This article is part of our Beating the Book series.
I went 2-2, last week, winning with the Seahawks and Titans, but losing badly with the Saints (best bet) and barely with the Bills.
This week, I especially like the Chiefs, though that line keeps climbing.
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Vikings +7 at 49ers
This is exactly where I have the line. The Vikings looked great in New Orleans, particularly Kirk Cousins and a healthy Adam Thielen and Dalvin Cook. Their defense also played exceptionally well against what turned out to be a one-dimensional Saints attack. But the Niners offer a different look from the unguardable George Kittle to a dynamic running game with three very speedy backs. I also think the 49ers are likely to get more pressure on Cousins than the Saints did last week. This is a close call, but when in doubt, give me the rested one seed in the divisional round.
49ers 27 - 19
Titans +9.5 at Ravens
The Ravens are the best team in the NFL, but I like the Titans' build for the playoffs. Derrick Henry can run on anyone, and Ryan Tannehill is mobile enough to make plays when needed. Moreover, while the Ravens secondary has been strong since acquiring Marcus Peters and getting Jimmy Smith back, it's not at the level of New England's. The downside here is the Ravens offense is good enough to put this one out of reach, and the Titans pass defense is average at best.