These rankings are based on full-PPR scoring and will tend to prioritize ceiling over floor after the first few tiers. Reliable mediocrity may have value in deeper formats, but it won't do a whole lot for fantasy managers in typical redraft leagues
Jack Doyle, for example, would arguably be ranked as a top-20 TE if we were solely discussing mean projections, but between his age, lack of speed and career mark of 9.0 yards per catch, it's hard to imagine a ceiling significantly higher than the level of production one can receive from a weekly streaming approach at tight end. Doyle isn't someone I want to draft, even in the 15th round.
On the other hand, young guys like Chris Herndon and Irv Smith face more competition for playing time, but they at least have shown some of the skills that could lead to big-time production in the right circumstances. Keep the upside factor in mind when browsing through these TE ranks.
Links for other position tiers/rankings:
And now for the tight ends (rankings updated September 2)...
Tier 1
1. Travis Kelce
Kittle would be my pick if we were promised 16 games from both players, with his target share potentially creeping over 25 percent after the 49ers replaced Emmanuel Sanders with Brandon Aiyuk and then saw Deebo Samuel injure his foot. Unfortunately, Kittle's injury history makes me just a tiny bit
These rankings are based on full-PPR scoring and will tend to prioritize ceiling over floor after the first few tiers. Reliable mediocrity may have value in deeper formats, but it won't do a whole lot for fantasy managers in typical redraft leagues
Jack Doyle, for example, would arguably be ranked as a top-20 TE if we were solely discussing mean projections, but between his age, lack of speed and career mark of 9.0 yards per catch, it's hard to imagine a ceiling significantly higher than the level of production one can receive from a weekly streaming approach at tight end. Doyle isn't someone I want to draft, even in the 15th round.
On the other hand, young guys like Chris Herndon and Irv Smith face more competition for playing time, but they at least have shown some of the skills that could lead to big-time production in the right circumstances. Keep the upside factor in mind when browsing through these TE ranks.
Links for other position tiers/rankings:
And now for the tight ends (rankings updated September 2)...
Tier 1
1. Travis Kelce
Kittle would be my pick if we were promised 16 games from both players, with his target share potentially creeping over 25 percent after the 49ers replaced Emmanuel Sanders with Brandon Aiyuk and then saw Deebo Samuel injure his foot. Unfortunately, Kittle's injury history makes me just a tiny bit hesitant, even though he's missed only three games in two seasons. His NFL medical list already includes a torn shoulder labrum, fractured rib cartilage and a bone spur in his ankle, whereas Kelce has largely been healthy since his rookie season. That said, I still love Kittle as a second-round pick if Kelce is already off the board. Both guys have potential to put up WR1-type stats at a position where WR3-level production is considered strong.
Tier 2
3. Mark Andrews
4. Zach Ertz
Ertz seems to pile up huge target numbers out of necessity rather than design, but we're now working on three straight years with at least 7.8 per game. An improved wideout group should give him more room to operate and improve his efficiency relative to last season, but it also creates some minor volume risk, which becomes more problematic if Dallas Goedert's superior blocking eventually translates to more playing time in single-TE formations (admittedly a big 'if').
Andrews isn't likely to score touchdowns on 10.2 percent of his targets again, but he could see more snaps and more passes after the Hayden Hurst trade chopped Baltimore's TE trio down to a duo. Andrews already has 10 30-yard gains in the NFL, while Ertz has 11 through seven seasons.
Tier 3
6. Evan Engram
I was worried about Engram coming back from last year's Lisfranc injury, but every report coming out of training camp confirms the notion that he completed his rehab a few months ago. While the medical history remains sketchy, Engram looks to be all systems go for Week 1, so I moved him up from No. 8 to No. 6 in the TE ranks.
Tier 4
7. Tyler Higbee
8. Hunter Henry
9. Hayden Hurst
10. Austin Hooper
If I end up drafting someone from this tier, it's usually whichever of Hooper or Hurst falls the furthest. I'm not sure if Higbee will reprise his three-down role from December, but the possibility is intriguing enough to put him as the "best of the rest" once the five tight ends I actually trust have come off the board. Still, I'd rather take the value with Hurst or Hooper a few rounds later, assuming a draft shakes out in typical fashion.
Tier 5
11. T.J. Hockenson
12. Mike Gesicki
13. Noah Fant
14. Jared Cook
15. Rob Gronkowski
Here we have three breakout candidates and two veterans trying to hang on. Gronk and Cook both have plenty of TD potential, but I worry the snaps and targets will be a major source of frustration. I'll also note that I don't see a huge difference between Tiers 4 and 5, so patience is probably the best approach when looking for a tight end in the middle/late rounds.
Tier 6
16. Blake Jarwin
17. Dallas Goedert
18. Jonnu Smith
19. Chris Herndon
20. Irv Smith
21. Ian Thomas
These are the backup-plan breakout candidates once Hurst, Hockenson, Fant and Gesicki are off the board. Jarwin might be the least talented of the group, but he also faces the softest competition for snaps.
Tier 7
22. Dawson Knox
23. Tyler Eifert
24. Greg Olsen
25. Eric Ebron
26. Jack Doyle
27. Jace Sternberger
28. Jimmy Graham
29. O.J. Howard
30. Dan Arnold
31. Gerald Everett
32. Will Dissly
I don't think any of these guys is particularly good — at least not at the current stages of their respective careers — but each of them appears destined to see more than half of his team's TE targets. Arnold is the surprise inclusion, drawing some spring/summer breakout hype in the darker corners of fantasy-football twitter. Count me all the way out on the Darren Waller comparisons, but I'm fine with making Arnold a YOLO pick in Round 20.
Tier 9
33. Dalton Keene
34. Trey Burton
35. Devin Asiasi
36. C.J. Uzomah
37. Kyle Rudolph
38. Nick Boyle
39. Jordan Akins
40. David Njoku
While Keene and Asiasi probably won't do much this season, the theoretical upside of the unknown is preferable to drafting a veteran who has little-to-no chance of averaging more than 35 yards per game. Let Rudolph be someone else's problem.