Beating the Book: Chris Liss Handicaps Week 4

Beating the Book: Chris Liss Handicaps Week 4

This article is part of our Beating the Book series.

Last week wasn't great – 7-9 ATS, 2-3 in the Supercontest, and I lost my best bet (Saints.) At least the Patriots-Raiders game went how I thought it would. 

This is a strange week for a couple reasons: (1) The COVID situation with the Titans and potentially the Vikings which could get the Titans-Steelers game moved or postponed; and (2) The insanely high totals – of the 16 games on the slate, nine of them are above 50. 

I especially like the Packers, Texans and Raiders, and am lukewarm the rest of my picks. I'm almost positive I'm wrong on the Buccaneers, in fact, but I'm sticking to my process of setting the line before looking at the real number. 

For the podcast version of the article click here.

THURSDAY NIGHT

Broncos -1 at Jets

I made this line a pick 'em, so I'm ever-so-slightly on the Jets, though I much preferred it when it was Broncos minus three. In any event, back to the well with Sam Darnold and Adam Gase. 

Jets 20 - 19

EARLY GAMES

Colts -2.5 at Bears

I made this Colts plus 2.5, so I'm on the Bears, but realize that that five-point difference around zero (-2.5 to plus 2.5) is probably less important than the half point difference between 2.5 and 3. Even so, I'll fade Philip Rivers as a road favorite against a good defense. Take Chicago. 

Bears 23 - 20

Saints -4 at Lions

It feels wrong to

Want to Read More?
Subscribe to RotoWire to see the full article.

We reserve some of our best content for our paid subscribers. Plus, if you choose to subscribe you can discuss this article with the author and the rest of the RotoWire community.

Get Instant Access To This Article Get Access To This Article
RotoWire Community
Join Our Subscriber-Only NFL Chat
Chat with our writers and other RotoWire NFL fans for all the pre-game info and in-game banter.
Join The Discussion
ABOUT THE AUTHOR
Chris Liss
Chris Liss is RotoWire's Managing Editor and Host of RotoWIre Fantasy Sports Today on Sirius XM radio.
NFL Injury Analysis: The Eagles’ List Is Long
NFL Injury Analysis: The Eagles’ List Is Long
SXM Highlights: QB Free Agents for Week 7
SXM Highlights: QB Free Agents for Week 7
Hidden Stat Line: Targets, Routes & Snaps from Week 6
Hidden Stat Line: Targets, Routes & Snaps from Week 6
Radio Hits: Advice for Week 7
Radio Hits: Advice for Week 7