FantasyDraft MLB: Friday Values

FantasyDraft MLB: Friday Values

This article is part of our FantasyDraft MLB series.

PITCHER

Carlos Carrasco, CLE vs. SEA ($19,800): Carrasco has been dominant this season, scoring 23.15, 25.35 and 35.60 fantasy points in three of his first four starts. Additionally, he's generated a 1.98 ERA and .174 BAA in his two home starts this season.

Chase Anderson, MIL vs. ATL ($14,000): Anderson makes for a strong value play against a Braves team that has struck out 21 percent of the time against righties this season while posting a sub-par .309 wOBA against them. Anderson has been particularly effective in two home starts despite the hitter-friendly conditions of Miller Park, posting an 0.75 ERA and allowing a meager .299 wOBA over 12 innings.

INFIELD

Paul Goldschmidt, ARI vs. COL ($10,000): There are few hitters hotter than Goldschmidt, as he's ripped off eight hits over the last three games while also driving in six runs. While the majority of his success has come against righties, he does have a solid .324 wOBA and impressive 50 percent contact rate against southpaws over 29 plate appearances. His career numbers versus lefties truly reflect the damage he's capable of inflicting, as he's posted a .331 average, .432 wOBA and 47.2 percent hard contact rate against that handedness. Meanwhile, Rockies rookie Kyle Freeland has given up a 33.3 percent hard contact rate versus righty bats on the road, albeit in a small sample.

Brandon Belt, SF vs. SD ($7,200): Belt draws a matchup against Padres righty Luis Perdomo, who's already surrendered a .430 wOBA and 40 percent hard contact to lefty hitters over a 20-batter sample this season, and a .370 wOBA, 16 homers and 40.2 percent hard contact rate to the 326 lefty bats he's faced in his career. Belt has hit three of his four homers this season against right-handed pitchers, while also compiling a .417 wOBA and 34.5 percent hard contact rate versus that handedness. Additionally, when Perdomo exits, Belt will face a Padres bullpen that has a 7.71 ERA while allowing a .382 wOBA, seven homers and 37.6 percent hard contact rate to left-handed hitters.

Mike Moustakas, KC vs. MIN ($6,000): Moustakas is considerably underpriced for a player who's tied for the AL lead in homers. The Royals slugger has also hit .348 over 23 career at-bats against Twins starter Kyle Gibson and has posted a .304 average, six homers, .432 wOBA and 40.4 percent hard contact rate versus righties over 60 plate appearances this season. Meanwhile, Gibson has allowed a .432 wOBA, four homers, a 3.48 HR/9 and 31.4 percent hard contact rate to lefty bats, following a 2016 campaign during which he yielded a .380 wOBA to that handedness.

OUTFIELD

Charlie Blackmon, COL at ARI ($9,900): Blackmon is a viable play despite the lefty-on-lefty matchup, considering he's posted a .390 wOBA and 37.5 percent hard contact rate versus southpaws this season, and a .338 wOBA versus that handedness over his career. Blackmon also five homers and 12 RBI at Chase Field over the last three seasons and has owned D-Backs starter Robbie Ray to the tune of a .579 average, one triple, two homers and six RBI over 21 career plate appearances.

Justin Upton, DET vs. CWS ($8,000): White Sox starter Mike Pelfrey has given up a .334 wOBA to right-handed hitters over his career, while Upton has a .401 wOBA and 46.2 percent hard contact rate over 50 plate appearances this season. Upton recently came off a three-game streak of double-digit fantasy points as well, and he has already eclipsed 20 fantasy points in three game this season, making him a high-upside tournament option.

Avisail Garcia, CWS vs. DET ($6,000): Garcia is considerably underpriced on the other side of the White Sox-Tigers game, considering he continues to lead the AL in batting average (.373) and is now third in RBI (17). He's posted a .400 average and .388 wOBA over 20 plate appearances versus southpaws this season, and a .323 wOBA versus that handedness over his five-plus major-league seasons. Meanwhile, Tigers starter Matt Boyd has allowed a .325 wOBA, 21.3 line drive rate and 43.8 percent hard contact rate to right-handed hitters this season, following a 2016 campaign when he yielded a .341 wOBA to that handedness. The Tigers' bullpen has also been vulnerable to righty bats, yielding a .329 wOBA, six homers and a majors-worst 42.4 hard contact rate.

UTILITY

Joey Votto, CIN at STL ($9,300): Votto has thrived versus Cardinals starter Lance Lynn over his career, posting a .455 average in 29 plate appearances. He's also posting a .356 wOBA and 37.5 percent hard contact rate against right-handed pitching in 2017, while Lynn has yielded a .349 wOBA and 6.46 xFIP to lefty bats in a 46-batter sample this season. The appealing matchup for Votto also extends to the Cards' bullpen, as they've yielded a .421 wOBA, 7.03 ERA, 20.2 percent line drive rate and 35.3 percent hard contact rate to left-handed hitters.

Joe Panik, SF vs. SD ($6,800): Padres starter Luis Perdomo's struggles against lefty bats were detailed earlier, as were the Padres' bullpen's. Panik has enjoyed success against Perdomo over a modest seven career at-bats, but more importantly, he has posted a .372 average, .414 wOBA, 25.0 percent line drive rate and 32.5 percent hard contact against right-handed pitching over 48 plate appearances against that handedness this season.

The author(s) of this article may play in daily fantasy contests including – but not limited to – games that they have provided recommendations or advice on in this article. In the course of playing in these games using their personal accounts, it's possible that they will use players in their lineups or other strategies that differ from the recommendations they have provided above. The recommendations in this article do not necessarily reflect the views of RotoWire. Juan Carlos Blanco plays in daily fantasy contests using the following accounts: DraftKings: jcblanco22, FanDuel: jc_blanco22, DraftPot: jc_blanco22, FantasyDraft: jc_blanco22, OwnThePlay: jcblanco22.
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ABOUT THE AUTHOR
Juan Carlos Blanco
Winner of the FSWA 2016 Newcomer of the Year Award, Juan Carlos Blanco has been playing fantasy sports for over 20 years and covers NBA, MLB, NFL, CFL and Arena Football for Rotowire.com, including serving as the beat writer for teams in multiple sports. He has previously written for KFFL.com and remains an avid season-long and daily fantasy player in multiple sports as well.
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