This article is part of our MLB Barometer series.
Congratulations to all of you who are still reading fantasy baseball articles with fantasy football draft season in full swing. I assume all of you esteemed readers are in the playoffs or fighting for the top spot in your roto leagues. For those of you who aren't, it's time to start thinking about where to take Yordan Alvarez next season (a topic which will be discussed in a few paragraphs).
If you're still jockeying for position in a roto league, it's time to start thinking hard about risk. If you're holding on to lead heading into the final few weeks of a season, it's wise to decrease your risk profile. If you're still trying to make up ground, you have to look at making some risky moves. Even if a transaction's expected value makes your team worse, it could be worth considering, as there's typically far more to gain from moving from second to first than there is to lose from falling from second to third.
That means that someone chasing down the leader has plenty of reason to target a newly promoted rookie, while someone holding onto a lead won't want to risk that player having a tough time adjusting to the big leagues. The chasers also may have to take a chance on some shaky outings for their borderline starters, while the leader would benefit from minimizing the chances of a blowup. The leader will still want to make sure they have enough innings down the stretch to