Deshaun Watson, ($7,900) – This price still seems like it hasn’t come early enough for Watson, who has put together 34 and 35 fantasy points in his last two games. His ability to gain extra points with his legs (two rushing TDs in five games) gives him an advantage over the immobile quarterbacks in the league. He’s still over $1,000 cheaper than Tom Brady and Aaron Rodgers, and on paper, he has a better matchup than either of those two. Watson gets the Browns at home, with Cleveland giving up the fourth most fantasy points to opposing quarterbacks (20 per game).
Samaje Perine, WAS ($4,900) – This is a cheap price for someone who’ll handle the majority of carries in the backfield. It’s highly unlikely that Rob Kelley plays this week and Jay Gruden has already stated Perine will get the bulk of the work. Chris Thompson should see an uptick in touches as well, but Perine is better suited to run between the tackles with Thompson sticking to third down/passing situations. San Francisco has given up over 116 rushing yards and 29 fantasy points to opposing running backs per game (third most in the league).
Elijah McGuire, NYJ ($5,700) – It appears a calf injury will keep Bilal Powell out this week, but Matt Forte could be back in the mix for the Jets. McGuire should handle the lion’s share of carries this week and has looked adequate as a receiver out of the backfield. In limited work this season, he’s averaging 5.2 yards per carry, and it’s an elite matchup against the Patriots. New England has given up the most fantasy points (30) to opposing running backs this season, putting McGuire in a good spot Sunday.
Ricardo Louis, CLE ($4,500) – Louis is a great punt play this week coming in at the minimum price and allows for some creative roster construction. He’s led the Browns in receiving and targets in each of the last two weeks, and with Kenny Britt hurt/in the doghouse, Louis will pick up another start this week. The switch to Kevin Hogan from an ineffective DeShone Kizer can only help, and Hogan should have more time in the pocket with Houston losing both J.J. Watt and Whitney Mercilus to season-ending injuries.
Demaryius Thomas, DEN ($6,800) – Thomas is an elite receiver who can put up a big fantasy effort any week. Last week’s game marked a season-low five targets, as he didn’t have lower than eight in any of the first three games of the season. The Giants are in shambles after an 0-5 start and they’ll be down a corner this week with Dominique Rodgers-Cromartie suspended. There are much safer options in cash than Thomas, but with the lack of production thus far, his price has dropped and his ownership should remain low.
Evan Engram, NYG ($5,300) – Engram makes for a great contrarian play this week given he’s coming off a zero and has to play in Denver against a very good defense. However, with all of the injuries to the wide receiving corps, it would seem logical for Engram to get a lot more than the four targets he got last week. Surprisingly, the Broncos can be attacked using the tight end as they’ve allowed an average of 15.1 fantasy points to the position (sixth most in the NFL).
Wil Lutz, NO ($4,700) – Lutz is averaging 11.3 fantasy points per game this season and has attempted at least three field goals in every game this. He’ll be at home, playing in a dome and the Saints have one of the highest expected point totals this week against the Lions.
Washington Redskins, ($4,700) – Many will flock to the Jaguars after they put up 28 fantasy points on the road against the Steelers. Washington is averaging just under 10 fantasy points per game, a respectable number. They’ll have a great matchup at home this week against the 49ers, a team that has to travel across the country.