This article is part of our Beating the Book series.
This is a strange week for a couple reasons: (1) The COVID situation with the Titans and potentially the Vikings which could get the Titans-Steelers game moved or postponed; and (2) The insanely high totals – of the 16 games on the slate, nine of them are above 50.
I especially like the Packers, Texans and Raiders, and am lukewarm the rest of my picks. I'm almost positive I'm wrong on the Buccaneers, in fact, but I'm sticking to my process of setting the line before looking at the real number.
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Broncos -1 at Jets
Jets 20 - 19
Colts -2.5 at Bears
I made this Colts plus 2.5, so I'm on the Bears, but realize that that five-point difference around zero (-2.5 to plus 2.5) is probably less important than the half point difference between 2.5 and 3. Even so, I'll fade Philip Rivers as a road favorite against a good defense. Take Chicago.
Bears 23 - 20
Saints -4 at Lions
It feels wrong to