This article is part of our Beating the Book series.
It sounds impossible, but that's now two winning weeks in a row. Granted, they're 8-6/7-5-2 and not 10-4/11-3, but any improvement will do. And while I lost my best bet (Patriots), the three games on which my lines diverged the most from the market's (Saints, Titans and Raiders) all covered easily. (Don't ask why I foolishly made the Pats my best bet.) I also went 3-2 in the Supercontest, though that's now a lost cause.
This week, I especially like the Titans, Bills and Jets.
THANKSGIVING DAY
Texans -3 at Lions
I made this line 2.5. I know the Lions are terrible, and Deshaun Watson is good, but as long as Matthew Stafford's thumb is okay, I'll take the full field goal with the home team that's used to playing on Thanksgiving. Back the Lions.
Lions 27 - 26
Football Team +3 at Cowboys
This is exactly where I set the line. The Cowboys seem like the better team after their win in Minnesota, but my rule is when there's no daylight between my line and the market number, fade my emotional lean. Take the Team.
Football Team 23 - 20
Ravens +5 at Steelers
This line was only four yesterday morning, which surprised me. I get it's a rivalry, and that the Ravens badly outgained them in their prior loss, but this a short week after Baltimore lost an overtime war with the Titans, while the Steelers breezed to a win in Jacksonville. I set
