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FantasyDraft MLB: Tuesday Values

Greg Vara

Vara is the lead golf writer at RotoWire. He was named the 2013 FSWA Golf Writer of the Year. In addition to producing the weekly preview and the bulk of the draft kit content, Vara participates in Yahoo!'s "Experts Picks" where he routinely dominates. He also picks college football games against the spread in his "College Capper" article.


Clayton Kershaw, LAD at SF ($27,600):
Even though heís priced much higher than anyone else, it will be hard to get away from Kershaw on this slate. San Francisco ranks in the bottom-10 in wOBA versus lefties this season, and though the Giants donít strike out all that frequently, for Kershaw, they might make an exception. Kershawís career numbers against the main hitters in the Giants' lineup are incredible, as they have only a .180 wOBA against Kershaw and theyíve gone deep just twice in 339 plate appearances.

Wade Miley, BAL vs. TB ($13,600): Even as I type this, I still canít believe that I am recommending Miley, but hear me out. Miley is off to a great start this season, with a 1.89 and 24 strikeouts through three starts. Yes, it is an incredibly small sample size, but prior to a terrible 2016 season he was a good pitcher in spots. Perhaps he figured something out in the offseason. Tampa Bay is no slouch against lefties, as the Rays have the second-best wOBA against them this season, but they also have the second-highest K%.


Salvador Perez, KC at CHW ($6,800):
Dylan Covey takes the hill for the White Sox with the hopes that this start goes better than his previous one. Covey was hammered by the Yankees in his most recent outing, which pushed his season ERA to 7.84. Covey is a rookie, so we canít be sure if heís just bad or in the middle of an adjustment period. With that in mind, I donít recommend stacking against him, but one or two Royals should be about right. Salvador Perez has the highest wOBA against righties on the team this season, so he makes perfect sense.

Chris Iannetta, AZ vs. SD ($5,400): Clayton Richard faces the Diamondbacks again after shutting them down last week. As was the case Monday, when Jhoulys Chacin was in a similar spot, it will again be a good spot to target Diamondbacks. The odds of a pitcher like Richard shutting down a good lineup in consecutive starts is not good, along with the fact that this game is in Arizona, which is one of the best hitters' parks in baseball. Iannetta is nowhere near the best hitter in the Diamondbacks' lineup, but he comes very cheap and in limited action, he has the best wOBA against lefties on the team. He also has four hits in nine at-bats against Richard (again, small sample size), but when combined with the other factors mentioned, Iannetta makes for a good low-priced option.

Paul Goldschmidt, AZ vs.SD ($9,600): While Iannetta is your low-end option on the Diamondbacks, Goldschmidt is your high end pick. By his standards, Goldschmidt is off to a slow start this season, yet heís still averaging 9.75 fantasy points per game. His best splits are against lefties at home, posting a .519 wOBA in that situation last year, though heís had more success against righties this season, itís too early to call that a trend.


Bryce Harper, WAS at COL ($12,000):
German Marquez takes the mound for the Rockies, and much like the case against Dylan Covey, we donít know enough to stack against him, but we can assume that heíll struggle out of the gate. In Marquezís case, he gets the worst of both worlds in that he faces what might be the best lineup in baseball and heís pitching at Coors Field. Bryce Harper got Monday off, which means heíll be raring to go. Harper trails only Freddie Freeman in wOBA against righties this season.

Seth Smith, BAL vs. TB ($7,200): Whenever Clayton Kershaw is in play, youíre going to need to find some less expensive options. Enter Smith, who is Baltimoreís left-handed specialist, in that he generally leads-off when a righty is on the mound. Erasmo Ramirez takes the hill for the Rays, and while heís pitched okay to this point, itís only a matter of time before he cracks. Smith has a .414 wOBA against righties this season and sits atop a very potent lineup, which more than justifies his price.

Mitch Haniger, SEA at DET ($6,600): One of the biggest surprises of the season, Haniger is showing no signs of slowing down. Through 20 games, Haniger is averaging 11.50 fantasy points per outing, which is among the best in the league, but heís still priced like a platoon player. He will face righty Jordan Zimmerman, who had a solid opening start but has really struggled in his past two outings. Haniger is second on the Mariners with a .442 wOBA against righties this season.


Taylor Motter, SEA at DET ($6,000):
When free-agent acquisition Jean Segura went down early in the season, the Mariners were understandably worried, but Motter has stepped in and the team hasnít missed a beat. If not for Haniger, Motter would likely be grabbing more publicity for his early season play, but no matter, Motter continues to produce. Through 16 games, Motter is averaging 9.06 fantasy points per game, and he leads the team in wOBA against righties this season at .489.

Jay Bruce, NYM vs. ATL ($6,800): Everything is lined up for a big night from Bruce as he faces Julio Teheran. Bruce continues to struggle against lefties, but heís raking against the righties (his wOBA is .469 against righties this season versus .226 against lefties). Meanwhile, Teheran has allowed a .383 wOBA to left-handed hitters this season, as well as a 50 percent fly-ball rate.

The author(s) of this article may play in daily fantasy contests including – but not limited to – games that they have provided recommendations or advice on in this article. In the course of playing in these games using their personal accounts, it's possible that they will use players in their lineups or other strategies that differ from the recommendations they have provided above. The recommendations in this article do not necessarily reflect the views of RotoWire.