FedEx St. Jude Championship
The PGA Tour season is winding down and so are plenty of one and done leagues. Each of the three playoff events features large purses and offer opportunities for big moves to be made in the standings. That said, a lot of folks likely won't have many of your top players available at this stage in the season. Because of that we're likely to see a pretty decent spread of players used at each of these playoff events. Of the 70 players who qualified for the FedExCup Playoffs, all but Rory McIlory will be in Memphis. There will be no-cut in any of the three playoff events.
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Course Tidbits
- Course: TPC Southwind (7,288 yards, par 70)
- Location: Memphis, Tennessee
- Purse: $20 million ($3.6 million to winner)
- Defending Champion: Hideki Matsuyama (-17)
- 2024 Scoring Average: 68.95 (-1.05)
- Average Winning Score Last 3 Years: -15.67
Since last year's FedEx St. Jude Championship every single green complex was redone. It had been since 2004 that any of the greens were resurfaced. Tee to green the course should look pretty much the same, but there will likely be some unfamiliar breaks on the greens to a lot of the players who have played at this course for years. That should place even more of an importance on ball-striking. Distance is typically not a big factor at TPC Southwind, and even more so considering how far the ball will be flying with temperatures in the mid-90s all week. Players will throttle down a lot from driver to be able to make sure they put themselves in the fairways. New greens are always typically pretty firm the first year or two, so your top iron players should be able to thrive.
When TPC Southwind used to host a full-field PGA Tour event, it was annually among the top courses for most balls in the water. There's plenty of trouble lurking both off the tee and on approach. You can be going around very nicely and one bad swing can lead to a quick double or worse. Last year Hideki Matsuyama had a five-stroke lead on the back nine before playing holes 12-15 in four-over-par. He parred the easy par-5 16th and then made birdies at the difficult par-4 17th and par-4 18th to win by two strokes. Things can change in a hurry around this place and you've got to be locked into every shot.
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RotoWire One and Done Tools
FedEx St. Jude Championship: One and Done Picks
Confidence is at an all-time high for Gotterup who is coming off finishes of 1st-3rd-T10 in his last three starts. He has finished T28-or-better in 11 of his last 12 starts as well. Gotterup has been one of the biggest off the tee threats this season, but his entire game seems to have really come together over the last couple months. He's gained on approach in eight straight, around the green in five of his last six and with the putter in his last five. The fact that this course has new greens this year should play to Gotterup's benefit considering he's never played here before. --Ryan Andrade
As is often the case this time of year, I don't have a lot of high-end guys to choose from, so I make the best of what I have. Fleetwood's odds of winning aren't going to be great if only because of the added pressure of having so many close calls, but that hasn't and shouldn't prevent him from contending on a weekly basis. Will he win this week? Probably not, but a top-5 wouldn't shock me and at this point in the schedule, a top-5 would be a pretty good result in your OAD pool. --Greg Vara
We're at that point in the season where this pick depends a lot on who you have left and where you are in the standings. If you need to make up ground, you're going to have to take a chance with an under-the-radar long shot. Otherwise, I think Fleetwood, if available, makes a great target this week. His track record at TPC Southward is pretty solid - he was one shot out of a playoff two years ago, was T4 in 2019 and led the field in SG: Tee-to-Green last year. It seems like he's never going to win at this point, but we did see Cam Young finally get that monkey off his back Sunday. I think Fleetwood can position himself to potentially do the same like we saw at the Travelers in June. --Ryan Pohle
Not exactly a fan favorite at the moment, but Clark has rounded back into form with four top-20s across his past five starts dating to the Travelers Championship. He's coming off a T12 at the 3M Open where he gained a career-high 9.6 strokes on approach, and at 49th in the FedExCup standings, you might not have another chance to use him if he doesn't put up a solid performance in Memphis. --Bryce Danielson
You've used Scottie Scheffler, your league has two or three tournaments remaining. Henley is among the five highest-priced guys in DFS and among the five with the shortest betting odds. He's been a top-10 machine this season with nine in 15 starts, including his past four, two of them majors. Henley has the perfect game for TPC Southwind: He's ranked 14th on Tour in Strokes Gained: Approach, 15th in driving accuracy and 18th in greens in regulation. --Len Hochberg
FedEx St. Jude Championship: One and Done Fades
Bradley has done a great job focusing on his own game most of this year and not letting the distraction of being the U.S. Ryder Cup Captain sneak into his play. It appears it might be finally catching up with him as we get closer to the captain's picks being made, however. Bradley is in the middle of his worst three-event stretch of the year going T41-T30-MC. His ball-striking was terrible last week at the Wyndham Championship and now we head to a course where he has finished outside the top-40 in five of his six career starts. Everyone is crunched for options this time of year, but surely you have to have one in much better form. --Ryan Andrade
I've been wrong about Finau a couple times over the past month, fading him at the Open Championship and then getting back on board at the 3M, but I think I've got him pegged now and unfortunately for Finau, that means another poor showing this week. This has been a tough year for Finau and unless he does something amazing this week, he'll be out of the playoffs come Sunday. He does have a pair of top-20s here over the past three years, but I don't think his game is where it needs to be right now to compete against the stronger fields. --Greg Vara
Hovland came up two short of champion Matsuyama last year which may make him a popular choice, but he's a fade for me coming off a poor showing at Royal Portrush in which he lost strokes with his ball striking for the first time in nearly five months. If your contest includes the Tour Championship, Hovland has an excellent course history at East Lake, so you won't have to leave him on the table. --Ryan Pohle
The red-hot Genesis Scottish Open champion probably earns enough OAD ownership this week to make it a problem if you're playing from behind with only three events remaining, and at 22nd in the FedExCup standings, I'd rather save Gotterup as an out for the BMW or TOUR Championship if needed. TPC Southwind doesn't seem like the optimal course setup for him, while there are certainly more accurate drivers and better short-to-mid iron players to consider in Memphis. Gotterup hasn't finished top-25 among a tournament field in SG: Approach since the Charles Schwab Challenge in May. --Bryce Danielson
Any course that puts a premium on keeping the ball in the fairway, I'm fading Thomas. He's ranked 161st on Tour in driving accuracy. You can't get much lower.. We all know how badly Thomas did at the majors this year. Majors demand keeping the ball in the fairway. So does Southwind. Thomas tied for 30th at Southwind last year. --Len Hochberg
Don't get burned by late withdrawals. Visit RotoWire's PGA tournament field page for a live-updated summary of the field for the current week and list of players who have dropped out.
