Allgaier, Annett also has six prior Nashville starts. He has three top-15s from those races with a best finish of ninth. Brett Moffitt has been consistently scoring top-15 finishes in the series this year. He was eighth last week at Texas and finished in the same spot at Darlington, too. He finished 13th on the concrete at Dover earlier this year. Brandon Brown sits 24 points out of the playoff spots in 13th. He has three top-10s and four top-15s in the last five races and will be aiming to close that points gap Saturday. Fantasy players will need to go a little further back in this lineup to then take a look at Bayley Currey. This will be his 13th start of the season, but he is a reliable top-25 finisher with the potential to move into a top-20 spot with a bit of luck. 

Higher-Risk Lineup ($50K Salary Cap)

Kyle Busch - $14,500
Daniel Hemric - $9,300
Austin Hill - $7,900
Jeremy Clements - $6,900
Joe Graf Jr. - $6,400
Timmy Hill - $4,700

Busch has been nothing short of stellar in the Xfinity Series, which makes it hard to avoid choosing him when he does race. This week his price is a bit of a deterrent, but he is also the only former Nashville winner in the field, and will have practice and qualifying to fine tune his machine. He was also the fastest in Friday's practice session. Daniel Hemric has also been quite strong this season. He hasn't yet won, but with six top-fives and nine top-10s, it doesn't seem like a win would be far off. He was fifth at Darlington and ninth at Dover earlier this year, and was also inside the top-five practice speeds. Austin Hill will make his 10th series appearance this week. His ability to finish races this year has been hit or miss, but when he does make it to the checkered flag, he typically has decent numbers. He was ninth at Darlington earlier this year, which was one of his two top-10 Xfinity finishes in 2021. Jeremy Clements has a best finish of 19th from five prior starts at this track. He is 12th in the championship standings and is on pace to have his best season in the series so far. Joe Graf Jr. will be a gamble this week. He has not raced at Nashville and hasn't finished in the top-25 for a number of weeks now. He was 29th at Dover and has had top-20 speed at times this season, however. Choosing Timmy Hill lends a little experience to the lineup deep in the selections. He has an average finish of 27.5 from two Nashville starts, but he should be able to improve on that this week with his prior experience.

The author(s) of this article may play in daily fantasy contests including – but not limited to – games that they have provided recommendations or advice on in this article. In the course of playing in these games using their personal accounts, it's possible that they will use players in their lineups or other strategies that differ from the recommendations they have provided above. The recommendations in this article do not necessarily reflect the views of RotoWire. C.J. Radune plays in daily fantasy contests using the following accounts: DraftKings: cjradune, RaceDayScore: cjradune.
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ABOUT THE AUTHOR
C.J. Radune
Radune covers NASCAR, Formula 1 and soccer for RotoWire. He was named the Racing Writer of the Year by the Fantasy Sports Writers Association in 2012 and 2015.
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