ADP Analysis: Mostert Sinking, Coleman Rising

ADP Analysis: Mostert Sinking, Coleman Rising

This article is part of our ADP Analysis series.

With Wednesday's 4 p.m. EDT deadline come and gone, we now know that Dak Prescott, A.J. Green and Hunter Henry will play out 2020 under franchise tags, while Derrick Henry secured a multi-year contract. This shouldn't really matter for best-ball leagues and other redraft formats, but what should matter and what does matter aren't always one and the same.

Alas, we don't yet have enough to data to gauge how the tags (or lack thereof) have impacted draft results, so this week's edition of ADP Analysis will focus on news that's had some time to marinate:

1. Patrick Mahomes signs a 10-year extension (July 6)

Mahomes is still QB2 and isn't likely to move from that spot, but he was drafted at ADP 29.4 from July 7-15, up from ADP 32.3 between the end of the NFL Draft and July 5. While the extension doesn't seem relevant to his 2020 fantasy value, the deluge of pro-Mahomes content on various websites appears to be having a minor impact on his ADP. 

We've also seen a slight upward trend for the other pieces of the KC passing game, with Tyreek Hill (ADP 13.0), Travis Kelce (17.9), Mecole Hardman (94.0) and Sammy Watkins (139.2) a bit more expensive relative to May/June. On the other hand, Clyde Edwards-Helaire is down to ADP 24.9 the last 10 days, though he's holding steady as RB14 even as his overall ADP drops from the early 20s to mid-20s. Accordingly, Damien Williams is up to RB29 and

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ABOUT THE AUTHOR
Jerry Donabedian
Jerry was a 2018 finalist for the FSWA's Player Notes Writer of the Year and DFS Writer of the Year awards. A Baltimore native, Jerry roots for the Ravens and watches "The Wire" in his spare time.
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